Porto v Famalicão · KickoffDNA

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 28

PortoPorto

2–2

FamalicãoFamalicão

Momentum

– PortoFamalicão –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Loading statistics…

Season context

Porto	at home	Stat	league	away	Famalicão
55.0 #4	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	51.5 #6
14.5 #3	–	Shots total	12.1	–	12.4 #7
5.3 #3	–	Shots on target	4.1	–	4.3 #6
5.7 #3	–	Corners	4.7	–	5.5 #5
13.9 #8	–	Fouls	13.7	–	15.7 #2
2.1 #1	–	Offsides	1.5	–	1.1 #18
14.9 #12	–	Tackles	15.6	–	17.3 #2
104.3 #4	–	Attacks	90.3	–	87.9 #8
51.4 #4	–	Dangerous attacks	42.1	–	46.5 #6
449.7 #4	–	Passes	405.0	–	403.8 #8
2.3 #14	–	Yellowcards	2.6	–	2.7 #7
0.0 #12	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.0 #12
1.3 #3	–	Assists	0.9	–	0.8 #8
– #16	–	Btts	48.0	–	– #17
– #1	–	Cleansheet	29.2	–	– #2
– #18	–	Draw	27.1	–	– #5
1.9 #3	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	1.4 #6
0.1 #6	–	Expected goals difference	0.0	–	-0.2 #17
– #17	–	Failed to score	29.2	–	– #12
1.9 #3	1.9	Goals	1.3	0.9	1.2 #8
0.5 #18	0.3	Goals conceded	1.3	1.0	0.8 #15
0.1 #15	–	Injury time goals	0.2	–	0.1 #15
9.2 #6	–	Interceptions	8.6	–	8.2 #14
– #16	–	Lost	36.4	–	– #14
0.2 #3	–	Penalties scored	0.2	–	0.0 #16
6.9 #3	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.9 #5
4.0 #3	–	Shots blocked	3.2	–	3.2 #8
9.6 #3	–	Shots insidebox	7.4	–	8.3 #4
5.2 #7	–	Shots off target	4.8	–	4.9 #8
4.9 #8	–	Shots outsidebox	4.6	–	4.1 #13
– #1	–	Win	36.4	–	– #5

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 306 of 306
Goals / match: 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
Home / draw / away: 41% · 27% · 32%
BTTS · over 2.5: 48% · 54%
Cards / match: 5.01 (reds 0.13)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Porto · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Victor Froholdt 8 · Central Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.99 (82th pct) · G+A 6 + 7 (20% of team goals) · 94% of minutes

Samu Aghehowa 9 · Centre Forward

Not in the squad

Rating 7.11 (93th pct) · G+A 13 + 1 (21% of team goals) · 46% of minutes

Team 2.63 ppg with (19) · 2.53 without (15)

Alberto Costa 20 · Right Back

Starts

Rating 7.03 (89th pct) · G+A 1 + 8 (14% of team goals) · 73% of minutes

Team 2.56 ppg with (25) · 2.67 without (9)

All key players

Famalicão · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Sorriso 7 · Left Wing

Starts

Rating 7.05 (90th pct) · G+A 5 + 4 (21% of team goals) · 92% of minutes

Gil Dias 23 · Right Wing

Starts

Rating 7.0 (84th pct) · G+A 4 + 7 (26% of team goals) · 82% of minutes

Mathias de Amorim 14 · Central Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.97 (81th pct) · G+A 4 + 2 (14% of team goals) · 81% of minutes

All key players

Absences

Porto

injury Gabri Veiga #4 key player midfielder · Ankle Injury · 38 missed

Famalicão

injury Óscar Aranda attacker · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 19 missed · until 2026-04-20

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 28

Venue

Stadium: Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
Capacity: 50,033
Surface: grass
Attendance: 47,562

Teams

Coaches: Francesco Farioli · Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira
Position: 1 · 6
Formation: 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Weather

Conditions: broken clouds
Temperature: 11.7° (feels 11.3°)
Wind: 2.6
Humidity: 94%

