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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 28

Momentum

Rio AveAlverca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
Capacity
12,815
Surface
grass
Attendance
2,284

Teams

Coaches
Sotiris Silaidopoulos · Custodio
Position
10 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Anzhony Francisco Gonçalves Rodrigues

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
17.2° (feels 16.8°)
Wind
0.5
Humidity
72%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Rio Ave

LDWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 3 · xG 7.26–6.49 · xPts 7.48

  • W A Estoril 2–1 xG 1.97–1.18 PRT PL
  • W H Estrela Amadora 2–1 xG 2.47–1.53 PRT PL
  • W A Tondela 1–0 xG 1.28–0.62 PRT PL
  • D H Famalicão 0–0 xG 1.07–0.96 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 0–1 xG 0.48–2.19 PRT PL

Alverca

DDDDL 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 6.91–5.6 · xPts 7.9

  • L H Sporting CP 1–4 xG 0.96–1.97 PRT PL
  • D A Gil Vicente 2–2 xG 1.79–0.84 PRT PL
  • D H AVS 0–0 xG 0.85–0.43 PRT PL
  • D A Vitória Guimarães 1–1 xG 1.94–1.71 PRT PL
  • D H Santa Clara 1–1 xG 1.36–0.67 PRT PL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Rio Ave 01 draws1 Alverca

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Rio Ave 01 draws1 Alverca

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Rio Ave 01 draws1 Alverca

Goals 2–3 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Rio Ave 1–2 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Alverca 1–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricRio Ave all · 34Rio Ave at home · 17Alverca all · 34Alverca away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.060.881.150.76
W / D / L8 / 12 / 143 / 6 / 810 / 9 / 153 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.031.001.031.00
Goals against / match1.681.711.531.71
Clean sheets18%18%18%6%
Failed to score38%41%29%35%
Both teams scored53%53%56%59%
Over 2.559%65%50%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.051.301.160.93
xG against / match1.641.591.341.49
xG difference-0.59-0.29-0.18-0.56
Finishing vs xG-0.02-0.30-0.130.07
xPts / match1.061.261.291.06
Points vs xPts0.00-0.37-0.14-0.30
Game state
Scored first35%47%35%24%
PPG when scoring first1.921.632.332.00
PPG when conceding first0.530.000.480.38
Came back from behind33%11%29%23%
Leads held50%38%71%60%
Minutes leading18%23%18%16%
Minutes level51%43%53%58%
Minutes trailing31%34%29%26%
First goal (min)42294940
First goal conceded (min)39374043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%41%60%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%45%54%55%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.120.350.24
Late goals against0.320.240.260.35
Style
Possession47%48%45%43%
Shots10.412.49.68.7
On target3.94.13.53.4
Shot conversion10%8%11%12%
Shots inside box62%62%64%62%
Big chances created2.02.42.11.6
Corners4.35.14.44.1
xG from set plays31%30%42%33%
Goals from headers18%12%26%24%
Pressure index8.29.78.47.5
Dominant minutes34.840.639.133.7
Pass accuracy82%82%80%79%
Fouls12.912.212.511.9
Cards2.973.062.382.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rio Ave

0–15'34
16–30'69
31–45'412
46–60'88
61–75'813
76–90'611

Alverca

0–15'57
16–30'37
31–45'610
46–60'410
61–75'59
76–90'129

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rio Ave · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.336
Late push (76+, level)-0.022
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.643

Game state

When level-0.166
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.355
10 min after scoring-0.152

Situations

At home-0.303
Away-0.153
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.272
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog-0.195

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.326
Conceded late (76+)+0.544

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304
When level-0.126
When behind+0.164
10 min after conceding+0.176
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.123
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.292
As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.414
Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Rio Ave

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-318 53%1.111.221.780.961.85
4-2-3-113 38%1.231.01.231.321.33
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.03.00.421.71

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-325 74%1.241.081.361.231.27
3-4-2-17 21%1.141.02.01.061.42
5-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.641.93

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 34% P 35%3.25Draw 29% P 30%2.55Away 37% P 35%

Double Chance

1.53Rio Ave or Draw 31%1.33Rio Ave or Alverca 35%1.4Draw or Alverca 34%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.07Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%36%35%-1.6
Draw30%30%32%+2.1
Away35%34%33%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

Anzhony Francisco Gonçalves Rodrigues

Career
23 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.22 (4.09 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
26.5 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.48
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 22 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.095.66-1.963
Fouls / match26.627.9-0.67
Fouls per card6.54.9+1.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.50.37+0.9985
Time added6.97.7-0.8018
First card
37' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-01 50 302 9'8
2026-02-01 21 291 21'8
2026-01-25 · Alverca 40 201 33'6
2026-01-03 20 271 69'7
2025-12-08 90 320 29'8
2025-11-30 10 240 27'7
2025-09-19 · Rio Ave 30 290 25'6
2025-08-30 61 340 44'6
2025-08-23 40 220 25'7
2025-08-11 50 290 25'11