Rating 6.83 (56th pct) · G+A 6 + 3 (19% of team goals) · 90% of minutes
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 30
Momentum
– AroucaCFEA –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Arouca | at home | Stat | league | away | Estrela Amadora |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.3 #8 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 46.8 #13 |
| 10.7 #13 | – | Shots total | 12.1 | – | 10.8 #12 |
| 3.6 #11 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 3.6 #12 |
| 3.7 #15 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 3.3 #18 |
| 13.8 #10 | – | Fouls | 13.7 | – | 14.3 #7 |
| 1.4 #9 | – | Offsides | 1.5 | – | 1.8 #4 |
| 14.2 #17 | – | Tackles | 15.6 | – | 15.8 #9 |
| 85.4 #11 | – | Attacks | 90.3 | – | 77.0 #17 |
| 33.6 #14 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.1 | – | 29.6 #18 |
| 413.8 #7 | – | Passes | 405.0 | – | 354.8 #14 |
| 2.8 #5 | – | Yellowcards | 2.6 | – | 3.0 #4 |
| 0.2 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 1.0 #6 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 0.7 #12 |
| – #3 | – | Btts | 48.0 | – | – #8 |
| – #12 | – | Cleansheet | 29.2 | – | – #10 |
| – #16 | – | Draw | 27.1 | – | – #1 |
| 1.0 #15 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.1 #12 |
| 0.3 #3 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.0 #7 |
| – #12 | – | Failed to score | 29.2 | – | – #3 |
| 1.4 #6 | 1.6 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 #10 |
| 1.9 #2 | 1.8 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 #6 |
| 0.2 #6 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #10 |
| 8.5 #12 | – | Interceptions | 8.6 | – | 9.8 #1 |
| – #4 | – | Lost | 36.4 | – | – #4 |
| 0.0 #16 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| 6.7 #16 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #11 |
| 2.4 #16 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 2.7 #13 |
| 6.2 #13 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.4 | – | 5.9 #15 |
| 4.7 #10 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 4.6 #11 |
| 4.5 #10 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.6 | – | 4.9 #8 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 36.4 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 27% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 5.01 (reds 0.13)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Arouca · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 6.87 (72th pct) · G+A 3 + 5 (17% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Team 1.41 ppg with (27) · 0.57 without (7)
Rating 6.86 (62th pct) · G+A 4 + 3 (15% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Team 1.28 ppg with (29) · 1.0 without (5)
Estrela Amadora · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.04 (86th pct) · G+A 5 + 5 (26% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Rating 6.73 (41th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (13% of team goals) · 55% of minutes
Team 0.8 ppg with (20) · 1.0 without (14)
Rating 7.1 (92th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (5% of team goals) · 26% of minutes
Team 0.44 ppg with (9) · 1.04 without (25)
Absences
Arouca
- injury Dylan Nandín #12 key player attacker · Unknown Injury · 5 missed · until 2026-05-06
Estrela Amadora
- injury Jefferson Encada #6 key player defender · Muscle Injury · 3 missed · until 2026-03-30
- injury Ni defender · Broken Arm · 7 missed · until 2026-01-02
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 30
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
- Capacity
- 5,600
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 1,804
Teams
- Coaches
- Vasco Freire De Seabra · Nuno Silva Soto Lopes
- Position
- 12 · 15
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 22.0° (feels 21.4°)
- Wind
- 2.2
- Humidity
- 43%
Where to watch · 1
- International Bet365
2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP |
34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Benfica |
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  Sporting Braga |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | WLDDD |
| 5 |  Famalicão |
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Gil Vicente |
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LWDLL |
| 7 |  Moreirense |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  Arouca |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WLDWW |
| 9 |  Vitória Guimarães |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Estoril |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LLDDL |
| 11 |  Alverca |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LWLDL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave |
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara |
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | DWDWL |
| 14 |  Nacional |
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WWLLW |
| 15 |  Estrela Amadora |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | LLLDD |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Tondela |
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 18 |  AVS |
34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 6 | 27 | 45 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 11 | 40 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 41 | 13 | 28 | 39 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Famalicão |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 31 | DWDDW |
| 5 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 30 | WLDDD |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 | LWDLL |
| 7 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Moreirense |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 | WLWLD |
