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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 28

Momentum

Sporting CPSanta Clara
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
28

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
Capacity
52,095
Surface
grass
Attendance
46,463

Teams

Coaches
Rui Borges · Petit
Position
2 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

André Filipe Domingues Narciso

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
18.6° (feels 17.6°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
41%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting CP

WDLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 14 GA 6 · xG 10.29–6.19 · xPts 9.21

  • W A Alverca 4–1 xG 1.97–0.96 PRT PL
  • W H Bodø / Glimt 5–0 aet xG 3.76–0.56 UEFA CL
  • L A Bodø / Glimt 0–3 xG 0.64–2.7 UEFA CL
  • D A Sporting Braga 2–2 xG 1.88–1.42 PRT PL
  • W H Estoril 3–0 xG 2.03–0.55 PRT PL

Santa Clara

DDWWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 4.79–4.6 · xPts 6.77

  • W H Gil Vicente 1–0 xG 0.28–0.81 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 1–0 xG 1.02–0.23 PRT PL
  • W H Vitória Guimarães 2–0 xG 0.96–1.05 PRT PL
  • D A Tondela 2–2 xG 1.86–1.14 PRT PL
  • D A Alverca 1–1 xG 0.67–1.36 PRT PL

All meetings · 14 matches since 2018

Sporting CP 120 draws2 Santa Clara

Goals 30–11 · 2.93 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 71%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sporting CP 80 draws2 Santa Clara

Goals 22–10 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting CP 40 draws1 Santa Clara

Goals 10–4 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Sporting CP 4–2 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Santa Clara 1–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Santa Clara 0–1 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 0–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 3–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Santa Clara 1–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 4–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 3–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 2–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Santa Clara 1–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting CP all · 34Sporting CP at home · 17Santa Clara all · 34Santa Clara away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.412.411.060.76
W / D / L25 / 7 / 213 / 2 / 29 / 9 / 162 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match2.623.000.940.88
Goals against / match0.710.651.211.41
Clean sheets44%59%29%18%
Failed to score0%0%38%41%
Both teams scored56%41%41%47%
Over 2.571%82%35%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.092.291.061.02
xG against / match0.820.741.071.22
xG difference1.271.55-0.01-0.20
Finishing vs xG0.530.71-0.12-0.13
xPts / match2.122.251.351.22
Points vs xPts0.300.16-0.29-0.46
Game state
Scored first76%82%35%29%
PPG when scoring first2.542.712.081.40
PPG when conceding first2.001.000.420.45
Came back from behind75%33%30%43%
Leads held81%87%69%40%
Minutes leading45%50%15%12%
Minutes level48%44%55%54%
Minutes trailing7%6%29%35%
First goal (min)39424036
First goal conceded (min)50623635
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%59%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%49%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.650.710.350.35
Late goals against0.320.410.180.24
Style
Possession62%61%48%48%
Shots17.619.111.711.8
On target6.87.53.23.2
Shot conversion15%16%8%8%
Shots inside box68%70%56%59%
Big chances created3.63.81.91.8
Corners6.96.24.64.7
xG from set plays24%24%39%35%
Goals from headers16%16%19%7%
Pressure index24.626.710.19.4
Dominant minutes69.670.546.142.9
Pass accuracy88%88%79%81%
Fouls12.212.114.913.2
Cards2.181.533.032.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting CP

0–15'74
16–30'103
31–45'211
46–60'132
61–75'163
76–90'2211

Santa Clara

0–15'116
16–30'17
31–45'18
46–60'38
61–75'46
76–90'126

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

Santa Clara · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.302

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level-0.186
10 min after conceding-0.223
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home+0.073
Away-0.263
4+ days rest-0.116

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.184
As favourite+0.322
Evenly matched-0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.225
Conceded late (76+)-0.255

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.44

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%2.382.530.722.020.83
4-4-22 6%3.04.00.53.230.69

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-39 26%1.330.890.670.971.01
3-4-37 21%1.290.861.141.251.06
4-2-3-16 18%1.331.00.831.080.96
3-4-2-13 9%0.01.02.331.261.82
5-4-13 9%0.00.331.330.391.04

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.3Home 72% P 72%5.5Draw 17% P 19%9.0Away 10% P 10%

Double Chance

1.07Sporting or Draw 45%1.14Sporting or Santa Clara 42%3.5Draw or Santa Clara 14%

Draw No Bet

1.081 88%8.02 12%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44%1.66No 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.7Over 55% P 52%2.1Under 45% P 48%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 70–72.5% · away 7.5–10% · 200 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home72%72%80%+8.5
Draw19%19%15%-4.1
Away10%9%5%-4.3

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

André Filipe Domingues Narciso

Career
107 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
5.62 (5.36 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
31.4 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.36
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 71 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.345.66-0.3830
Fouls / match29.527.9+0.85
Fouls per card5.54.9+0.56 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.420.37+0.4567
Time added7.27.7-0.4527
First card
30' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.28

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-22 60 271 41'10
2026-02-23 50 330 13'5
2026-01-02 40 380 25'7
2025-12-22 10 321 34'9
2025-11-30 40 250 12'7
2025-11-08 30 251 56'6
2025-05-17 30 320 33'6
2025-05-03 101 410 9'8
2025-04-04 40 310 56'6