Estoril v Porto · KickoffDNA

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 29

EstorilEstoril

1–3

PortoPorto

Momentum

– EstorilPorto –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Loading statistics…

Season context

Estoril	at home	Stat	league	away	Porto
52.7 #5	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	55.0 #4
11.7 #9	–	Shots total	12.1	–	14.5 #3
4.1 #8	–	Shots on target	4.1	–	5.3 #3
4.4 #9	–	Corners	4.7	–	5.7 #3
13.0 #13	–	Fouls	13.7	–	13.9 #8
1.3 #14	–	Offsides	1.5	–	2.1 #1
14.7 #14	–	Tackles	15.6	–	14.9 #12
99.5 #5	–	Attacks	90.3	–	104.3 #4
43.7 #8	–	Dangerous attacks	42.1	–	51.4 #4
444.9 #5	–	Passes	405.0	–	449.7 #4
2.6 #10	–	Yellowcards	2.6	–	2.3 #14
0.0 #17	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.0 #12
1.2 #4	–	Assists	0.9	–	1.3 #3
– #1	–	Btts	48.0	–	– #16
– #17	–	Cleansheet	29.2	–	– #1
– #10	–	Draw	27.1	–	– #18
1.2 #10	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	1.9 #3
0.4 #2	–	Expected goals difference	0.0	–	0.1 #6
– #10	–	Failed to score	29.2	–	– #17
1.6 #5	1.7	Goals	1.3	1.9	1.9 #3
1.7 #3	1.5	Goals conceded	1.3	0.7	0.5 #18
0.3 #3	–	Injury time goals	0.2	–	0.1 #15
9.6 #2	–	Interceptions	8.6	–	9.2 #6
– #9	–	Lost	36.4	–	– #16
0.1 #10	–	Penalties scored	0.2	–	0.2 #3
6.8 #8	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.9 #3
2.7 #12	–	Shots blocked	3.2	–	4.0 #3
7.5 #7	–	Shots insidebox	7.4	–	9.6 #3
4.9 #8	–	Shots off target	4.8	–	5.2 #7
4.2 #12	–	Shots outsidebox	4.6	–	4.9 #8
– #10	–	Win	36.4	–	– #1

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 306 of 306
Goals / match: 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
Home / draw / away: 41% · 27% · 32%
BTTS · over 2.5: 48% · 54%
Cards / match: 5.01 (reds 0.13)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Estoril · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Jordan Holsgrove 10 · Defensive Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.15 (99th pct) · G+A 1 + 7 (15% of team goals) · 93% of minutes

João Carvalho 12 · Attacking Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.14 (98th pct) · G+A 6 + 12 (33% of team goals) · 91% of minutes

Yanis Begraoui 14 · Centre Forward

Starts

Rating 7.04 (85th pct) · G+A 20 + 1 (39% of team goals) · 89% of minutes

All key players

Porto · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Victor Froholdt 8 · Central Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.99 (82th pct) · G+A 6 + 7 (20% of team goals) · 94% of minutes

Samu Aghehowa 9 · Centre Forward

Not in the squad

Rating 7.11 (93th pct) · G+A 13 + 1 (21% of team goals) · 46% of minutes

Team 2.63 ppg with (19) · 2.53 without (15)

Alberto Costa 20 · Right Back

Starts

Rating 7.03 (89th pct) · G+A 1 + 8 (14% of team goals) · 73% of minutes

Team 2.56 ppg with (25) · 2.67 without (9)

All key players

Absences

Estoril

injury Kévin Boma defender · Muscle Injury · 12 missed · until 2026-05-05

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 29

Venue

Stadium: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Capacity: 8,000
Surface: grass
Attendance: 4,968

Teams

Coaches: Ian Cathro · Francesco Farioli
Position: 7 · 1
Formation: 4-3-1-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Weather

Conditions: scattered clouds
Temperature: 11.8° (feels 11.2°)
Wind: 1.3
Humidity: 80%

