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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 27

Momentum

SCBPorto
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
27

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Capacity
30,286
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Carlos Vicens · Francesco Farioli
Position
4 · 1
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
13.8° (feels 13.3°)
Wind
1.4
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting Braga

WWDLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 7 · xG 9.18–5.39 · xPts 9.11

  • W H Ferencvárosi 4–0 xG 1.31–0.31 UEFA EL
  • L A Ferencvárosi 0–2 xG 0.87–1.04 UEFA EL
  • D H Sporting CP 2–2 xG 1.42–1.88 PRT PL
  • W A Nacional 2–1 xG 3.33–1.18 PRT PL
  • W H Vitória Guimarães 3–2 xG 2.25–0.98 PRT PL

Porto

WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 4 · xG 10.09–4.57 · xPts 10.2

  • W H VfB Stuttgart 2–0 xG 1.59–1.62 UEFA EL
  • W H Moreirense 3–0 xG 1.79–0.1 PRT PL
  • W A VfB Stuttgart 2–1 xG 1.33–0.71 UEFA EL
  • D A Benfica 2–2 xG 2.16–1.76 PRT PL
  • W H Arouca 3–1 xG 3.22–0.37 PRT PL

All meetings · 43 matches since 2005

Sporting Braga 77 draws29 Porto

Goals 34–72 · 2.47 per match · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sporting Braga 21 draws7 Porto

Goals 6–14 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting Braga 10 draws4 Porto

Goals 4–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Sporting Braga 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 2–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 1–0 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 2–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 2–0 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting Braga 0–0 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 4–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 1–0 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 1–0 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting Braga all · 34Sporting Braga at home · 17Porto all · 34Porto away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.741.762.592.53
W / D / L16 / 11 / 78 / 6 / 328 / 4 / 214 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match1.882.001.941.94
Goals against / match1.061.060.530.71
Clean sheets35%35%62%53%
Failed to score9%12%3%0%
Both teams scored56%53%38%47%
Over 2.568%71%56%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.671.641.861.87
xG against / match1.060.810.710.83
xG difference0.610.831.161.04
Finishing vs xG0.210.360.080.07
xPts / match1.751.892.072.03
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.120.520.50
Game state
Scored first71%71%85%76%
PPG when scoring first2.212.252.792.85
PPG when conceding first0.600.601.501.50
Came back from behind53%62%50%50%
Leads held59%57%90%93%
Minutes leading39%42%51%48%
Minutes level44%39%43%40%
Minutes trailing17%19%6%12%
First goal (min)29253639
First goal conceded (min)40385651
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half42%41%56%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%44%78%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.410.350.24
Late goals against0.240.240.180.24
Style
Possession63%62%55%54%
Shots11.711.014.514.4
On target4.74.35.35.2
Shot conversion16%18%13%14%
Shots inside box67%66%66%65%
Big chances created2.72.72.92.8
Corners5.35.35.65.6
xG from set plays46%50%31%29%
Goals from headers14%15%14%22%
Pressure index21.319.819.919.0
Dominant minutes64.964.564.864.6
Pass accuracy87%87%84%84%
Fouls11.711.613.914.2
Cards2.442.242.532.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting Braga

0–15'113
16–30'157
31–45'118
46–60'74
61–75'66
76–90'148

Porto

0–15'91
16–30'82
31–45'121
46–60'135
61–75'123
76–90'126

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting Braga · 11 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085

Game state

When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239

Situations

At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.404
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Sporting Braga

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.671.930.931.591.21
3-4-310 29%2.52.20.92.060.93
3-4-1-25 15%0.81.21.60.931.13
4-4-22 6%1.51.50.51.650.72
4-2-3-11 3%1.02.02.02.211.24

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-334 100%2.591.940.531.860.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.1Home 30% P 30%3.1Draw 30% P 30%2.37Away 40% P 40%

Double Chance

1.61Braga or Draw 29% P 30%1.36Braga or FC Porto 35% P 35%1.33Draw or FC Porto 36% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 49%1.9No 50% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 41%1.65Under 57% P 59%

Total Corners

6.5Under 6 14%2.626 - 8 34%2.759 - 11 32%6.012 - 14 15%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 37.5–40% · 556 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home30%31%31%-0.2
Draw30%30%31%+1.5
Away40%39%38%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Career
133 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
5.92 (5.53 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
28.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 73 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.185.66+0.6973
Fouls / match28.227.8+0.18
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.40 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.37-0.1246
Time added7.17.7-0.5721
First card
29' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-06 20 270 51'5
2026-02-13 81 280 45'7
2026-01-30 70 311 42'7
2026-01-26 · Porto 41 211 35'6
2025-12-11 71 230 11'7
2025-12-05 71 350 30'9
2025-10-31 20 190 36'8
2025-10-25 20 251 23'5
2025-10-05 112 300 11'7
2025-10-02 20 190 45'4