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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 27

Momentum

TondelaAVS
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
Capacity
5,000
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Cristiano Bacci · João Oliveira Nunes Henriques
Position
17 · 18
Formation
5-4-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Miguel Bertolo Nogueira

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
10.0° (feels 10.0°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
95%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Tondela

DDWDL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 5.99–6.13 · xPts 6.73

  • L H Rio Ave 0–1 xG 0.62–1.28 PRT PL
  • D H Santa Clara 2–2 xG 1.14–1.86 PRT PL
  • W A Estrela Amadora 2–0 xG 1.42–0.91 PRT PL
  • D H Alverca 1–1 xG 1.67–0.85 PRT PL
  • D A Estoril 2–2 xG 1.14–1.23 PRT PL

AVS

WLDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 2.89–6.86 · xPts 4.63

  • L H Santa Clara 0–1 xG 0.23–1.02 PRT PL
  • D A Alverca 0–0 xG 0.43–0.85 PRT PL
  • D H Estrela Amadora 0–0 xG 0.81–0.82 PRT PL
  • L A Benfica 0–3 xG 0.11–3.36 PRT PL
  • W H Estoril 3–0 xG 1.31–0.82 PRT PL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Tondela 02 draws0 AVS

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Tondela 02 draws0 AVS

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Tondela 02 draws0 AVS

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Tondela 0–0 AVS PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D AVS 2–2 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricTondela all · 34Tondela at home · 17AVS all · 34AVS away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.820.760.620.53
W / D / L6 / 10 / 182 / 7 / 83 / 12 / 191 / 6 / 10
Goals for / match0.790.760.790.71
Goals against / match1.621.241.972.35
Clean sheets21%24%15%18%
Failed to score53%59%53%59%
Both teams scored35%35%44%41%
Over 2.550%35%59%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.350.910.91
xG against / match1.561.531.851.88
xG difference-0.30-0.18-0.94-0.97
Finishing vs xG-0.47-0.59-0.11-0.20
xPts / match1.231.300.820.81
Points vs xPts-0.40-0.54-0.20-0.28
Game state
Scored first32%24%15%6%
PPG when scoring first1.731.251.400.00
PPG when conceding first0.300.500.400.46
Came back from behind25%33%30%29%
Leads held46%33%33%25%
Minutes leading14%12%9%6%
Minutes level56%65%50%46%
Minutes trailing29%23%42%48%
First goal (min)41384854
First goal conceded (min)42443024
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%62%63%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%62%52%48%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.180.210.24
Late goals against0.440.350.260.29
Style
Possession44%45%39%39%
Shots10.612.111.110.7
On target3.43.53.12.5
Shot conversion8%6%7%7%
Shots inside box60%63%54%53%
Big chances created2.02.01.41.4
Corners4.03.93.73.9
xG from set plays46%36%39%39%
Goals from headers12%17%11%17%
Pressure index8.38.95.34.9
Dominant minutes38.141.129.125.1
Pass accuracy78%77%73%72%
Fouls14.413.913.813.4
Cards2.712.412.501.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Tondela

0–15'64
16–30'29
31–45'29
46–60'66
61–75'612
76–90'515

AVS

0–15'111
16–30'410
31–45'511
46–60'414
61–75'612
76–90'79

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%0.860.761.711.431.57
5-4-14 12%1.251.01.00.911.77
4-3-33 9%0.671.331.671.261.7
3-4-33 9%0.00.332.330.861.51
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.281.13

AVS

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-113 38%0.541.082.311.061.82
4-3-38 24%0.880.751.250.941.88
4-1-4-16 18%0.830.671.50.831.78
5-4-14 12%0.00.03.50.532.14
3-4-31 3%1.02.02.01.11.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.83Home 51% P 52%3.3Draw 28% P 28%4.5Away 21% P 20%

Double Chance

1.18Tondela or Draw 40% P 40%1.33Tondela or AVS 35% P 36%1.9Draw or AVS 25% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 47%1.75No 53% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.25Over 42% P 42%1.61Under 58% P 58%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 17.5–20% · 120 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home52%52%49%-2.4
Draw28%29%33%+4.1
Away20%19%18%-1.8

In those fixtures: 2.0 goals a game · BTTS 41% · over 2.5 38%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Miguel Bertolo Nogueira

Career
86 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.77 (4.48 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 68 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.825.66-1.0421
Fouls / match26.227.8-0.83
Fouls per card5.54.9+0.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.37-0.1542
Time added7.47.7-0.2230
First card
35' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 60 302 38'6
2026-02-08 20 220 45'4
2026-01-17 30 250 62'10
2025-12-23 81 350 58'9
2025-12-01 41 201 13'6
2025-11-01 31 241 21'6
2025-10-05 80 210 45'6
2025-09-27 · Tondela 90 382 27'8
2025-09-14 20 210 71'12
2025-09-06 50 271 37'9