Where to watch · 1

International Bet365

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	48	88	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	65	82	DDWWW
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	49	80	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	28	59	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	34	15	11	8	42	29	13	56	DWDDW
6	Gil Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	9	50	LWDLL
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43	WLWLD
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42	WLDWW
9	Vitória Guimarães	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42	WWLLL
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39	LLDDL
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39	LWLDL
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36	DLDLD
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36	DWDWL
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34	WWLLW
15	Estrela Amadora	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30	LLLDD
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30	LLLWD
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28	LDWWL
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	3	0	33	6	27	45	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	13	2	2	51	11	40	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	11	6	0	41	13	28	39	WWDDW
4	Famalicão	17	9	4	4	27	12	15	31	DWDDW
5	Sporting Braga	17	8	6	3	34	18	16	30	WLDDD
6	Gil Vicente	17	9	3	5	28	17	11	30	LWDLL
7	Vitória Guimarães	17	8	4	5	26	19	7	28	WWLLL
8	Moreirense	17	8	3	6	20	21	-1	27	WLWLD
9	Alverca	17	7	5	5	18	23	-5	26	LWLDL
10	Arouca	17	7	4	6	27	30	-3	25	WLDWW
11	Estoril	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	LLDDL
12	Santa Clara	17	7	2	8	17	17	0	23	DWDWL
13	Nacional	17	6	2	9	23	23	0	20	WWLLW
14	Estrela Amadora	17	4	6	7	21	24	-3	18	LLLDD
15	Casa Pia	17	2	9	6	18	26	-8	15	LLLWD
16	Rio Ave	17	3	6	8	17	29	-12	15	DLDLD
17	Tondela	17	2	7	8	13	21	-8	13	LDWWL
18	AVS	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	1	2	33	12	21	43	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	12	5	0	38	13	25	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	12	5	0	33	12	21	41	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	17	8	5	4	30	18	12	29	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	17	6	7	4	15	17	-2	25	DWDDW
6	Rio Ave	17	5	6	6	18	28	-10	21	DLDLD
7	Gil Vicente	17	4	8	5	19	21	-2	20	LWDLL
8	Arouca	17	5	2	10	20	34	-14	17	WLDWW
9	Estoril	17	4	4	9	25	31	-6	16	LLDDL
10	Moreirense	17	4	4	9	17	28	-11	16	WLWLD
11	Casa Pia	17	4	3	10	13	31	-18	15	LLLWD
12	Tondela	17	4	3	10	14	34	-20	15	LDWWL
13	Nacional	17	3	5	9	14	22	-8	14	WWLLW
14	Vitória Guimarães	17	4	2	11	13	32	-19	14	WWLLL
15	Santa Clara	17	2	7	8	15	24	-9	13	DWDWL
16	Alverca	17	3	4	10	17	29	-12	13	LWLDL
17	Estrela Amadora	17	2	6	9	17	32	-15	12	LLLDD
18	AVS	17	1	6	10	12	40	-28	9	DDWWD

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Porto

DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 11 GA 4 · xG 7.82–5.27 · xPts 8.67

W A Sporting Braga 2–1 xG 0.96–1.07 PRT PL
W H VfB Stuttgart 2–0 xG 1.59–1.62 UEFA EL
W H Moreirense 3–0 xG 1.79–0.1 PRT PL
W A VfB Stuttgart 2–1 xG 1.33–0.71 UEFA EL
D A Benfica 2–2 xG 2.16–1.76 PRT PL

Famalicão

WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 1 · xG 7.32–3.2 · xPts 9.67

W H Nacional 1–0 xG 1.99–0.47 PRT PL
W A Vitória Guimarães 2–1 xG 1.26–0.51 PRT PL
W H Arouca 1–0 xG 0.96–0.55 PRT PL
D A Rio Ave 0–0 xG 0.96–1.07 PRT PL
W H Casa Pia 2–0 xG 2.16–0.6 PRT PL

All meetings · 14 matches since 2019

Porto 103 draws1 Famalicão

Goals 35–16 · 3.64 per match · BTTS 79% · over 2.5 86%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Porto 73 draws0 Famalicão

Goals 24–11 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Porto 23 draws0 Famalicão

