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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 29

Momentum

TondelaGil Vicente
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
Capacity
5,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,673

Teams

Coaches
Goncalo Feio · César Peixoto
Position
17 · 6
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-4-2

Referee

Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
9.6° (feels 9.6°)
Wind
1.2
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Tondela

WDLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 4.21–7.52 · xPts 4.98

  • L A Vitória Guimarães 0–5 xG 0.05–2.57 PRT PL
  • D H AVS 0–0 xG 0.97–0.89 PRT PL
  • L H Rio Ave 0–1 xG 0.62–1.28 PRT PL
  • D H Santa Clara 2–2 xG 1.14–1.86 PRT PL
  • W A Estrela Amadora 2–0 xG 1.42–0.91 PRT PL

Gil Vicente

LDDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 7.0–5.48 · xPts 7.85

  • W H AVS 3–0 xG 2.2–0.45 PRT PL
  • L A Santa Clara 0–1 xG 0.81–0.28 PRT PL
  • D H Alverca 2–2 xG 0.84–1.79 PRT PL
  • D A Estrela Amadora 2–2 xG 2.27–1.28 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 1–2 xG 0.88–1.67 PRT PL

All meetings · 8 matches since 2020

Tondela 23 draws3 Gil Vicente

Goals 8–13 · 2.63 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Tondela 23 draws3 Gil Vicente

Goals 8–13 · 2.63 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Tondela 21 draws2 Gil Vicente

Goals 4–8 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Tondela 2–2 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 0–1 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Gil Vicente 3–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Tondela 0–3 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 1–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 1–1 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Gil Vicente 3–2 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Tondela 1–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricTondela all · 34Tondela at home · 17Gil Vicente all · 34Gil Vicente away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.820.761.471.18
W / D / L6 / 10 / 182 / 7 / 813 / 11 / 104 / 8 / 5
Goals for / match0.790.761.381.12
Goals against / match1.621.241.121.24
Clean sheets21%24%35%35%
Failed to score53%59%26%35%
Both teams scored35%35%47%47%
Over 2.550%35%53%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.351.431.43
xG against / match1.561.531.151.30
xG difference-0.30-0.180.280.13
Finishing vs xG-0.47-0.59-0.04-0.32
xPts / match1.231.301.541.46
Points vs xPts-0.40-0.54-0.07-0.28
Game state
Scored first32%24%56%53%
PPG when scoring first1.731.252.161.67
PPG when conceding first0.300.500.500.40
Came back from behind25%33%38%38%
Leads held46%33%62%40%
Minutes leading14%12%28%24%
Minutes level56%65%53%59%
Minutes trailing29%23%19%17%
First goal (min)41383325
First goal conceded (min)42444142
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%62%49%32%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%62%55%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.180.320.12
Late goals against0.440.350.240.35
Style
Possession44%45%50%50%
Shots10.612.113.812.9
On target3.43.54.54.0
Shot conversion8%6%10%9%
Shots inside box60%63%57%57%
Big chances created2.02.02.11.8
Corners4.03.95.65.7
xG from set plays46%36%45%47%
Goals from headers12%17%17%17%
Pressure index8.38.914.814.2
Dominant minutes38.141.154.152.2
Pass accuracy78%77%80%79%
Fouls14.413.913.613.8
Cards2.712.412.502.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Tondela

0–15'64
16–30'29
31–45'29
46–60'66
61–75'612
76–90'515

Gil Vicente

0–15'84
16–30'26
31–45'147
46–60'64
61–75'69
76–90'118

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Gil Vicente · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: at home +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.192

Game state

When ahead-0.213
When level-0.305
When behind+1.202
10 min after conceding-0.172
10 min after scoring-0.173

Situations

At home+0.333
Away-0.392
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.592
As favourite-0.192
As underdog-0.392

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.205
Conceded when ahead+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.125

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +1.50

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%0.860.761.711.431.57
5-4-14 12%1.251.01.00.911.77
4-3-33 9%0.671.331.671.261.7
3-4-33 9%0.00.332.330.861.51
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.281.13

Gil Vicente

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 79%1.441.371.191.421.16
4-1-4-14 12%1.751.750.751.751.04
4-4-22 6%0.51.01.51.271.39
4-3-31 3%3.01.00.00.580.8

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.33Home 22% P 21%3.4Draw 28% P 28%1.85Away 51% P 51%

Double Chance

1.8Tondela or Draw 26%1.36Tondela or Gil Vicente 35%1.22Draw or Gil Vicente 39%

Draw No Bet

3.01 31%1.362 69%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47%1.75No 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.3Over 41% P 45%1.6Under 59% P 55%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 50–52.5% · 274 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home21%22%15%-7.0
Draw28%27%27%+0.4
Away51%51%58%+6.6

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 51%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca

Career
19 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
5.37 (5.26 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
29.0 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 18 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.395.66-0.3233
Fouls / match29.027.8+0.59
Fouls per card5.74.9+0.75 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.440.37+0.6076
Time added8.37.7+0.8385
First card
28' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 47% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-15 80 290 16'8
2026-02-21 21 6
2026-02-07 50 340 22'7
2026-01-03 80 340 23'5
2025-12-21 · Tondela 50 261 23'9
2025-12-15 60 301 48'8
2025-10-26 60 281 40'12
2025-09-28 30 110 12'18
2025-05-11 80 360 33'8