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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 31

Momentum

AlvercaArouca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
Capacity
7,705
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,958

Teams

Coaches
Custodio · Vasco Freire De Seabra
Position
10 · 11
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Diogo Rosa

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
16.7° (feels 16.5°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Alverca

DLWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 6.55–6.01 · xPts 7.11

  • L A Nacional 0–1 xG 0.42–0.78 PRT PL
  • W H Casa Pia 3–1 xG 2.0–0.86 PRT PL
  • W A Rio Ave 2–1 xG 1.38–1.55 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting CP 1–4 xG 0.96–1.97 PRT PL
  • D A Gil Vicente 2–2 xG 1.79–0.84 PRT PL

Arouca

LWWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 7.89–5.89 · xPts 8.27

  • W H Estrela Amadora 1–0 xG 0.96–1.35 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 1.08–0.66 PRT PL
  • W H Estoril 3–2 xG 1.71–0.93 PRT PL
  • W A Moreirense 1–0 xG 1.6–0.61 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 1–2 xG 2.55–2.34 PRT PL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Alverca 10 draws1 Arouca

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Alverca 10 draws1 Arouca

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Alverca 10 draws1 Arouca

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W Alverca 2–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 1–0 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricAlverca all · 34Alverca at home · 17Arouca all · 34Arouca away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.531.241.00
W / D / L10 / 9 / 157 / 5 / 512 / 6 / 165 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match1.031.061.381.18
Goals against / match1.531.351.882.00
Clean sheets18%29%21%24%
Failed to score29%24%26%29%
Both teams scored56%53%56%53%
Over 2.550%47%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.161.391.040.87
xG against / match1.341.191.511.54
xG difference-0.180.20-0.48-0.66
Finishing vs xG-0.13-0.330.340.30
xPts / match1.291.511.141.08
Points vs xPts-0.140.020.09-0.08
Game state
Scored first35%47%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.332.501.821.71
PPG when conceding first0.480.630.630.44
Came back from behind29%38%24%17%
Leads held71%78%60%62%
Minutes leading18%20%20%11%
Minutes level53%48%50%54%
Minutes trailing29%31%30%34%
First goal (min)49563744
First goal conceded (min)40353532
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%72%62%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%52%50%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.470.180.12
Late goals against0.260.180.410.41
Style
Possession45%47%50%51%
Shots9.610.610.710.6
On target3.53.63.62.9
Shot conversion11%10%13%11%
Shots inside box64%65%58%52%
Big chances created2.12.52.11.4
Corners4.44.63.73.4
xG from set plays42%48%24%30%
Goals from headers26%28%34%40%
Pressure index8.49.310.711.0
Dominant minutes39.144.443.444.0
Pass accuracy80%81%82%82%
Fouls12.513.013.913.3
Cards2.381.883.322.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'57
16–30'37
31–45'610
46–60'410
61–75'59
76–90'129

Arouca

0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.066
Late push (76+, level)-0.382
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304
When level-0.126
When behind+0.164
10 min after conceding+0.176
10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153
Away+0.123
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033
v bottom-tier opponents+0.152
Evenly matched-0.292
As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.414
Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-325 74%1.241.081.361.231.27
3-4-2-17 21%1.141.02.01.061.42
5-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.641.93

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%1.311.441.881.041.52
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.01.080.66
4-3-31 3%0.01.03.00.852.32

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 44%3.2Draw 29% P 28%3.2Away 29% P 29%

Double Chance

1.33Alverca or Draw 36%1.33Alverca or FC Arouca 36%1.66Draw or FC Arouca 29%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%43%-0.3
Draw28%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

Diogo Rosa

No career statistics.

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 6.38 cards, 28.4 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-28 50 301 13'10
2026-02-14 · Arouca 70 291 6'10
2026-01-04 · Alverca 40 362 57'5
2025-12-20 81 320 54'10
2025-12-06 90 350 5'8
2025-09-13 70 220 1'11