Goals 8–6 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

D Porto 2–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
W Famalicão 0–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
W Porto 2–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
D Famalicão 1–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
D Porto 2–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
W Famalicão 0–3 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
W Famalicão 2–4 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
W Porto 4–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
W Porto 3–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
W Famalicão 1–2 Porto neutral PRT PL · Regular Season

Metric	Porto all · 34	Porto at home · 17	Famalicão all · 34	Famalicão away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	2.59	2.65	1.65	1.47
W / D / L	28 / 4 / 2	14 / 3 / 0	15 / 11 / 8	6 / 7 / 4
Goals for / match	1.94	1.94	1.24	0.88
Goals against / match	0.53	0.35	0.85	1.00
Clean sheets	62%	71%	50%	41%
Failed to score	3%	6%	26%	35%
Both teams scored	38%	29%	35%	35%
Over 2.5	56%	47%	38%	29%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.86	1.85	1.42	1.24
xG against / match	0.71	0.58	1.00	1.12
xG difference	1.16	1.27	0.42	0.12
Finishing vs xG	0.08	0.09	-0.18	-0.36
xPts / match	2.07	2.12	1.66	1.48
Points vs xPts	0.52	0.53	-0.01	-0.01
Game state
Scored first	85%	94%	53%	47%
PPG when scoring first	2.79	2.75	2.44	2.50
PPG when conceding first	1.50	–	0.67	0.43
Came back from behind	50%	–	43%	43%
Leads held	90%	88%	75%	67%
Minutes leading	51%	54%	24%	20%
Minutes level	43%	46%	60%	67%
Minutes trailing	6%	0%	16%	13%
First goal (min)	36	33	47	52
First goal conceded (min)	56	65	39	50
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	56%	52%	64%	73%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	78%	100%	55%	71%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.35	0.47	0.26	0.12
Late goals against	0.18	0.12	0.26	0.53
Style
Possession	55%	56%	52%	49%
Shots	14.5	14.6	12.4	10.5
On target	5.3	5.4	4.3	3.6
Shot conversion	13%	13%	10%	8%
Shots inside box	66%	68%	67%	68%
Big chances created	2.9	2.9	2.5	2.2
Corners	5.6	5.6	5.5	5.2
xG from set plays	31%	33%	31%	32%
Goals from headers	14%	6%	26%	33%
Pressure index	19.9	20.8	13.8	11.5
Dominant minutes	64.8	64.9	53.5	50.7
Pass accuracy	84%	85%	82%	81%
Fouls	13.9	13.6	15.7	16.0
Cards	2.53	2.12	2.68	2.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Porto

0–15'91

16–30'82

31–45'121

46–60'135

61–75'123

76–90'126

Famalicão

0–15'34

16–30'65

31–45'64

46–60'85

61–75'102

76–90'99

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407

Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146

When level+0.807

When behind+0.193

10 min after conceding+0.203

10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.404

Away+0.393

4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605

As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077

Conceded when ahead+0.126

Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Famalicão · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026

Early press (0-15, level)-0.196

Late push (76+, level)-0.345

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.013

When level-0.106

When behind+0.284

10 min after conceding-0.235

10 min after scoring+0.114

Situations

At home+0.003

Away-0.043

4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.192

As favourite+0.092

Evenly matched-0.043

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.046

Conceded when ahead-0.013

Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.37

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	34 100%	2.59	1.94	0.53	1.86	0.71

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	25 74%	1.6	1.24	0.92	1.4	1.07
4-3-3	7 21%	1.86	1.14	0.57	1.61	0.69
4-1-4-1	2 6%	1.5	1.5	1.0	1.03	1.17

