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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 20

Momentum

VSCMoreirense
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
20

Venue

Stadium
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Capacity
30,029
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,826

Teams

Coaches
Luís Correia Pinto · Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
Position
9 · 6
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
9.0° (feels 5.5°)
Wind
7.7
Humidity
84%

Where to watch · 4

  • International Bet365
  • Portugal Sport TV Multiscreen · Sport TV1
  • Ukraine Megogo

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Vitória Guimarães

LDWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 7.01–8.99 · xPts 6.01

  • L A Estoril 2–4 xG 1.95–1.97 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 0–1 xG 1.52–2.46 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 2–1 xG 0.98–1.32 PRT PL
  • D A Casa Pia 0–0 xG 1.34–0.45 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting CP 1–4 xG 1.22–2.79 PRT PL

Moreirense

DWWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 2 · xG 4.71–4.85 · xPts 6.53

  • W H Santa Clara 1–0 xG 0.15–0.29 PRT PL
  • L A Alverca 1–2 xG 1.45–2.47 PRT PL
  • W H Tondela 1–0 xG 0.55–0.51 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 2–0 xG 1.74–0.47 PRT PL
  • D A Estrela Amadora 0–0 xG 0.82–1.11 PRT PL

All meetings · 24 matches since 2012

Vitória Guimarães 164 draws4 Moreirense

Goals 35–20 · 2.29 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 38%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Vitória Guimarães 62 draws2 Moreirense

Goals 12–8 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Vitória Guimarães 31 draws1 Moreirense

Goals 5–4 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 2–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 2–2 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 1–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 0–1 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 2–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 2–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 2–2 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricVitória Guimarães all · 34Vitória Guimarães at home · 17Moreirense all · 34Moreirense away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.241.651.260.94
W / D / L12 / 6 / 168 / 4 / 512 / 7 / 154 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match1.151.531.091.00
Goals against / match1.501.121.441.65
Clean sheets29%29%26%24%
Failed to score35%24%32%35%
Both teams scored41%53%47%47%
Over 2.544%53%50%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.330.910.88
xG against / match1.291.211.541.74
xG difference-0.020.13-0.63-0.85
Finishing vs xG-0.120.200.180.12
xPts / match1.381.481.020.93
Points vs xPts-0.150.170.250.01
Game state
Scored first41%41%44%41%
PPG when scoring first2.142.432.202.00
PPG when conceding first0.561.110.470.11
Came back from behind20%44%25%18%
Leads held71%80%71%57%
Minutes leading16%20%22%26%
Minutes level55%60%52%43%
Minutes trailing29%20%26%31%
First goal (min)45453526
First goal conceded (min)37444038
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%65%60%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%58%61%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.180.12
Late goals against0.290.290.350.47
Style
Possession51%50%50%49%
Shots13.313.58.98.5
On target3.94.13.23.4
Shot conversion9%11%12%12%
Shots inside box56%58%59%60%
Big chances created1.61.61.72.1
Corners4.44.43.63.3
xG from set plays35%43%27%24%
Goals from headers16%15%24%18%
Pressure index12.914.010.611.0
Dominant minutes53.853.942.938.5
Pass accuracy82%82%83%82%
Fouls14.515.513.914.1
Cards2.412.762.712.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'27
16–30'87
31–45'79
46–60'68
61–75'1010
76–90'610

Moreirense

0–15'85
16–30'47
31–45'37
46–60'710
61–75'98
76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154

Game state

When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373

Situations

At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.160.961.481.191.32
4-4-23 9%2.02.01.331.451.41
3-4-32 6%1.51.52.01.141.39
4-3-32 6%2.03.00.52.440.4
4-4-1-11 3%0.00.03.00.531.83

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%1.611.171.220.91.53
4-3-38 24%0.881.131.631.021.45
4-4-24 12%1.01.01.50.751.72
3-4-32 6%1.51.51.51.192.06
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.04.00.660.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.85Home 51% P 50%3.3Draw 28% P 29%4.5Away 21% P 21%

Double Chance

1.18Guimaraes or Draw 40% P 40%1.33Guimaraes or Moreirense 36% P 36%1.95Draw or Moreirense 24% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45% P 48%1.7No 55% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.25Over 42% P 43%1.61Under 58% P 57%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 18%15.0Over 14 6%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home50%51%55%+3.6
Draw29%27%26%-1.4
Away21%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Career
133 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
5.92 (5.53 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
28.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 73 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.185.66+0.6973
Fouls / match28.227.8+0.18
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.40 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.37-0.1246
Time added7.17.7-0.5721
First card
29' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-26 41 211 35'6
2025-12-11 71 230 11'7
2025-12-05 71 350 30'9
2025-10-31 20 190 36'8
2025-10-25 20 251 23'5
2025-10-05 112 300 11'7
2025-10-02 20 190 45'4
2025-09-20 · Vitória Guimarães 50 291 45'12
2025-09-13 70 390 20'10
2025-08-29 · Moreirense 30 300 74'6