| 9 | Alverca |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 26 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Arouca |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 25 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Estoril |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 23 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Santa Clara |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 | DWDWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 18 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Casa Pia |
17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Rio Ave |
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 | DLDLD |
| 17 | Tondela |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 | LDWWL |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 12 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 43 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 13 | 25 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 5 | Famalicão |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 | DWDDW |
| 6 | Rio Ave |
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 | DLDLD |
| 7 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 8 | Arouca |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Estoril |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Casa Pia |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 12 | Tondela |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 14 | WWLLL |
| 15 | Santa Clara |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 | DWDWL |
| 16 | Alverca |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 | LLLDD |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 9 | DDWWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Arouca
LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 7.49–5.5 · xPts 8.17
- L
A
Sporting Braga
0–1
xG 1.08–0.66
PRT PL
- W
H
Estoril
3–2
xG 1.71–0.93
PRT PL
- W
A
Moreirense
1–0
xG 1.6–0.61
PRT PL
- L
H
Benfica
1–2
xG 2.55–2.34
PRT PL
- L
A
Famalicão
0–1
xG 0.55–0.96
PRT PL
WWLWLLLWWL 5W 0D 5L · 15 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 17 GA 14 · xG 13.58–13.96 · xPts 14.13
- L
A
Sporting Braga
0–1
xG 1.08–0.66
PRT PL
- W
H
Estoril
3–2
xG 1.71–0.93
PRT PL
- W
A
Moreirense
1–0
xG 1.6–0.61
PRT PL
- L
H
Benfica
1–2
xG 2.55–2.34
PRT PL
- L
A
Famalicão
0–1
xG 0.55–0.96
PRT PL
- L
A
Porto
1–3
xG 0.37–3.22
PRT PL
- W
H
Nacional
3–0
xG 1.69–1.6
PRT PL
- L
A
Casa Pia
2–3
xG 0.96–1.87
PRT PL
- W
H
Vitória Guimarães
3–2
xG 1.08–1.27
PRT PL
- W
A
Rio Ave
3–0
xG 1.99–0.49
PRT PL
Estrela Amadora
DLWLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 7.05–7.36 · xPts 6.18
- L
H
Sporting CP
0–1
xG 0.43–1.01
PRT PL
- L
A
Nacional
0–2
xG 0.64–1.19
PRT PL
- W
H
Casa Pia
4–0
xG 3.17–0.42
PRT PL
- L
A
Rio Ave
1–2
xG 1.53–2.47
PRT PL
- D
H
Gil Vicente
2–2
xG 1.28–2.27
PRT PL
DWLLDDLWLL 2W 3D 5L · 9 pts (0.9 ppg) · GF 10 GA 12 · xG 11.43–13.67 · xPts 11.59
- L
H
Sporting CP
0–1
xG 0.43–1.01
PRT PL
- L
A
Nacional
0–2
xG 0.64–1.19
PRT PL
- W
H
Casa Pia
4–0
xG 3.17–0.42
PRT PL
- L
A
Rio Ave
1–2
xG 1.53–2.47
PRT PL
- D
H
Gil Vicente
2–2
xG 1.28–2.27
PRT PL
- D
A
AVS
0–0
xG 0.82–0.81
PRT PL
- L
H
Tondela
0–2
xG 0.91–1.42
PRT PL
- L
A
Vitória Guimarães
1–2
xG 0.64–1.56
PRT PL
- W
H
Santa Clara
1–0
xG 1.01–1.65
PRT PL
- D
A
Alverca
1–1
xG 1.0–0.87
PRT PL
All meetings · 6 matches since 2023
Goals 8–6 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 6 matches
Goals 8–6 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 4–5 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W Arouca 1–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Estrela Amadora 3–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Arouca 1–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- L Estrela Amadora 2–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Arouca 0–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Estrela Amadora 1–4 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Arouca all · 34 | Arouca at home · 17 | Estrela Amadora all · 34 | Estrela Amadora away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.24 | 1.47 | 0.88 | 0.71 |
| W / D / L | 12 / 6 / 16 | 7 / 4 / 6 | 6 / 12 / 16 | 2 / 6 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.38 | 1.59 | 1.12 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.88 | 1.76 | 1.65 | 1.88 |
| Clean sheets | 21% | 18% | 24% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 24% | 44% | 47% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 59% | 47% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 71% | 53% | 53% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.04 | 1.20 | 1.13 | 0.92 |
| xG against / match | 1.51 | 1.49 | 1.63 | 1.74 |
| xG difference | -0.48 | -0.29 | -0.50 | -0.82 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.34 | 0.38 | -0.02 | 0.08 |
| xPts / match | 1.14 | 1.21 | 1.07 | 0.89 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.09 | 0.26 | -0.19 | -0.19 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 59% | 26% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.82 | 1.90 | 1.56 | 0.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.63 | 0.86 | 0.55 | 0.70 |
| Came back from behind | 24% | 33% | 33% | 31% |
| Leads held | 60% | 58% | 50% | 33% |
| Minutes leading | 20% | 30% | 15% | 13% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 45% | 52% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 25% | 33% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 30 | 40 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 37 | 33 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | 63% | 50% | 53% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 53% | 55% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 50% | 47% | 43% |
| Shots | 10.7 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 8.6 |
| On target | 3.6 | 4.2 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 15% | 10% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 63% | 55% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 4.1 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 20% | 41% | 43% |
