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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 30

Momentum

Casa PiaSanta Clara
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa
Capacity
7,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,279

Teams

Coaches
Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco · Petit
Position
16 · 13
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
21.4° (feels 21.2°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
61%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Casa Pia

DDLDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 4.42–9.74 · xPts 4.31

  • L A Alverca 1–3 xG 0.86–2.0 PRT PL
  • D H Benfica 1–1 xG 0.43–2.38 PRT PL
  • L A Estrela Amadora 0–4 xG 0.42–3.17 PRT PL
  • D A Estoril 0–0 xG 1.4–0.48 PRT PL
  • D H Moreirense 1–1 xG 1.3–1.7 PRT PL

Santa Clara

WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 3.54–4.89 · xPts 6.2

  • L H Rio Ave 0–2 xG 0.81–0.25 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting CP 2–4 xG 0.46–2.54 PRT PL
  • W H Gil Vicente 1–0 xG 0.28–0.81 PRT PL
  • W A AVS 1–0 xG 1.02–0.23 PRT PL
  • W H Vitória Guimarães 2–0 xG 0.96–1.05 PRT PL

All meetings · 6 matches since 2022

Casa Pia 12 draws3 Santa Clara

Goals 3–6 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 6 matches

Casa Pia 12 draws3 Santa Clara

Goals 3–6 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Casa Pia 11 draws3 Santa Clara

Goals 3–6 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Casa Pia 0–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 1–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 2–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Casa Pia 0–2 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 2–1 Santa Clara neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Santa Clara 0–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricCasa Pia all · 34Casa Pia at home · 17Santa Clara all · 34Santa Clara away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.880.881.060.76
W / D / L6 / 12 / 162 / 9 / 69 / 9 / 162 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match0.911.060.940.88
Goals against / match1.681.531.211.41
Clean sheets21%12%29%18%
Failed to score44%41%38%41%
Both teams scored47%59%41%47%
Over 2.544%29%35%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.940.981.061.02
xG against / match1.561.491.071.22
xG difference-0.62-0.51-0.01-0.20
Finishing vs xG-0.030.08-0.12-0.13
xPts / match1.001.071.351.22
Points vs xPts-0.12-0.19-0.29-0.46
Game state
Scored first29%29%35%29%
PPG when scoring first1.501.202.081.40
PPG when conceding first0.550.700.420.45
Came back from behind30%46%30%43%
Leads held46%29%69%40%
Minutes leading17%20%15%12%
Minutes level53%60%55%54%
Minutes trailing30%20%29%35%
First goal (min)42394036
First goal conceded (min)39473635
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%59%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%62%49%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.350.35
Late goals against0.320.350.180.24
Style
Possession41%41%48%48%
Shots8.98.311.711.8
On target2.92.73.23.2
Shot conversion10%13%8%8%
Shots inside box62%61%56%59%
Big chances created1.71.81.91.8
Corners4.03.64.64.7
xG from set plays38%42%39%35%
Goals from headers19%22%19%7%
Pressure index7.18.910.19.4
Dominant minutes35.641.546.142.9
Pass accuracy72%71%79%81%
Fouls15.916.914.913.2
Cards3.003.243.032.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Casa Pia

0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611

Santa Clara

0–15'116
16–30'17
31–45'18
46–60'38
61–75'46
76–90'126

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

Santa Clara · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.302

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level-0.186
10 min after conceding-0.223
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home+0.073
Away-0.263
4+ days rest-0.116

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.184
As favourite+0.322
Evenly matched-0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.225
Conceded late (76+)-0.255

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.44

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-323 68%1.041.091.611.021.49
3-4-2-14 12%0.250.252.00.691.55
5-4-13 9%0.330.672.330.72.23
3-5-22 6%0.00.52.00.851.51
4-2-3-11 3%1.00.00.00.451.34

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-39 26%1.330.890.670.971.01
3-4-37 21%1.290.861.141.251.06
4-2-3-16 18%1.331.00.831.080.96
3-4-2-13 9%0.01.02.331.261.82
5-4-13 9%0.00.331.330.391.04

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.6Home 26% P 26%2.9Draw 32% P 32%2.25Away 42% P 42%

Double Chance

1.61Casa Pia or Draw 29%1.4Casa Pia or Santa Clara 34%1.28Draw or Santa Clara 37%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

2.05Yes 45%1.7No 55%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.5Over 38% P 36%1.5Under 62% P 64%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–30% · away 40–45% · 1,381 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%28%26%-1.7
Draw32%29%28%-1.1
Away42%43%46%+2.8

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.536%36%41%+4.2

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Career
133 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
5.92 (5.53 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
28.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 73 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.185.66+0.6973
Fouls / match28.227.9+0.17
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.40 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.37-0.1246
Time added7.17.7-0.5721
First card
29' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-06 50 310 23'8
2026-03-22 90 271 15'7
2026-03-06 20 270 51'5
2026-02-13 · Santa Clara 81 280 45'7
2026-01-30 70 311 42'7
2026-01-26 41 211 35'6
2025-12-11 71 230 11'7
2025-12-05 71 350 30'9
2025-10-31 20 190 36'8
2025-10-25 · Santa Clara 20 251 23'5