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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 30

Momentum

PortoTondela
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Do Dragão, Porto
Capacity
50,033
Surface
grass
Attendance
46,745

Teams

Coaches
Francesco Farioli · Goncalo Feio
Position
1 · 17
Formation
4-3-3 · 5-4-1

Referee

Cláudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira

Weather

Conditions
fog
Temperature
11.7° (feels 11.3°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Porto

WDDWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 6.81–6.18 · xPts 7.29

  • L A Nottingham Forest 0–1 xG 0.71–2.11 UEFA EL
  • W A Estoril 3–1 xG 2.35–0.5 PRT PL
  • D H Nottingham Forest 1–1 xG 2.04–0.51 UEFA EL
  • D H Famalicão 2–2 xG 0.76–1.99 PRT PL
  • W A Sporting Braga 2–1 xG 0.96–1.07 PRT PL

Tondela

DLDLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 4.66–8.52 · xPts 4.62

  • D H Gil Vicente 2–2 xG 1.87–1.91 PRT PL
  • L A Vitória Guimarães 0–5 xG 0.05–2.57 PRT PL
  • D H AVS 0–0 xG 0.97–0.89 PRT PL
  • L H Rio Ave 0–1 xG 0.62–1.28 PRT PL
  • D H Santa Clara 2–2 xG 1.14–1.86 PRT PL

All meetings · 16 matches since 2015

Porto 141 draws1 Tondela

Goals 34–6 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 19% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Porto 100 draws0 Tondela

Goals 27–5 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Porto 50 draws0 Tondela

Goals 13–1 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Porto 2–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 0–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 4–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 1–3 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 0–2 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 4–3 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 1–3 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 3–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 0–3 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Porto 1–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricPorto all · 34Porto at home · 17Tondela all · 34Tondela away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.592.650.820.88
W / D / L28 / 4 / 214 / 3 / 06 / 10 / 184 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match1.941.940.790.82
Goals against / match0.530.351.622.00
Clean sheets62%71%21%18%
Failed to score3%6%53%47%
Both teams scored38%29%35%35%
Over 2.556%47%50%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.861.851.271.18
xG against / match0.710.581.561.60
xG difference1.161.27-0.30-0.41
Finishing vs xG0.080.09-0.47-0.36
xPts / match2.072.121.231.15
Points vs xPts0.520.53-0.40-0.27
Game state
Scored first85%94%32%41%
PPG when scoring first2.792.751.732.00
PPG when conceding first1.500.300.10
Came back from behind50%25%17%
Leads held90%88%46%57%
Minutes leading51%54%14%17%
Minutes level43%46%56%48%
Minutes trailing6%0%29%36%
First goal (min)36334144
First goal conceded (min)56654240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%52%63%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half78%100%60%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.150.12
Late goals against0.180.120.440.53
Style
Possession55%56%44%42%
Shots14.514.610.69.1
On target5.35.43.43.3
Shot conversion13%13%8%9%
Shots inside box66%68%60%56%
Big chances created2.92.92.01.9
Corners5.65.64.04.0
xG from set plays31%33%46%58%
Goals from headers14%6%12%8%
Pressure index19.920.88.37.7
Dominant minutes64.864.938.135.2
Pass accuracy84%85%78%80%
Fouls13.913.614.415.0
Cards2.532.122.713.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Porto

0–15'91
16–30'82
31–45'121
46–60'135
61–75'123
76–90'126

Tondela

0–15'64
16–30'29
31–45'29
46–60'66
61–75'612
76–90'515

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.414
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.016

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-334 100%2.591.940.531.860.71

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%0.860.761.711.431.57
5-4-14 12%1.251.01.00.911.77
3-4-33 9%0.00.332.330.861.51
4-3-33 9%0.671.331.671.261.7
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.281.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.16Home 81% P 83%6.5Draw 14% P 13%19.0Away 5% P 4%

Double Chance

1.02FC Porto or Draw 47%1.11FC Porto or Tondela 43%5.0Draw or Tondela 10%

Draw No Bet

1.031 94%15.02 6%

Both Teams To Score

2.62Yes 35%1.44No 65%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.65Over 57% P 59%2.2Under 43% P 41%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 82.5–85% · away 2.5–5% · 162 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home83%84%87%+3.0
Draw13%11%6%-5.9
Away4%5%7%+2.9

In those fixtures: 3.5 goals a game · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 65%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Cláudio Filipe Ruivo Pereira

Career
83 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
5.02 (4.8 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
27.1 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 54 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.25.66-0.5627
Fouls / match24.627.9-1.69
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.32 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.37-0.9715
Time added7.97.7+0.3667
First card
30' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
46% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-12 41 211 55'10
2025-08-17 61 340 33'9
2025-08-10 · Tondela 40 191 70'5
2025-08-05 20 130 41'7
2025-07-31 40 321 10'7
2025-05-17 70 331 15'9
2025-05-11 · Porto 62 321 5'12