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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 30

Momentum

MoreirenseEstoril
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
30

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
Capacity
6,150
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,918

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa · Ian Cathro
Position
9 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Márcio André Dias Torres

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
22.2° (feels 22.7°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Moreirense

DLLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 2.52–8.24 · xPts 3.05

  • D A Famalicão 1–1 xG 0.22–2.27 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 0.6–1.23 PRT PL
  • L H Arouca 0–1 xG 0.61–1.6 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 0–3 xG 0.1–1.79 PRT PL
  • D H Nacional 1–1 xG 0.98–1.35 PRT PL

Estoril

DWLLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 4.49–8.31 · xPts 4.48

  • L H Porto 1–3 xG 0.5–2.35 PRT PL
  • L A Arouca 2–3 xG 0.93–1.71 PRT PL
  • L H Rio Ave 1–2 xG 1.18–1.97 PRT PL
  • W A Nacional 1–0 xG 1.39–0.89 PRT PL
  • D H Casa Pia 0–0 xG 0.48–1.4 PRT PL

All meetings · 18 matches since 2012

Moreirense 57 draws6 Estoril

Goals 22–25 · 2.61 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Moreirense 53 draws2 Estoril

Goals 17–12 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Moreirense 23 draws0 Estoril

Goals 10–8 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Moreirense 1–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estoril 3–3 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 2–2 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estoril 2–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 2–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 1–3 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estoril 1–0 Moreirense neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Moreirense 1–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Moreirense 1–2 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 0–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricMoreirense all · 34Moreirense at home · 17Estoril all · 34Estoril away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.261.591.150.94
W / D / L12 / 7 / 158 / 3 / 610 / 9 / 154 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match1.091.181.591.47
Goals against / match1.441.241.681.82
Clean sheets26%29%15%18%
Failed to score32%29%29%35%
Both teams scored47%47%59%47%
Over 2.550%53%62%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.910.941.201.18
xG against / match1.541.341.591.52
xG difference-0.63-0.41-0.39-0.34
Finishing vs xG0.180.240.390.29
xPts / match1.021.101.131.15
Points vs xPts0.250.490.02-0.21
Game state
Scored first44%47%38%47%
PPG when scoring first2.202.381.851.75
PPG when conceding first0.470.880.700.22
Came back from behind25%33%40%31%
Leads held71%80%59%50%
Minutes leading22%18%23%23%
Minutes level52%60%40%31%
Minutes trailing26%21%37%45%
First goal (min)35433430
First goal conceded (min)40423027
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%70%52%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%57%46%48%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.260.24
Late goals against0.350.240.240.35
Style
Possession50%50%53%52%
Shots8.99.411.711.3
On target3.23.14.13.6
Shot conversion12%13%14%13%
Shots inside box59%58%64%66%
Big chances created1.71.42.22.2
Corners3.64.04.44.1
xG from set plays27%30%32%39%
Goals from headers24%30%13%8%
Pressure index10.610.211.210.3
Dominant minutes42.947.346.844.4
Pass accuracy83%83%81%81%
Fouls13.913.813.013.5
Cards2.712.592.532.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Moreirense

0–15'85
16–30'47
31–45'37
46–60'710
61–75'98
76–90'612

Estoril

0–15'615
16–30'87
31–45'129
46–60'118
61–75'810
76–90'98

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Estoril · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.136
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164

Game state

When level+0.036
When behind-0.165
10 min after conceding-0.395
10 min after scoring+0.222

Situations

With ten men-0.212
At home+0.153
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents-0.302
Evenly matched-0.113
As underdog-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Behind vs level -0.19

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%1.611.171.220.91.53
4-3-38 24%0.881.131.631.021.45
4-4-24 12%1.01.01.50.751.72
3-4-32 6%1.51.51.51.192.06
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.04.00.660.96

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-37 21%1.142.142.141.161.44
4-3-36 18%1.331.331.171.221.36
3-4-2-15 15%0.80.81.20.841.46
4-3-1-25 15%0.61.42.61.122.41
4-4-24 12%1.752.751.51.671.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.75Home 34% P 34%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.5Away 38% P 37%

Double Chance

1.66Moreirense or Draw 28%1.28Moreirense or Estoril 37%1.36Draw or Estoril 35%

Draw No Bet

2.21 42%1.612 58%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.7Over 55% P 53%2.1Under 45% P 47%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 691 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%34%+0.5
Draw28%30%27%-2.5
Away37%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Márcio André Dias Torres

No career statistics.

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 9 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.89 cards, 25.4 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-03-07 · Moreirense 60 250 48'11
2026-02-07 · Estoril 10 160 84'4
2026-01-18 20 350 90'8
2025-12-13 40 270 33'9
2025-11-30 50 252 19'10
2025-10-04 51 284 24'16
2025-09-13 · Moreirense 10 250 1'8