Where to watch · 1

International Bet365

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	48	88	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	65	82	DDWWW
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	49	80	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	28	59	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	34	15	11	8	42	29	13	56	DWDDW
6	Gil Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	9	50	LWDLL
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43	WLWLD
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42	WLDWW
9	Vitória Guimarães	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42	WWLLL
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39	LLDDL
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39	LWLDL
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36	DLDLD
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36	DWDWL
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34	WWLLW
15	Estrela Amadora	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30	LLLDD
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30	LLLWD
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28	LDWWL
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	3	0	33	6	27	45	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	13	2	2	51	11	40	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	11	6	0	41	13	28	39	WWDDW
4	Famalicão	17	9	4	4	27	12	15	31	DWDDW
5	Sporting Braga	17	8	6	3	34	18	16	30	WLDDD
6	Gil Vicente	17	9	3	5	28	17	11	30	LWDLL
7	Vitória Guimarães	17	8	4	5	26	19	7	28	WWLLL
8	Moreirense	17	8	3	6	20	21	-1	27	WLWLD
9	Alverca	17	7	5	5	18	23	-5	26	LWLDL
10	Arouca	17	7	4	6	27	30	-3	25	WLDWW
11	Estoril	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	LLDDL
12	Santa Clara	17	7	2	8	17	17	0	23	DWDWL
13	Nacional	17	6	2	9	23	23	0	20	WWLLW
14	Estrela Amadora	17	4	6	7	21	24	-3	18	LLLDD
15	Casa Pia	17	2	9	6	18	26	-8	15	LLLWD
16	Rio Ave	17	3	6	8	17	29	-12	15	DLDLD
17	Tondela	17	2	7	8	13	21	-8	13	LDWWL
18	AVS	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	1	2	33	12	21	43	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	12	5	0	38	13	25	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	12	5	0	33	12	21	41	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	17	8	5	4	30	18	12	29	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	17	6	7	4	15	17	-2	25	DWDDW
6	Rio Ave	17	5	6	6	18	28	-10	21	DLDLD
7	Gil Vicente	17	4	8	5	19	21	-2	20	LWDLL
8	Arouca	17	5	2	10	20	34	-14	17	WLDWW
9	Estoril	17	4	4	9	25	31	-6	16	LLDDL
10	Moreirense	17	4	4	9	17	28	-11	16	WLWLD
11	Casa Pia	17	4	3	10	13	31	-18	15	LLLWD
12	Tondela	17	4	3	10	14	34	-20	15	LDWWL
13	Nacional	17	3	5	9	14	22	-8	14	WWLLW
14	Vitória Guimarães	17	4	2	11	13	32	-19	14	WWLLL
15	Santa Clara	17	2	7	8	15	24	-9	13	DWDWL
16	Alverca	17	3	4	10	17	29	-12	13	LWLDL
17	Estrela Amadora	17	2	6	9	17	32	-15	12	LLLDD
18	AVS	17	1	6	10	12	40	-28	9	DDWWD

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Estoril

LDWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 4.53–8.0 · xPts 4.59

L A Arouca 2–3 xG 0.93–1.71 PRT PL
L H Rio Ave 1–2 xG 1.18–1.97 PRT PL
W A Nacional 1–0 xG 1.39–0.89 PRT PL
D H Casa Pia 0–0 xG 0.48–1.4 PRT PL
L A Sporting CP 0–3 xG 0.55–2.03 PRT PL

Porto

WWWDD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 7.14–5.29 · xPts 8.21

D H Nottingham Forest 1–1 xG 2.04–0.51 UEFA EL
D H Famalicão 2–2 xG 0.76–1.99 PRT PL
W A Sporting Braga 2–1 xG 0.96–1.07 PRT PL
W H VfB Stuttgart 2–0 xG 1.59–1.62 UEFA EL
W H Moreirense 3–0 xG 1.79–0.1 PRT PL

All meetings · 22 matches since 2012

Estoril 33 draws16 Porto

Goals 18–47 · 2.95 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 59%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Estoril 21 draws7 Porto

Goals 9–19 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Estoril 10 draws4 Porto

Goals 3–10 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

L Estoril 1–3 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
L Porto 1–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
L Estoril 1–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
L Porto 4–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
W Estoril 1–0 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
W Porto 0–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
L Porto 3–2 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
D Estoril 1–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
L Porto 2–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
L Estoril 2–3 Porto neutral PRT PL · Regular Season

