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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 31

Momentum

EstorilFamalicão
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Capacity
8,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
3,286

Teams

Coaches
Ian Cathro · Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira
Position
10 · 5
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
23.4° (feels 23.6°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
70%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Estoril

WLLLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 4.39–7.95 · xPts 4.57

  • L A Moreirense 0–1 xG 0.38–1.04 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 1–3 xG 0.5–2.35 PRT PL
  • L A Arouca 2–3 xG 0.93–1.71 PRT PL
  • L H Rio Ave 1–2 xG 1.18–1.97 PRT PL
  • W A Nacional 1–0 xG 1.39–0.89 PRT PL

Famalicão

WWDDD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 8.07–3.63 · xPts 9.8

  • D A Sporting Braga 2–2 xG 0.56–1.67 PRT PL
  • D H Moreirense 1–1 xG 2.27–0.22 PRT PL
  • D A Porto 2–2 xG 1.99–0.76 PRT PL
  • W H Nacional 1–0 xG 1.99–0.47 PRT PL
  • W A Vitória Guimarães 2–1 xG 1.26–0.51 PRT PL

All meetings · 11 matches since 2021

Estoril 33 draws5 Famalicão

Goals 10–17 · 2.45 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Estoril 32 draws5 Famalicão

Goals 8–15 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Estoril 11 draws3 Famalicão

Goals 3–10 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Estoril 1–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estoril 0–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 4–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 3–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 2–1 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 1–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Famalicão 1–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 1–0 Estoril neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 2–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Famalicão 3–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricEstoril all · 34Estoril at home · 17Famalicão all · 34Famalicão away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.151.351.651.47
W / D / L10 / 9 / 156 / 5 / 615 / 11 / 86 / 7 / 4
Goals for / match1.591.711.240.88
Goals against / match1.681.530.851.00
Clean sheets15%12%50%41%
Failed to score29%24%26%35%
Both teams scored59%71%35%35%
Over 2.562%59%38%29%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.221.421.24
xG against / match1.591.651.001.12
xG difference-0.39-0.430.420.12
Finishing vs xG0.390.48-0.18-0.36
xPts / match1.131.101.661.48
Points vs xPts0.020.25-0.01-0.01
Game state
Scored first38%29%53%47%
PPG when scoring first1.852.002.442.50
PPG when conceding first0.701.090.670.43
Came back from behind40%50%43%43%
Leads held59%67%75%67%
Minutes leading23%24%24%20%
Minutes level40%48%60%67%
Minutes trailing37%28%16%13%
First goal (min)34374752
First goal conceded (min)30343950
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%52%64%73%
Goals conceded in 2nd half46%42%55%71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.290.260.12
Late goals against0.240.120.260.53
Style
Possession53%53%52%49%
Shots11.712.112.410.5
On target4.14.54.33.6
Shot conversion14%14%10%8%
Shots inside box64%62%67%68%
Big chances created2.22.12.52.2
Corners4.44.65.55.2
xG from set plays32%26%31%32%
Goals from headers13%17%26%33%
Pressure index11.212.113.811.5
Dominant minutes46.849.353.550.7
Pass accuracy81%81%82%81%
Fouls13.012.515.716.0
Cards2.532.712.682.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estoril

0–15'615
16–30'87
31–45'129
46–60'118
61–75'810
76–90'98

Famalicão

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'64
46–60'85
61–75'102
76–90'99

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estoril · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.136
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164

Game state

When level+0.036
When behind-0.165
10 min after conceding-0.395
10 min after scoring+0.222

Situations

With ten men-0.212
At home+0.153
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents-0.302
Evenly matched-0.113
As underdog-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Behind vs level -0.19

Famalicão · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.345
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.013
When level-0.106
When behind+0.284
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.114

Situations

At home+0.003
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.192
As favourite+0.092
Evenly matched-0.043

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.046
Conceded when ahead-0.013
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.37

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-37 21%1.142.142.141.161.44
4-3-36 18%1.331.331.171.221.36
3-4-2-15 15%0.80.81.20.841.46
4-3-1-25 15%0.61.42.61.122.41
4-4-24 12%1.752.751.51.671.61

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.61.240.921.41.07
4-3-37 21%1.861.140.571.610.69
4-1-4-12 6%1.51.51.01.031.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.2Home 22% P 23%3.9Draw 24% P 24%1.75Away 54% P 53%

Double Chance

1.9Estoril or Draw 25%1.25Estoril or Famalicao 38%1.25Draw or Famalicao 38%

Draw No Bet

2.751 34%1.42 66%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 58% P 60%2.25Under 42% P 40%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 52.5–55% · 125 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home23%23%21%-2.5
Draw24%23%20%-3.2
Away53%54%59%+5.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%59%60%+0.8

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Career
43 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.6 (4.3 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
27.9 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.45.66-1.576
Fouls / match27.927.9+0.04
Fouls per card6.54.9+1.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.37+0.1548
Time added6.37.7-1.516
First card
37' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-03 20 312 47'6
2026-03-15 20 270 58'5
2026-02-14 50 300 24'11
2026-02-02 10 90 23'4
2026-01-25 · Famalicão 10 290 51'3
2025-12-28 20 190 36'4
2025-12-14 · Estoril · Famalicão 40 290 18'3
2025-10-26 40 321 42'3
2025-09-21 · Estoril 40 291 55'4
2025-08-31 40 240 34'9