| Goals from headers | 34% | 30% | 13% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 10.7 | 10.4 | 8.9 | 6.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 43.4 | 42.8 | 38.4 | 30.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 81% | 79% | 78% |
| Fouls | 13.9 | 14.4 | 14.4 | 14.5 |
| Cards | 3.32 | 4.00 | 2.85 | 2.82 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Arouca
0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614
Estrela Amadora
0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Arouca · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092
Game state
When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534
Situations
At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095
Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12
Estrela Amadora · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195
Game state
When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416
Situations
At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296
Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12
Arouca
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 32 94% | 1.31 | 1.44 | 1.88 | 1.04 | 1.52 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.08 | 0.66 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.85 | 2.32 |
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 10 29% | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.28 | 1.78 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.07 | 2.09 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.89 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.55 | 1.6 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.91 | 0.76 |
| Metric | Arouca all · 10 | Arouca at home · 10 | Estrela Amadora all · 10 | Estrela Amadora away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 2.20 | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 2 / 3 | 7 / 1 / 2 | 2 / 6 / 2 | 1 / 4 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.70 | 2.30 | 1.90 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 10% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% | 90% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 90% | 90% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.11 | 1.54 | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| xG against / match | 1.35 | 1.34 | 1.64 | 1.45 |
| xG difference | -0.24 | 0.21 | -0.29 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.59 | 0.76 | 0.55 | 0.00 |
| xPts / match | 1.27 | 1.51 | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.42 | 0.69 | 0.00 | -0.62 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | 2.17 | 0.75 | 0.60 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.75 | 2.25 | 1.60 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | 25% | 60% | 75% | 38% |
| Leads held | 83% | 78% | 29% | 17% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 39% | 20% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 56% | 46% | 52% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 15% | 28% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 30 | 43 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 29 | 26 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 65% | 56% | 68% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 33% | 58% | 68% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 52% | 43% | 49% |
| Shots | 11.3 | 12.1 | 10.7 | 11.9 |
| On target | 4.0 | 5.3 | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 15% | 19% | 18% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 56% | 65% | 71% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 3.4 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 3.3 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 3.7 |
| xG from set plays | 16% | 18% | 30% | 38% |
| Goals from headers | 35% | 39% | 21% | 14% |
| Pressure index | 10.4 | 10.1 | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.5 | 47.5 | 39.2 | 46.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 83% | 79% | 80% |
| Fouls | 11.3 | 13.7 | 12.6 | 11.7 |
| Cards | 3.10 | 3.80 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Arouca
0–15'12
16–30'32
31–45'21
46–60'40
61–75'24
76–90'52
Estrela Amadora
0–15'24
16–30'11
31–45'33
46–60'44
61–75'53
76–90'44
Arouca
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.11 | 1.35 |
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.17 | 1.56 | 1.68 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.64 | 1.03 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.29 | 2.07 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.55 | 2.17 |
| Metric | Arouca all · 35 | Arouca at home · 17 | Estrela Amadora all · 35 | Estrela Amadora away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 35 | 17 | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 1.34 | 1.59 | 1.06 | 0.83 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 5 / 16 | 8 / 3 / 6 | 8 / 13 / 14 | 3 / 6 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.37 | 1.65 | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.59 | 1.77 | 2.11 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 24% | 20% | 11% |
| Failed to score | 26% | 18% | 34% | 39% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 59% | 57% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 76% | 66% | 67% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.07 | 1.28 | 1.19 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.54 | 1.47 | 1.63 | 1.72 |
| xG difference | -0.47 | -0.19 | -0.44 | -0.58 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.30 | 0.37 | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| xPts / match | 1.16 | 1.28 | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.18 | 0.31 | -0.07 | -0.22 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 49% | 53% | 31% | 33% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.94 | 2.00 | 1.45 | 0.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.75 | 1.13 | 0.85 | 0.90 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 33% | 44% | 36% |
