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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 27

Momentum

AlvercaSporting CP
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
Capacity
7,705
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Custodio · Rui Borges
Position
10 · 3
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
16.9° (feels 16.6°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
74%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Alverca

DDDDD 0W 5D 0L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 6.79–5.3 · xPts 7.96

  • D A Gil Vicente 2–2 xG 1.79–0.84 PRT PL
  • D H AVS 0–0 xG 0.85–0.43 PRT PL
  • D A Vitória Guimarães 1–1 xG 1.94–1.71 PRT PL
  • D H Santa Clara 1–1 xG 1.36–0.67 PRT PL
  • D A Tondela 1–1 xG 0.85–1.67 PRT PL

Sporting CP

WWDLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 13 GA 5 · xG 10.01–5.63 · xPts 9.48

  • W H Bodø / Glimt 5–0 aet xG 3.76–0.56 UEFA CL
  • L A Bodø / Glimt 0–3 xG 0.64–2.7 UEFA CL
  • D A Sporting Braga 2–2 xG 1.88–1.42 PRT PL
  • W H Estoril 3–0 xG 2.03–0.55 PRT PL
  • W A Moreirense 3–0 xG 1.69–0.4 PRT PL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Alverca 00 draws3 Sporting CP

Goals 2–9 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Alverca 00 draws3 Sporting CP

Goals 2–9 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Alverca 00 draws3 Sporting CP

Goals 2–9 · 3.67 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 67%

Recent meetings

  • L Sporting CP 3–1 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Alverca 1–4 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 2–0 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricAlverca all · 34Alverca at home · 17Sporting CP all · 34Sporting CP away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.532.412.41
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 525 / 7 / 212 / 5 / 0
Goals for / match1.031.062.622.24
Goals against / match1.531.350.710.76
Clean sheets18%29%44%29%
Failed to score29%24%0%0%
Both teams scored56%53%56%71%
Over 2.550%47%71%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.161.392.091.90
xG against / match1.341.190.820.91
xG difference-0.180.201.270.99
Finishing vs xG-0.13-0.330.530.34
xPts / match1.291.512.121.98
Points vs xPts-0.140.020.300.44
Game state
Scored first35%47%76%71%
PPG when scoring first2.332.502.542.33
PPG when conceding first0.480.632.002.60
Came back from behind29%38%75%100%
Leads held71%78%81%75%
Minutes leading18%20%45%41%
Minutes level53%48%48%51%
Minutes trailing29%31%7%8%
First goal (min)49563937
First goal conceded (min)40355042
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%72%57%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%52%67%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.650.59
Late goals against0.260.180.320.24
Style
Possession45%47%62%63%
Shots9.610.617.616.1
On target3.53.66.86.1
Shot conversion11%10%15%14%
Shots inside box64%65%68%65%
Big chances created2.12.53.63.3
Corners4.44.66.97.5
xG from set plays42%48%24%23%
Goals from headers26%28%16%17%
Pressure index8.49.324.622.6
Dominant minutes39.144.469.668.8
Pass accuracy80%81%88%88%
Fouls12.513.012.212.3
Cards2.381.882.182.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'57
16–30'37
31–45'610
46–60'410
61–75'59
76–90'129

Sporting CP

0–15'74
16–30'103
31–45'211
46–60'132
61–75'163
76–90'2211

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304
When level-0.126
When behind+0.164
10 min after conceding+0.176
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.123
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.292
As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.414
Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-325 74%1.241.081.361.231.27
3-4-2-17 21%1.141.02.01.061.42
5-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.641.93

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%2.382.530.722.020.83
4-4-22 6%3.04.00.53.230.69

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

9.5Home 9% P 9%5.0Draw 18% P 15%1.22Away 73% P 76%

Double Chance

3.75Alverca or Draw 13% P 12%1.14Alverca or Sporting 42% P 43%1.06Draw or Sporting 45% P 45%

Draw No Bet

9.01 11%1.072 89%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 47%1.8No 52% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 61% P 62%2.4Under 39% P 38%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 7.5–10% · away 75–77.5% · 163 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home9%9%7%-1.3
Draw15%15%11%-4.1
Away76%76%82%+5.4

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 63%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.6

João Pedro Silva Pinheiro

Career
234 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
4.91 (4.7 yellow · 0.12 red)
Fouls / match
27.5 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 91 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.45.66-0.3036
Fouls / match27.427.8-0.22
Fouls per card5.14.9+0.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.37-0.2139
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.1

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-08 101 280 26'13
2026-02-25 71 311 14'14
2026-02-21 50 281 14'11
2026-02-18 20 160 13'12
2026-01-28 71 210 7'4
2026-01-24 40 350 18'6
2026-01-20 40 260 72'4
2026-01-17 91 230 5'9
2025-12-22 · Alverca 20 200 63'3
2025-12-09 50 200 28'6