Metric	Estoril all · 34	Estoril at home · 17	Porto all · 34	Porto away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	1.15	1.35	2.59	2.53
W / D / L	10 / 9 / 15	6 / 5 / 6	28 / 4 / 2	14 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match	1.59	1.71	1.94	1.94
Goals against / match	1.68	1.53	0.53	0.71
Clean sheets	15%	12%	62%	53%
Failed to score	29%	24%	3%	0%
Both teams scored	59%	71%	38%	47%
Over 2.5	62%	59%	56%	65%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.20	1.22	1.86	1.87
xG against / match	1.59	1.65	0.71	0.83
xG difference	-0.39	-0.43	1.16	1.04
Finishing vs xG	0.39	0.48	0.08	0.07
xPts / match	1.13	1.10	2.07	2.03
Points vs xPts	0.02	0.25	0.52	0.50
Game state
Scored first	38%	29%	85%	76%
PPG when scoring first	1.85	2.00	2.79	2.85
PPG when conceding first	0.70	1.09	1.50	1.50
Came back from behind	40%	50%	50%	50%
Leads held	59%	67%	90%	93%
Minutes leading	23%	24%	51%	48%
Minutes level	40%	48%	43%	40%
Minutes trailing	37%	28%	6%	12%
First goal (min)	34	37	36	39
First goal conceded (min)	30	34	56	51
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	52%	52%	56%	61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	46%	42%	78%	67%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.26	0.29	0.35	0.24
Late goals against	0.24	0.12	0.18	0.24
Style
Possession	53%	53%	55%	54%
Shots	11.7	12.1	14.5	14.4
On target	4.1	4.5	5.3	5.2
Shot conversion	14%	14%	13%	14%
Shots inside box	64%	62%	66%	65%
Big chances created	2.2	2.1	2.9	2.8
Corners	4.4	4.6	5.6	5.6
xG from set plays	32%	26%	31%	29%
Goals from headers	13%	17%	14%	22%
Pressure index	11.2	12.1	19.9	19.0
Dominant minutes	46.8	49.3	64.8	64.6
Pass accuracy	81%	81%	84%	84%
Fouls	13.0	12.5	13.9	14.2
Cards	2.53	2.71	2.53	2.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

0–15'615

16–30'87

31–45'129

46–60'118

61–75'810

76–90'98

Porto

0–15'91

16–30'82

31–45'121

46–60'135

61–75'123

76–90'126

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046

Early press (0-15, level)+0.136

Late push (76+, level)+0.013

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164

Game state

When level+0.036

When behind-0.165

10 min after conceding-0.395

10 min after scoring+0.222

Situations

With ten men-0.212

At home+0.153

Away-0.233

4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242

v bottom-tier opponents-0.302

Evenly matched-0.113

As underdog-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016

Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Behind vs level -0.19

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407

Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146

When level+0.807

When behind+0.193

10 min after conceding+0.203

10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.414

Away+0.393

4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605

As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077

Conceded when ahead+0.126

Conceded late (76+)+0.016

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	7 21%	1.14	2.14	2.14	1.16	1.44
4-3-3	6 18%	1.33	1.33	1.17	1.22	1.36
3-4-2-1	5 15%	0.8	0.8	1.2	0.84	1.46
4-3-1-2	5 15%	0.6	1.4	2.6	1.12	2.41
4-4-2	4 12%	1.75	2.75	1.5	1.67	1.61

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	34 100%	2.59	1.94	0.53	1.86	0.71

