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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 27

Momentum

MoreirenseArouca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
Capacity
6,150
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa · Vasco Freire De Seabra
Position
8 · 13
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
17.8° (feels 17.5°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Moreirense

WLDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 3.77–7.72 · xPts 4.09

  • L A Porto 0–3 xG 0.1–1.79 PRT PL
  • D H Nacional 1–1 xG 0.98–1.35 PRT PL
  • D A Casa Pia 1–1 xG 1.7–1.3 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting CP 0–3 xG 0.4–1.69 PRT PL
  • W A Rio Ave 2–1 xG 0.59–1.58 PRT PL

Arouca

LWLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 6.13–10.0 · xPts 4.85

  • L H Benfica 1–2 xG 2.55–2.34 PRT PL
  • L A Famalicão 0–1 xG 0.55–0.96 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 1–3 xG 0.37–3.22 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 3–0 xG 1.69–1.6 PRT PL
  • L A Casa Pia 2–3 xG 0.96–1.87 PRT PL

All meetings · 15 matches since 2015

Moreirense 82 draws5 Arouca

Goals 18–19 · 2.47 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 47%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Moreirense 52 draws3 Arouca

Goals 12–11 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Moreirense 20 draws3 Arouca

Goals 5–7 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Arouca 4–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 0–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 1–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 3–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 1–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 1–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 2–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 2–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricMoreirense all · 34Moreirense at home · 17Arouca all · 34Arouca away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.261.591.241.00
W / D / L12 / 7 / 158 / 3 / 612 / 6 / 165 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match1.091.181.381.18
Goals against / match1.441.241.882.00
Clean sheets26%29%21%24%
Failed to score32%29%26%29%
Both teams scored47%47%56%53%
Over 2.550%53%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.910.941.040.87
xG against / match1.541.341.511.54
xG difference-0.63-0.41-0.48-0.66
Finishing vs xG0.180.240.340.30
xPts / match1.021.101.141.08
Points vs xPts0.250.490.09-0.08
Game state
Scored first44%47%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.202.381.821.71
PPG when conceding first0.470.880.630.44
Came back from behind25%33%24%17%
Leads held71%80%60%62%
Minutes leading22%18%20%11%
Minutes level52%60%50%54%
Minutes trailing26%21%30%34%
First goal (min)35433744
First goal conceded (min)40423532
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%70%62%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%57%50%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.180.12
Late goals against0.350.240.410.41
Style
Possession50%50%50%51%
Shots8.99.410.710.6
On target3.23.13.62.9
Shot conversion12%13%13%11%
Shots inside box59%58%58%52%
Big chances created1.71.42.11.4
Corners3.64.03.73.4
xG from set plays27%30%24%30%
Goals from headers24%30%34%40%
Pressure index10.610.210.711.0
Dominant minutes42.947.343.444.0
Pass accuracy83%83%82%82%
Fouls13.913.813.913.3
Cards2.712.593.322.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Moreirense

0–15'85
16–30'47
31–45'37
46–60'710
61–75'98
76–90'612

Arouca

0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%1.611.171.220.91.53
4-3-38 24%0.881.131.631.021.45
4-4-24 12%1.01.01.50.751.72
3-4-32 6%1.51.51.51.192.06
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.00.61.23

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%1.311.441.881.041.52
4-3-31 3%0.01.03.00.852.32
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.01.080.66

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 35%3.2Draw 29% P 30%2.62Away 36% P 35%

Double Chance

1.36Moreirense or Draw 35% P 33%1.36Moreirense or FC Arouca 35% P 35%1.53Draw or FC Arouca 31% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52% P 52%1.95No 48% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.7Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%36%35%-1.6
Draw30%30%32%+2.1
Away35%34%33%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Career
75 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
5.87 (5.36 yellow · 0.23 red)
Fouls / match
26.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.935.66+0.3755
Fouls / match27.027.9-0.44
Fouls per card4.64.9-0.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.37+0.2252
Time added8.77.7+1.3094
First card
26' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.15

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 40 200 12'8
2026-03-02 50 270 39'5
2026-01-18 61 342 32'10
2026-01-03 · Arouca 40 190 19'9
2025-12-28 61 231 15'11
2025-12-21 11 210 57'10
2025-12-07 · Arouca 62 260 28'12
2025-11-08 133 230 1'8
2025-10-27 · Moreirense 50 281 43'15
2025-10-04 90 280 13'10