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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 30

Momentum

SCBFamalicão
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Capacity
30,286
Surface
grass
Attendance
12,911

Teams

Coaches
Carlos Vicens · Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira
Position
4 · 5
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
13.5° (feels 12.8°)
Wind
0.3
Humidity
74%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting Braga

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 5.78–5.38 · xPts 7.08

  • W A Real Betis 4–2 xG 1.65–1.3 UEFA EL
  • W H Arouca 1–0 xG 0.66–1.08 PRT PL
  • D H Real Betis 1–1 xG 1.18–1.44 UEFA EL
  • W A Moreirense 1–0 xG 1.23–0.6 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 1–2 xG 1.07–0.96 PRT PL

Famalicão

WWWDD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 8.46–2.51 · xPts 10.88

  • D H Moreirense 1–1 xG 2.27–0.22 PRT PL
  • D A Porto 2–2 xG 1.99–0.76 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 1–0 xG 1.99–0.47 PRT PL
  • W A Vitória Guimarães 2–1 xG 1.26–0.51 PRT PL
  • W H Arouca 1–0 xG 0.96–0.55 PRT PL

All meetings · 14 matches since 2019

Sporting Braga 57 draws2 Famalicão

Goals 27–20 · 3.36 per match · BTTS 79% · over 2.5 79%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sporting Braga 44 draws2 Famalicão

Goals 22–16 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 90% · over 2.5 90%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting Braga 23 draws0 Famalicão

Goals 10–8 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Sporting Braga 2–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 1–2 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Famalicão 1–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting Braga 3–3 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 1–2 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting Braga 1–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 4–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 0–3 Sporting Braga neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 3–2 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting Braga 2–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting Braga all · 34Sporting Braga at home · 17Famalicão all · 34Famalicão away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.741.761.651.47
W / D / L16 / 11 / 78 / 6 / 315 / 11 / 86 / 7 / 4
Goals for / match1.882.001.240.88
Goals against / match1.061.060.851.00
Clean sheets35%35%50%41%
Failed to score9%12%26%35%
Both teams scored56%53%35%35%
Over 2.568%71%38%29%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.671.641.421.24
xG against / match1.060.811.001.12
xG difference0.610.830.420.12
Finishing vs xG0.210.36-0.18-0.36
xPts / match1.751.891.661.48
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.12-0.01-0.01
Game state
Scored first71%71%53%47%
PPG when scoring first2.212.252.442.50
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.670.43
Came back from behind53%62%43%43%
Leads held59%57%75%67%
Minutes leading39%42%24%20%
Minutes level44%39%60%67%
Minutes trailing17%19%16%13%
First goal (min)29254752
First goal conceded (min)40383950
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half42%41%64%73%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%44%55%71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.410.260.12
Late goals against0.240.240.260.53
Style
Possession63%62%52%49%
Shots11.711.012.410.5
On target4.74.34.33.6
Shot conversion16%18%10%8%
Shots inside box67%66%67%68%
Big chances created2.72.72.52.2
Corners5.35.35.55.2
xG from set plays46%50%31%32%
Goals from headers14%15%26%33%
Pressure index21.319.813.811.5
Dominant minutes64.964.553.550.7
Pass accuracy87%87%82%81%
Fouls11.711.615.716.0
Cards2.442.242.682.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting Braga

0–15'113
16–30'157
31–45'118
46–60'74
61–75'66
76–90'148

Famalicão

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'64
46–60'85
61–75'102
76–90'99

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting Braga · 11 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085

Game state

When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239

Situations

At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23

Famalicão · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.345
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.013
When level-0.106
When behind+0.284
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.114

Situations

At home+0.003
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.192
As favourite+0.092
Evenly matched-0.043

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.046
Conceded when ahead-0.013
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.37

Sporting Braga

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.671.930.931.591.21
3-4-310 29%2.52.20.92.060.93
3-4-1-25 15%0.81.21.60.931.13
4-4-22 6%1.51.50.51.650.72
4-2-3-11 3%1.02.02.02.211.24

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.61.240.921.41.07
4-3-37 21%1.861.140.571.610.69
4-1-4-12 6%1.51.51.01.031.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.85Home 51% P 51%3.5Draw 27% P 27%4.33Away 22% P 22%

Double Chance

1.28Braga or Draw 36%1.28Braga or Famalicao 36%1.72Draw or Famalicao 27%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%55%+3.6
Draw27%27%26%-1.4
Away22%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

David Rafael Oliveira Silva

Career
50 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
6.72 (6.38 yellow · 0.22 red)
Fouls / match
29.5 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 43 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.235.66+0.7582
Fouls / match29.927.9+1.04
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.190.37-1.229
Time added8.17.7+0.6076
First card
32' on average
Card timing
10% in first 30' · 44% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.19

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-11 40 300 45'7
2026-03-08 50 410 6'10
2026-02-22 50 300 90'7
2026-02-15 · Famalicão 50 340 45'13
2026-02-07 41 341 37'9
2026-01-25 70 341 15'6
2026-01-16 21 240 12'8
2025-12-19 · Sporting Braga 70 200 41'6
2025-12-14 51 260 22'9
2025-11-29 · Famalicão 91 390 19'8