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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 29

Momentum

Santa ClaraRio Ave
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada
Capacity
13,277
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,565

Teams

Coaches
Petit · Sotiris Silaidopoulos
Position
13 · 12
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Miguel Bertolo Nogueira

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
13.8° (feels 12.9°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
62%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Santa Clara

DWWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 4.59–5.78 · xPts 6.21

  • L A Sporting CP 2–4 xG 0.46–2.54 PRT PL
  • W H Gil Vicente 1–0 xG 0.28–0.81 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 1–0 xG 1.02–0.23 PRT PL
  • W H Vitória Guimarães 2–0 xG 0.96–1.05 PRT PL
  • D A Tondela 2–2 xG 1.86–1.14 PRT PL

Rio Ave

DWWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 8.34–5.68 · xPts 8.61

  • L H Alverca 1–2 xG 1.55–1.38 PRT PL
  • W A Estoril 2–1 xG 1.97–1.18 PRT PL
  • W H Estrela Amadora 2–1 xG 2.47–1.53 PRT PL
  • W A Tondela 1–0 xG 1.28–0.62 PRT PL
  • D H Famalicão 0–0 xG 1.07–0.96 PRT PL

All meetings · 13 matches since 2018

Santa Clara 53 draws5 Rio Ave

Goals 15–15 · 2.31 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 38%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Santa Clara 43 draws3 Rio Ave

Goals 12–10 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Santa Clara 22 draws1 Rio Ave

Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Santa Clara 4–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 0–2 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 1–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 1–1 Santa Clara neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Santa Clara 1–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 0–2 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 1–0 Santa Clara neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Santa Clara 1–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Rio Ave 1–2 Santa Clara neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 2–2 Santa Clara neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSanta Clara all · 34Santa Clara at home · 17Rio Ave all · 34Rio Ave away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.061.351.061.24
W / D / L9 / 9 / 167 / 2 / 88 / 12 / 145 / 6 / 6
Goals for / match0.941.001.031.06
Goals against / match1.211.001.681.65
Clean sheets29%41%18%18%
Failed to score38%35%38%35%
Both teams scored41%35%53%53%
Over 2.535%35%59%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.061.111.050.80
xG against / match1.070.921.641.70
xG difference-0.010.18-0.59-0.89
Finishing vs xG-0.12-0.11-0.020.26
xPts / match1.351.491.060.86
Points vs xPts-0.29-0.130.000.37
Game state
Scored first35%41%35%24%
PPG when scoring first2.082.571.922.50
PPG when conceding first0.420.380.530.83
Came back from behind30%11%33%50%
Leads held69%88%50%62%
Minutes leading15%19%18%14%
Minutes level55%57%51%58%
Minutes trailing29%24%31%28%
First goal (min)40424255
First goal conceded (min)36373940
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%65%63%83%
Goals conceded in 2nd half49%53%56%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.350.180.24
Late goals against0.180.120.320.41
Style
Possession48%49%47%46%
Shots11.711.610.48.5
On target3.23.23.93.6
Shot conversion8%9%10%12%
Shots inside box56%54%62%63%
Big chances created1.92.12.01.6
Corners4.64.54.33.4
xG from set plays39%42%31%34%
Goals from headers19%29%18%22%
Pressure index10.110.88.26.6
Dominant minutes46.149.234.828.9
Pass accuracy79%77%82%81%
Fouls14.916.612.913.6
Cards3.033.712.972.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Santa Clara

0–15'116
16–30'17
31–45'18
46–60'38
61–75'46
76–90'126

Rio Ave

0–15'34
16–30'69
31–45'412
46–60'88
61–75'813
76–90'611

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Santa Clara · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.302

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level-0.186
10 min after conceding-0.223
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home+0.073
Away-0.263
4+ days rest-0.116

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.184
As favourite+0.322
Evenly matched-0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.225
Conceded late (76+)-0.255

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.44

Rio Ave · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.336
Late push (76+, level)-0.022
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.643

Game state

When level-0.166
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.355
10 min after scoring-0.152

Situations

At home-0.303
Away-0.153
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.272
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog-0.195

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.326
Conceded late (76+)+0.544

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-39 26%1.330.890.670.971.01
3-4-37 21%1.290.861.141.251.06
4-2-3-16 18%1.331.00.831.080.96
3-4-2-13 9%0.01.02.331.261.82
5-4-13 9%0.00.331.330.391.04

Rio Ave

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-318 53%1.111.221.780.961.85
4-2-3-113 38%1.231.01.231.321.33
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.03.00.421.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.72Home 54% P 55%3.6Draw 26% P 27%4.75Away 20% P 18%

Double Chance

1.16Santa Clara or Draw 41%1.28Santa Clara or Rio Ave 37%2.1Draw or Rio Ave 22%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45%1.7No 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 44%1.65Under 57% P 56%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 17.5–20% · 551 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home55%54%52%-1.7
Draw27%27%27%+0.4
Away18%19%20%+1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 45%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Miguel Bertolo Nogueira

Career
86 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.77 (4.48 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.3
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.845.66-1.0121
Fouls / match26.427.9-0.79
Fouls per card5.54.9+0.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.37-0.1942
Time added7.47.7-0.2230
First card
34' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-21 20 270 22'8
2026-03-07 60 302 38'6
2026-02-08 · Rio Ave 20 220 45'4
2026-01-17 30 250 62'10
2025-12-23 81 350 58'9
2025-12-01 41 201 13'6
2025-11-01 · Rio Ave 31 241 21'6
2025-10-05 80 210 45'6
2025-09-27 · Santa Clara 90 382 27'8
2025-09-14 20 210 71'12