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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 29

Momentum

SCBArouca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Capacity
30,286
Surface
grass
Attendance
12,449

Teams

Coaches
Carlos Vicens · Vasco Freire De Seabra
Position
4 · 12
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 5-4-1

Referee

Cláudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
11.6° (feels 10.5°)
Wind
3.7
Humidity
64%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting Braga

LWLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 5.65–4.35 · xPts 7.85

  • D H Real Betis 1–1 xG 1.18–1.44 UEFA EL
  • W A Moreirense 1–0 xG 1.23–0.6 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 1–2 xG 1.07–0.96 PRT PL
  • W H Ferencvárosi 4–0 xG 1.31–0.31 UEFA EL
  • L A Ferencvárosi 0–2 xG 0.87–1.04 UEFA EL

Arouca

LLLWW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 6.78–8.06 · xPts 6.62

  • W H Estoril 3–2 xG 1.71–0.93 PRT PL
  • W A Moreirense 1–0 xG 1.6–0.61 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 1–2 xG 2.55–2.34 PRT PL
  • L A Famalicão 0–1 xG 0.55–0.96 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 1–3 xG 0.37–3.22 PRT PL

All meetings · 18 matches since 2013

Sporting Braga 124 draws2 Arouca

Goals 34–10 · 2.44 per match · BTTS 28% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sporting Braga 90 draws1 Arouca

Goals 25–5 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting Braga 40 draws1 Arouca

Goals 9–5 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Sporting Braga 1–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–4 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 2–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 1–2 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 0–3 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 2–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–6 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 1–0 Arouca neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 0–6 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting Braga all · 34Sporting Braga at home · 17Arouca all · 34Arouca away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.741.761.241.00
W / D / L16 / 11 / 78 / 6 / 312 / 6 / 165 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match1.882.001.381.18
Goals against / match1.061.061.882.00
Clean sheets35%35%21%24%
Failed to score9%12%26%29%
Both teams scored56%53%56%53%
Over 2.568%71%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.671.641.040.87
xG against / match1.060.811.511.54
xG difference0.610.83-0.48-0.66
Finishing vs xG0.210.360.340.30
xPts / match1.751.891.141.08
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.120.09-0.08
Game state
Scored first71%71%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.212.251.821.71
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.630.44
Came back from behind53%62%24%17%
Leads held59%57%60%62%
Minutes leading39%42%20%11%
Minutes level44%39%50%54%
Minutes trailing17%19%30%34%
First goal (min)29253744
First goal conceded (min)40383532
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half42%41%62%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%44%50%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.410.180.12
Late goals against0.240.240.410.41
Style
Possession63%62%50%51%
Shots11.711.010.710.6
On target4.74.33.62.9
Shot conversion16%18%13%11%
Shots inside box67%66%58%52%
Big chances created2.72.72.11.4
Corners5.35.33.73.4
xG from set plays46%50%24%30%
Goals from headers14%15%34%40%
Pressure index21.319.810.711.0
Dominant minutes64.964.543.444.0
Pass accuracy87%87%82%82%
Fouls11.711.613.913.3
Cards2.442.243.322.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting Braga

0–15'113
16–30'157
31–45'118
46–60'74
61–75'66
76–90'148

Arouca

0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting Braga · 11 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085

Game state

When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239

Situations

At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Sporting Braga

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.671.930.931.591.21
3-4-310 29%2.52.20.92.060.93
3-4-1-25 15%0.81.21.60.931.13
4-4-22 6%1.51.50.51.650.72
4-4-1-11 3%1.02.02.02.250.45

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%1.311.441.881.041.52
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.01.080.66
4-3-31 3%0.01.03.00.852.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.4Home 67% P 66%4.5Draw 21% P 21%8.0Away 12% P 13%

Double Chance

1.1Braga or Draw 43%1.18Braga or FC Arouca 40%2.75Draw or FC Arouca 17%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 56% P 54%2.15Under 44% P 46%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home66%66%69%+3.3
Draw21%20%20%-0.7
Away13%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Cláudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira

Career
83 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
5.02 (4.8 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
27.1 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 54 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.25.66-0.5627
Fouls / match24.627.9-1.69
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.32 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.37-0.9715
Time added7.97.7+0.3667
First card
30' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-08-17 61 340 33'9
2025-08-10 · Sporting Braga 40 191 70'5
2025-08-05 20 130 41'7
2025-07-31 40 321 10'7
2025-05-17 70 331 15'9
2025-05-11 62 321 5'12
2025-04-12 62 290 10'3