Metric	Estoril all · 10	Estoril at home · 10	Porto all · 10	Porto away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.40	0.70	2.40	2.20
W / D / L	0 / 4 / 6	1 / 4 / 5	8 / 0 / 2	7 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match	0.50	0.90	1.80	2.10
Goals against / match	1.40	1.50	0.70	1.10
Clean sheets	10%	20%	60%	20%
Failed to score	50%	40%	10%	10%
Both teams scored	50%	60%	30%	70%
Over 2.5	20%	50%	40%	80%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.89	1.07	1.96	1.84
xG against / match	1.55	1.72	1.09	1.20
xG difference	-0.65	-0.64	0.87	0.64
Finishing vs xG	-0.39	-0.18	-0.16	0.26
xPts / match	0.97	0.99	1.86	1.76
Points vs xPts	-0.57	-0.29	0.54	0.44
Game state
Scored first	0%	10%	60%	60%
PPG when scoring first	–	0.00	3.00	2.67
PPG when conceding first	0.33	0.71	1.50	1.50
Came back from behind	33%	38%	50%	50%
Leads held	–	50%	100%	88%
Minutes leading	0%	6%	45%	56%
Minutes level	55%	55%	42%	27%
Minutes trailing	45%	39%	14%	17%
First goal (min)	74	51	37	27
First goal conceded (min)	37	25	33	50
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	100%	56%	50%	38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	43%	33%	57%	64%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.30	0.30	0.30	0.30
Late goals against	0.20	0.00	0.20	0.40
Style
Possession	48%	54%	55%	48%
Shots	12.1	13.1	14.4	13.7
On target	4.0	4.6	5.1	4.3
Shot conversion	4%	7%	12%	15%
Shots inside box	59%	60%	69%	61%
Big chances created	1.3	1.8	3.1	2.9
Corners	4.6	5.4	6.7	4.9
xG from set plays	16%	18%	32%	27%
Goals from headers	0%	33%	29%	20%
Pressure index	10.2	11.3	16.3	13.5
Dominant minutes	43.3	48.7	56.6	51.5
Pass accuracy	82%	82%	84%	80%
Fouls	12.7	12.5	12.7	13.0
Cards	2.70	1.80	1.00	3.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

0–15'04

16–30'02

31–45'02

46–60'12

61–75'12

76–90'32

Porto

0–15'30

16–30'12

31–45'51

46–60'32

61–75'30

76–90'32

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	5 50%	0.4	0.2	1.2	0.93	1.43
3-4-3	2 20%	0.5	1.0	1.5	0.63	1.24
3-4-2-1	2 20%	0.5	0.5	1.0	0.56	1.19
4-3-1-2	1 10%	0.0	1.0	3.0	1.9	3.44

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	10 100%	2.4	1.8	0.7	1.96	1.09

Metric	Estoril all · 35	Estoril at home · 17	Porto all · 48	Porto away · 24
Results
Matches	35	17	48	24
Points per game	1.03	1.24	2.40	2.25
W / D / L	9 / 9 / 17	5 / 6 / 6	36 / 7 / 5	17 / 3 / 4
Goals for / match	1.37	1.53	1.81	1.79
Goals against / match	1.63	1.53	0.65	0.75
Clean sheets	17%	18%	50%	46%
Failed to score	37%	29%	8%	8%
Both teams scored	51%	65%	44%	46%
Over 2.5	54%	53%	50%	54%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.11	1.17	1.85	1.77
xG against / match	1.57	1.62	0.86	0.94
xG difference	-0.46	-0.45	0.99	0.83
Finishing vs xG	0.26	0.36	-0.04	0.02
xPts / match	1.08	1.10	1.97	1.90
Points vs xPts	-0.05	0.14	0.43	0.35
Game state
Scored first	26%	18%	73%	62%
PPG when scoring first	2.11	2.00	2.77	2.87
PPG when conceding first	0.63	1.08	1.42	1.22
Came back from behind	37%	54%	58%	56%
Leads held	69%	71%	90%	94%
Minutes leading	17%	16%	45%	42%
Minutes level	43%	51%	43%	38%
Minutes trailing	40%	34%	12%	20%
First goal (min)	39	42	36	41
First goal conceded (min)	28	25	43	38
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	56%	58%	52%	56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	42%	35%	58%	50%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.26	0.29	0.35	0.33
Late goals against	0.23	0.06	0.19	0.21
Style
Possession	51%	52%	54%	55%
Shots	11.5	12.8	14.2	14.1
On target	4.0	4.8	5.1	5.0
Shot conversion	12%	12%	13%	13%
Shots inside box	64%	62%	66%	65%
Big chances created	2.0	2.1	2.8	2.6
Corners	4.6	5.3	5.7	5.8
xG from set plays	32%	29%	32%	33%
Goals from headers	15%	19%	14%	20%
Pressure index	11.0	12.1	20.0	18.9
Dominant minutes	44.8	47.3	61.4	61.8
Pass accuracy	81%	81%	84%	83%
Fouls	12.8	12.3	13.0	13.0
Cards	2.46	2.29	2.19	2.63

