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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 29

Momentum

FamalicãoMoreirense
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho, Vila Nova de Famalicão
Capacity
5,307
Surface
grass
Attendance
4,060

Teams

Coaches
Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira · Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
Position
5 · 9
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-4-2

Referee

Gustavo Fernandes Correia

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
17.5° (feels 17.6°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
89%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Famalicão

DWWWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 7.15–3.36 · xPts 9.48

  • D A Porto 2–2 xG 1.99–0.76 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 1–0 xG 1.99–0.47 PRT PL
  • W A Vitória Guimarães 2–1 xG 1.26–0.51 PRT PL
  • W H Arouca 1–0 xG 0.96–0.55 PRT PL
  • D A Rio Ave 0–0 xG 0.96–1.07 PRT PL

Moreirense

DDLLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 4.0–7.27 · xPts 4.48

  • L H Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 0.6–1.23 PRT PL
  • L H Arouca 0–1 xG 0.61–1.6 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 0–3 xG 0.1–1.79 PRT PL
  • D H Nacional 1–1 xG 0.98–1.35 PRT PL
  • D A Casa Pia 1–1 xG 1.7–1.3 PRT PL

All meetings · 12 matches since 2019

Famalicão 27 draws3 Moreirense

Goals 16–15 · 2.58 per match · BTTS 42% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Famalicão 25 draws3 Moreirense

Goals 12–11 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Famalicão 13 draws1 Moreirense

Goals 5–4 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Famalicão 1–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 2–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 2–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 0–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 1–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Famalicão 0–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 5–0 Moreirense neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 2–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 3–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 0–2 Moreirense neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricFamalicão all · 34Famalicão at home · 17Moreirense all · 34Moreirense away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.651.821.260.94
W / D / L15 / 11 / 89 / 4 / 412 / 7 / 154 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match1.241.591.091.00
Goals against / match0.850.711.441.65
Clean sheets50%59%26%24%
Failed to score26%18%32%35%
Both teams scored35%35%47%47%
Over 2.538%47%50%47%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.421.600.910.88
xG against / match1.000.881.541.74
xG difference0.420.71-0.63-0.85
Finishing vs xG-0.18-0.010.180.12
xPts / match1.661.831.020.93
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.010.250.01
Game state
Scored first53%59%44%41%
PPG when scoring first2.442.402.202.00
PPG when conceding first0.671.000.470.11
Came back from behind43%43%25%18%
Leads held75%82%71%57%
Minutes leading24%27%22%26%
Minutes level60%54%52%43%
Minutes trailing16%19%26%31%
First goal (min)47433526
First goal conceded (min)39234038
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half64%59%60%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%33%61%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.410.180.12
Late goals against0.260.000.350.47
Style
Possession52%54%50%49%
Shots12.414.38.98.5
On target4.35.13.23.4
Shot conversion10%11%12%12%
Shots inside box67%67%59%60%
Big chances created2.52.71.72.1
Corners5.55.73.63.3
xG from set plays31%29%27%24%
Goals from headers26%22%24%18%
Pressure index13.816.210.611.0
Dominant minutes53.556.342.938.5
Pass accuracy82%82%83%82%
Fouls15.715.413.914.1
Cards2.682.712.712.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Famalicão

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'64
46–60'85
61–75'102
76–90'99

Moreirense

0–15'85
16–30'47
31–45'37
46–60'710
61–75'98
76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Famalicão · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.345
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.013
When level-0.106
When behind+0.284
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.114

Situations

At home+0.003
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.192
As favourite+0.092
Evenly matched-0.043

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.046
Conceded when ahead-0.013
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.37

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.61.240.921.41.07
4-3-37 21%1.861.140.571.610.69
4-1-4-12 6%1.51.51.01.031.17

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%1.611.171.220.91.53
4-3-38 24%0.881.131.631.021.45
4-4-24 12%1.01.01.50.751.72
3-4-32 6%1.51.51.51.192.06
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.04.00.660.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.45Home 64% P 65%4.2Draw 22% P 23%7.0Away 13% P 12%

Double Chance

1.1Famalicao or Draw 43%1.22Famalicao or Moreirense 39%2.62Draw or Moreirense 18%

Draw No Bet

1.141 83%5.52 17%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44%1.66No 56%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.95Over 49% P 48%1.85Under 51% P 52%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 10–12.5% · 253 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home65%66%64%-2.0
Draw23%22%22%+0.4
Away12%12%13%+1.7

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 42% · over 2.5 47%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Gustavo Fernandes Correia

Career
101 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
6.28 (5.75 yellow · 0.35 red)
Fouls / match
29.2 · 4.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.47
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 68 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.725.66+1.3797
Fouls / match29.927.9+1.04
Fouls per card4.54.9-0.78 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.480.37+0.8882
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
27' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.17

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-27 20 160 89'5
2025-10-23 40 170 33'6
2025-09-21 71 290 34'11
2025-08-30 80 320 21'10
2025-08-08 50 250 4'8
2025-07-31 70 300 21'5
2025-07-17 54 271 14'6
2025-05-17 40 310 25'7
2025-05-02 · Moreirense 60 261 23'6
2025-04-26 40 280 14'8