Metric	Porto all · 10	Porto at home · 10	Famalicão all · 10	Famalicão away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	2.40	2.30	1.20	1.20
W / D / L	8 / 0 / 2	7 / 2 / 1	2 / 6 / 2	2 / 6 / 2
Goals for / match	1.80	1.50	0.90	1.00
Goals against / match	0.70	0.60	0.90	1.00
Clean sheets	60%	60%	40%	30%
Failed to score	10%	10%	30%	40%
Both teams scored	30%	30%	50%	50%
Over 2.5	40%	20%	30%	40%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.96	1.85	1.16	1.23
xG against / match	1.09	1.07	1.06	1.05
xG difference	0.87	0.78	0.10	0.18
Finishing vs xG	-0.16	-0.35	-0.26	-0.23
xPts / match	1.86	1.79	1.44	1.51
Points vs xPts	0.54	0.52	-0.24	-0.31
Game state
Scored first	60%	80%	50%	40%
PPG when scoring first	3.00	2.50	1.60	2.00
PPG when conceding first	1.50	1.50	0.67	0.50
Came back from behind	50%	50%	60%	60%
Leads held	100%	78%	40%	40%
Minutes leading	45%	38%	17%	23%
Minutes level	42%	56%	66%	61%
Minutes trailing	14%	7%	17%	16%
First goal (min)	37	37	48	33
First goal conceded (min)	33	34	44	42
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	50%	53%	67%	60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	57%	67%	56%	60%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.30	0.20	0.40	0.20
Late goals against	0.20	0.20	0.20	0.30
Style
Possession	55%	52%	55%	50%
Shots	14.4	14.4	10.2	9.2
On target	5.1	5.6	3.4	3.7
Shot conversion	12%	10%	9%	11%
Shots inside box	69%	68%	56%	62%
Big chances created	3.1	2.7	2.1	2.1
Corners	6.7	6.4	6.1	5.6
xG from set plays	32%	32%	41%	33%
Goals from headers	29%	13%	25%	20%
Pressure index	16.3	16.0	12.8	10.8
Dominant minutes	56.6	57.3	56.3	49.2
Pass accuracy	84%	84%	85%	82%
Fouls	12.7	12.1	12.1	12.8
Cards	1.00	1.70	1.90	2.40

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Porto

0–15'30

16–30'12

31–45'51

46–60'32

61–75'30

76–90'32

Famalicão

0–15'21

16–30'03

31–45'10

46–60'11

61–75'12

76–90'42

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	10 100%	2.4	1.8	0.7	1.96	1.09

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	9 90%	1.22	1.0	1.0	1.05	1.14
4-3-3	1 10%	1.0	0.0	0.0	2.07	0.29

Metric	Porto all · 48	Porto at home · 24	Famalicão all · 35	Famalicão away · 18
Results
Matches	48	24	35	18
Points per game	2.40	2.54	1.43	1.17
W / D / L	36 / 7 / 5	19 / 4 / 1	12 / 14 / 9	4 / 9 / 5
Goals for / match	1.81	1.83	1.17	0.89
Goals against / match	0.65	0.54	0.97	1.17
Clean sheets	50%	54%	40%	28%
Failed to score	8%	8%	29%	39%
Both teams scored	44%	42%	43%	44%
Over 2.5	50%	46%	37%	33%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.85	1.93	1.40	1.27
xG against / match	0.86	0.79	1.03	1.15
xG difference	0.99	1.15	0.36	0.12
Finishing vs xG	-0.04	-0.10	-0.23	-0.38
xPts / match	1.97	2.03	1.62	1.48
Points vs xPts	0.43	0.51	-0.19	-0.31
Game state
Scored first	73%	83%	49%	44%
PPG when scoring first	2.77	2.70	2.18	2.00
PPG when conceding first	1.42	2.00	0.64	0.38
Came back from behind	58%	67%	47%	44%
Leads held	90%	86%	63%	44%
Minutes leading	45%	49%	22%	22%
Minutes level	43%	47%	60%	61%
Minutes trailing	12%	4%	18%	17%
First goal (min)	36	30	46	43
First goal conceded (min)	43	48	42	50
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	52%	48%	63%	62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	58%	69%	59%	71%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.35	0.38	0.31	0.17
Late goals against	0.19	0.17	0.31	0.50
Style
Possession	54%	53%	53%	50%
Shots	14.2	14.4	12.2	10.2
On target	5.1	5.2	4.2	3.5
Shot conversion	13%	13%	10%	9%
Shots inside box	66%	67%	64%	64%
Big chances created	2.8	3.1	2.4	2.2
Corners	5.7	5.6	5.6	5.2
xG from set plays	32%	30%	31%	33%
Goals from headers	14%	9%	25%	25%
Pressure index	20.0	21.1	14.3	11.1
Dominant minutes	61.4	60.9	54.1	48.9
Pass accuracy	84%	84%	83%	82%
Fouls	13.0	13.0	14.6	15.1
Cards	2.19	1.75	2.43	2.44

