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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 29

Momentum

AlvercaCasa Pia
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
Capacity
7,705
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,894

Teams

Coaches
Custodio · Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco
Position
11 · 16
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-4-3

Referee

Luí­s Carlos Mateus Filipe

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
15.0° (feels 13.8°)
Wind
10.3
Humidity
51%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Alverca

DDDLW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 6.93–6.49 · xPts 7.27

  • W A Rio Ave 2–1 xG 1.38–1.55 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting CP 1–4 xG 0.96–1.97 PRT PL
  • D A Gil Vicente 2–2 xG 1.79–0.84 PRT PL
  • D H AVS 0–0 xG 0.85–0.43 PRT PL
  • D A Vitória Guimarães 1–1 xG 1.94–1.71 PRT PL

Casa Pia

LDDLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 2 GA 8 · xG 4.15–9.9 · xPts 4.08

  • D H Benfica 1–1 xG 0.43–2.38 PRT PL
  • L A Estrela Amadora 0–4 xG 0.42–3.17 PRT PL
  • D A Estoril 0–0 xG 1.4–0.48 PRT PL
  • D H Moreirense 1–1 xG 1.3–1.7 PRT PL
  • L A Famalicão 0–2 xG 0.6–2.16 PRT PL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Alverca 20 draws0 Casa Pia

Goals 5–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Alverca 20 draws0 Casa Pia

Goals 5–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Alverca 20 draws0 Casa Pia

Goals 5–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Alverca 3–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 0–2 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricAlverca all · 34Alverca at home · 17Casa Pia all · 34Casa Pia away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.530.880.88
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 56 / 12 / 164 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match1.031.060.910.76
Goals against / match1.531.351.681.82
Clean sheets18%29%21%29%
Failed to score29%24%44%47%
Both teams scored56%53%47%35%
Over 2.550%47%44%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.161.390.940.91
xG against / match1.341.191.561.63
xG difference-0.180.20-0.62-0.72
Finishing vs xG-0.13-0.33-0.03-0.14
xPts / match1.291.511.000.94
Points vs xPts-0.140.02-0.12-0.06
Game state
Scored first35%47%29%29%
PPG when scoring first2.332.501.501.80
PPG when conceding first0.480.630.550.40
Came back from behind29%38%30%17%
Leads held71%78%46%67%
Minutes leading18%20%17%14%
Minutes level53%48%53%46%
Minutes trailing29%31%30%40%
First goal (min)49564244
First goal conceded (min)40353928
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%72%48%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%52%56%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.180.18
Late goals against0.260.180.320.29
Style
Possession45%47%41%41%
Shots9.610.68.99.4
On target3.53.62.93.0
Shot conversion11%10%10%8%
Shots inside box64%65%62%62%
Big chances created2.12.51.71.6
Corners4.44.64.04.5
xG from set plays42%48%38%34%
Goals from headers26%28%19%15%
Pressure index8.49.37.15.3
Dominant minutes39.144.435.629.6
Pass accuracy80%81%72%74%
Fouls12.513.015.915.0
Cards2.381.883.002.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'57
16–30'37
31–45'610
46–60'410
61–75'59
76–90'129

Casa Pia

0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304
When level-0.126
When behind+0.164
10 min after conceding+0.176
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.123
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.292
As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.414
Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-325 74%1.241.081.361.231.27
3-4-2-17 21%1.141.02.01.061.42
5-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.641.93

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-323 68%1.041.091.611.021.49
3-4-2-14 12%0.250.252.00.691.55
5-4-13 9%0.330.672.330.72.23
3-5-22 6%0.00.52.00.851.51
4-1-4-11 3%3.02.01.01.621.64

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 50%3.4Draw 28% P 28%4.2Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.22Alverca or Draw 39%1.3Alverca or Casa Pia 36%1.9Draw or Casa Pia 25%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.15Over 44% P 43%1.66Under 56% P 57%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 20–22.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home50%49%47%-2.2
Draw28%29%33%+3.5
Away22%22%20%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Luí­s Carlos Mateus Filipe

Career
10 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
5.3 (5.1 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
27.2 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 9 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 6.0 cards, 27.2 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-03 30 230 20'7
2026-02-28 · Alverca 30 210 35'13
2026-02-21 82 260 13'5
2026-02-09 50 230 4'9
2025-12-28 · Casa Pia 60 340 9'8
2025-11-02 80 351 38'8
2025-10-03 · Casa Pia 60 260 34'6
2025-09-12 · Alverca 30 281 51'10