| Leads held | 67% | 67% | 47% | 33% |
| Minutes leading | 21% | 29% | 18% | 16% |
| Minutes level | 52% | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 24% | 33% | 33% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 34 | 40 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | 32 | 30 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 57% | 57% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 46% | 41% | 60% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| Late goals against | 0.34 | 0.29 | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 49% | 47% | 46% |
| Shots | 10.8 | 11.4 | 11.1 | 9.9 |
| On target | 3.6 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 62% | 59% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| xG from set plays | 22% | 17% | 36% | 40% |
| Goals from headers | 35% | 36% | 16% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 10.7 | 10.1 | 9.7 | 8.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.9 | 41.5 | 39.9 | 36.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 81% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 13.1 | 13.7 | 13.9 | 14.0 |
| Cards | 3.34 | 4.06 | 2.83 | 2.94 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Arouca
0–15'89
16–30'39
31–45'812
46–60'137
61–75'107
76–90'612
Estrela Amadora
0–15'512
16–30'75
31–45'98
46–60'816
61–75'1214
76–90'87
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Arouca · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0235
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0334
Late push (76+, level)-0.4712
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0213
Game state
When ahead-0.2021
When level-0.0134
When behind+0.1020
10 min after conceding-0.1025
10 min after scoring+0.1526
Situations
With ten men-0.205
Against ten men+0.208
At home-0.1017
Away+0.0418
4+ days rest-0.0235
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.348
v mid-tier opponents-0.199
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0710
As favourite-0.074
Evenly matched+0.2214
As underdog-0.2317
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1535
Conceded when ahead+0.2521
Conceded late (76+)+0.1029
Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level +0.11
Estrela Amadora · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: against ten men +0.42
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1035
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1835
Late push (76+, level)-0.0715
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0813
Game state
When ahead+0.0017
When level-0.1935
When behind-0.0125
10 min after conceding-0.2828
10 min after scoring+0.2123
Situations
With ten men-0.204
Against ten men+0.424
At home-0.1017
Away-0.1018
4+ days rest-0.1035
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.299
v mid-tier opponents-0.257
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0411
As favourite+0.352
Evenly matched+0.1012
As underdog-0.2421
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2235
Conceded when ahead+0.1317
Conceded late (76+)+0.0330
Ahead vs level +0.19 · Behind vs level +0.18
Arouca
Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 33 94% | 1.42 | 1.42 | 1.58 | 1.08 | 1.54 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.85 | 2.32 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.08 | 0.66 |
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 40% | 0.93 | 1.5 | 2.21 | 1.16 | 1.92 |
| 3-4-3 | 10 29% | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.28 | 1.78 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 17% | 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.33 | 1.48 | 0.94 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.91 | 0.76 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.78 | 1.49 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.25Home 42% P 44%2.9Draw 32% P 31%3.6Away 26% P 25%
Double Chance
1.25FC Arouca or Draw 37%1.36FC Arouca or Estrela Amadora 34%1.66Draw or Estrela Amadora 28%
Draw No Bet
1.441 65%2.622 35%
Both Teams To Score
1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.95Over 49% P 46%1.85Under 51% P 54%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 44% | 44% | 44% | -0.2 |
| Draw | 31% | 30% | 28% | -1.4 |
| Away | 25% | 26% | 28% | +1.6 |
In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho
- Career
- 25 matches · 3 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.8 (4.8 yellow · 0.0 red)
- Fouls / match
- 27.6 · 5.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.08
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 25 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.68 | 5.66 | -1.22 | 15 |
| Fouls / match | 27.6 | 27.9 | -0.16 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.9 | 4.9 | +1.00 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.04 | 0.37 | -2.25 | 0 |
| Time added | 7.7 | 7.7 | +0.13 | 42 |
- First card
- 28' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 49% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | 9 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 21' | 11 |
| 2026-03-14 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 35' | 5 |
| 2026-02-27 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 56' | 5 |
| 2026-01-31 · Arouca | 3 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 14' | 3 |
| 2026-01-11 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 30' | 6 |
| 2025-11-03 | 5 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 51' | 7 |
| 2025-10-26 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 26' | 10 |
| 2025-09-23 | 6 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 10' | 11 |
| 2025-09-20 | 10 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 7' | 10 |
| 2025-08-31 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 15' | 11 |