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

0–15'516

16–30'67

31–45'1010

46–60'107

61–75'89

76–90'98

Porto

0–15'145

16–30'114

31–45'174

46–60'147

61–75'142

76–90'179

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: against ten men -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0535

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0635

Late push (76+, level)-0.0611

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1918

Game state

When ahead-0.0713

When level-0.0135

When behind-0.0927

10 min after conceding-0.2528

10 min after scoring+0.3122

Situations

With ten men+0.083

Against ten men-0.473

At home+0.0117

Away-0.1118

4+ days rest-0.0535

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.1610

v mid-tier opponents+0.067

v bottom-tier opponents-0.0713

As favourite+0.088

Evenly matched+0.0113

As underdog-0.1814

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.0935

Conceded when ahead+0.0813

Conceded late (76+)-0.0831

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.09

Porto · 48 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.90

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.4748

Early press (0-15, level)+0.5847

Late push (76+, level)+0.3814

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.076

Game state

When ahead+0.4439

When level+0.4947

When behind+0.5012

10 min after conceding+0.2622

10 min after scoring+0.9043

Situations

With ten men+0.404

Against ten men+0.616

At home+0.4124

Away+0.5424

3 days rest or fewer+0.249

4+ days rest+0.5339

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.1711

v mid-tier opponents+0.517

v bottom-tier opponents+0.7216

As favourite+0.6140

Evenly matched-0.065

As underdog-0.323

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1348

Conceded when ahead-0.0539

Conceded late (76+)-0.2743

Congested vs rested -0.29 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.01

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	6 17%	0.83	0.83	1.17	0.97	1.32
4-3-3	6 17%	1.33	1.33	1.17	1.22	1.36
3-4-3	5 14%	1.2	2.2	2.2	0.94	1.31
4-3-1-2	5 14%	0.6	1.4	2.6	1.12	2.41
3-4-2-1	4 11%	0.25	0.25	1.25	0.5	1.61

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-3-3	48 100%	2.4	1.81	0.65	1.85	0.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

6.0Home 15% P 12%4.5Draw 21% P 20%1.45Away 64% P 68%

Double Chance

2.75Estoril or Draw 17%1.18Estoril or FC Porto 40%1.11Draw or FC Porto 43%

Draw No Bet

5.51 17%1.142 83%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 56% P 58%2.15Under 44% P 42%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 10–12.5% · away 67.5–70% · 208 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	12%	12%	11%	-0.9
Draw	20%	20%	15%	-4.3
Away	68%	69%	74%	+5.2

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 57%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	58%	59%	60%	+0.8

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Career: 221 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match: 5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match: 29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.34
Cards to home side: 46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 90 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	5.89	5.66	+0.32	48
Fouls / match	28.8	27.9	+0.50
Fouls per card	5.0	4.9	-0.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.41	0.37	+0.36	64
Time added	7.7	7.7	+0.13	42

First card: 32' on average
Card timing: 14% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match: 1.39

Recent matches

Date	Y	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-03-21	1	26	0	69'	4
2026-03-12	4	24	0	30'	7
2026-03-08	3	32	1	45'	10
2026-02-26	6	22	0	12'	9
2026-02-15 · Estoril	4	19	0	34'	9
2026-02-09 · Porto	8	25	1	45'	15
2026-02-01	5	24	0	36'	9
2026-01-22	9	28	0	44'	8
2026-01-17	4	22	1	57'	6
2025-12-27	8	34	0	18'	13

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Estoril · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Porto · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Absences

Estoril

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 1

Estoril

Porto

All meetings · 22 matches since 2012

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

Porto

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 6 matches

Porto · 7 matches

Estoril

Porto

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

Porto

Estoril

Porto

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

Porto

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 35 matches

Porto · 48 matches

Estoril

Porto

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 10–12.5% · away 67.5–70% · 208 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 90 matches)

Recent matches