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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 28

Momentum

MoreirenseSCB
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
Capacity
6,150
Surface
grass
Attendance
2,810

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa · Carlos Vicens
Position
9 · 4
Formation
5-4-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Bruno José Ribeiro Pires Costa

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
19.4° (feels 18.8°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
55%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Moreirense

LDDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 2 GA 9 · xG 3.79–7.73 · xPts 4.1

  • L H Arouca 0–1 xG 0.61–1.6 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 0–3 xG 0.1–1.79 PRT PL
  • D H Nacional 1–1 xG 0.98–1.35 PRT PL
  • D A Casa Pia 1–1 xG 1.7–1.3 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting CP 0–3 xG 0.4–1.69 PRT PL

Sporting Braga

WDLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 7.99–5.37 · xPts 8.38

  • L H Porto 1–2 xG 1.07–0.96 PRT PL
  • W H Ferencvárosi 4–0 xG 1.31–0.31 UEFA EL
  • L A Ferencvárosi 0–2 xG 0.87–1.04 UEFA EL
  • D H Sporting CP 2–2 xG 1.42–1.88 PRT PL
  • W A Nacional 2–1 xG 3.33–1.18 PRT PL

All meetings · 25 matches since 2013

Moreirense 24 draws19 Sporting Braga

Goals 19–45 · 2.56 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 56%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Moreirense 01 draws9 Sporting Braga

Goals 10–21 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Moreirense 01 draws4 Sporting Braga

Goals 5–10 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Moreirense 2–2 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 0–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 2–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 1–2 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 3–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 1–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 2–3 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 2–0 Moreirense neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 2–3 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 2–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricMoreirense all · 34Moreirense at home · 17Sporting Braga all · 34Sporting Braga away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.261.591.741.71
W / D / L12 / 7 / 158 / 3 / 616 / 11 / 78 / 5 / 4
Goals for / match1.091.181.881.76
Goals against / match1.441.241.061.06
Clean sheets26%29%35%35%
Failed to score32%29%9%6%
Both teams scored47%47%56%59%
Over 2.550%53%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.910.941.671.70
xG against / match1.541.341.061.31
xG difference-0.63-0.410.610.39
Finishing vs xG0.180.240.210.06
xPts / match1.021.101.751.61
Points vs xPts0.250.49-0.010.09
Game state
Scored first44%47%71%71%
PPG when scoring first2.202.382.212.17
PPG when conceding first0.470.880.600.60
Came back from behind25%33%53%43%
Leads held71%80%59%62%
Minutes leading22%18%39%36%
Minutes level52%60%44%49%
Minutes trailing26%21%17%15%
First goal (min)35432933
First goal conceded (min)40424041
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%70%42%43%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%57%50%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.410.41
Late goals against0.350.240.240.24
Style
Possession50%50%63%64%
Shots8.99.411.712.4
On target3.23.14.75.1
Shot conversion12%13%16%14%
Shots inside box59%58%67%68%
Big chances created1.71.42.72.6
Corners3.64.05.35.3
xG from set plays27%30%46%42%
Goals from headers24%30%14%14%
Pressure index10.610.221.322.8
Dominant minutes42.947.364.965.2
Pass accuracy83%83%87%86%
Fouls13.913.811.711.7
Cards2.712.592.442.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Moreirense

0–15'85
16–30'47
31–45'37
46–60'710
61–75'98
76–90'612

Sporting Braga

0–15'113
16–30'157
31–45'118
46–60'74
61–75'66
76–90'148

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Sporting Braga · 11 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085

Game state

When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239

Situations

At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%1.611.171.220.91.53
4-3-38 24%0.881.131.631.021.45
4-4-24 12%1.01.01.50.751.72
3-4-32 6%1.51.51.51.192.06
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.04.00.660.96

Sporting Braga

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.671.930.931.591.21
3-4-310 29%2.52.20.92.060.93
3-4-1-25 15%0.81.21.60.931.13
4-4-22 6%1.51.50.51.650.72
4-4-1-11 3%1.02.02.02.250.45

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

7.5Home 13% P 14%4.0Draw 24% P 22%1.48Away 64% P 64%

Double Chance

2.5Moreirense or Draw 19%1.22Moreirense or Braga 39%1.1Draw or Braga 43%

Draw No Bet

4.51 21%1.182 79%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47%1.75No 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 50%1.8Under 53% P 50%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 12.5–15% · away 62.5–65% · 233 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home14%14%16%+1.8
Draw22%22%23%+0.7
Away64%64%61%-2.5

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

Bruno José Ribeiro Pires Costa

Career
45 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.73 (4.53 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
27.4 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
41%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 46 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.435.66-1.539
Fouls / match27.527.9-0.18
Fouls per card6.24.9+1.40 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.37+0.2252
Time added8.47.7+0.9591
First card
31' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.26

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 40 210 18'4
2026-02-21 · Moreirense 20 260 38'6
2026-02-08 50 290 8'10
2025-12-29 20 151 50'7
2025-12-15 · Sporting Braga 40 250 36'7
2025-11-28 10 250 90'4
2025-09-28 31 321 16'10
2025-09-20 20 281 29'8
2025-08-23 51 250 26'8
2025-05-16 80 290 17'5