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Porto

0–15'145

16–30'114

31–45'174

46–60'147

61–75'142

76–90'179

Famalicão

0–15'44

16–30'46

31–45'74

46–60'76

61–75'83

76–90'1111

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Porto · 48 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.90

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.4748

Early press (0-15, level)+0.5847

Late push (76+, level)+0.3814

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.076

Game state

When ahead+0.4439

When level+0.4947

When behind+0.5012

10 min after conceding+0.2622

10 min after scoring+0.9043

Situations

With ten men+0.364

Against ten men+0.616

At home+0.4124

Away+0.5424

3 days rest or fewer+0.249

4+ days rest+0.5239

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.1711

v mid-tier opponents+0.517

v bottom-tier opponents+0.7116

As favourite+0.6040

Evenly matched-0.065

As underdog-0.323

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1348

Conceded when ahead-0.0539

Conceded late (76+)-0.2743

Congested vs rested -0.29 · Ahead vs level -0.05 · Behind vs level +0.01

Famalicão · 35 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.1635

Early press (0-15, level)+0.0935

Late push (76+, level)-0.0018

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1114

Game state

When ahead+0.3219

When level+0.1035

When behind+0.1417

10 min after conceding-0.1821

10 min after scoring+0.6425

Situations

With ten men-0.052

Against ten men-0.316

At home+0.2517

Away+0.0718

4+ days rest+0.1635

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.228

v mid-tier opponents+0.046

v bottom-tier opponents+0.3313

As favourite+0.3619

Evenly matched+0.068

As underdog-0.228

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.0735

Conceded when ahead-0.1819

Conceded late (76+)-0.0934

Ahead vs level +0.22 · Behind vs level +0.04

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	48 100%	2.4	1.81	0.65	1.85	0.86

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	26 74%	1.31	1.15	1.08	1.37	1.12
4-3-3	7 20%	1.86	1.14	0.57	1.61	0.69
4-1-4-1	2 6%	1.5	1.5	1.0	1.03	1.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.42Home 66% P 67%4.33Draw 22% P 21%7.5Away 12% P 12%

Double Chance

1.1FC Porto or Draw 43%1.22FC Porto or Famalicao 39%2.62Draw or Famalicao 18%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44%1.66No 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.95Over 49% P 48%1.85Under 51% P 52%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 10–12.5% · 253 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	67%	66%	64%	-2.0
Draw	21%	22%	22%	+0.4
Away	12%	12%	13%	+1.7

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 42% · over 2.5 47%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	48%	49%	50%	+1.3

Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Career: 25 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match: 4.8 (4.8 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match: 27.6 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.08
Cards to home side: 49%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 25 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	4.68	5.66	-1.22	15
Fouls / match	27.6	27.8	-0.15
Fouls per card	5.9	4.9	+1.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.04	0.37	-2.26	0
Time added	7.7	7.7	+0.13	42

First card: 28' on average
Card timing: 16% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match: 1.0

Recent matches

Date	Y	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-03-14	4	22	0	35'	5
2026-02-27	5	26	0	56'	5
2026-01-31	3	26	0	14'	3
2026-01-11	2	20	0	30'	6
2025-11-03	5	30	0	51'	7
2025-10-26 · Famalicão	3	34	0	26'	10
2025-09-23	6	33	0	10'	11
2025-09-20	10	37	0	7'	10
2025-08-31	4	19	1	15'	11
2025-08-24 · Porto	4	19	0	28'	4

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Porto · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Famalicão · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Absences

Porto

Famalicão

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 1

Porto

Famalicão

All meetings · 14 matches since 2019

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Porto

Famalicão

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Porto · 7 matches

Famalicão · 6 matches

Porto

Famalicão

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Porto

Famalicão

Porto

Famalicão

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Porto

Famalicão

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Porto · 48 matches

Famalicão · 35 matches

Porto

Famalicão

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 10–12.5% · 253 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 25 matches)

Recent matches