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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 31

Momentum

Gil VicenteCasa Pia
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
31

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
Capacity
12,046
Surface
grass
Attendance
6,439

Teams

Coaches
César Peixoto · Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco
Position
6 · 16
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Bruno José Ribeiro Pires Costa

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
16.2° (feels 16.1°)
Wind
2.3
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Gil Vicente

DLWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.05–5.39 · xPts 8.02

  • L H Vitória Guimarães 0–1 xG 1.3–1.01 PRT PL
  • D A Tondela 2–2 xG 1.91–1.87 PRT PL
  • W H AVS 3–0 xG 2.2–0.45 PRT PL
  • L A Santa Clara 0–1 xG 0.81–0.28 PRT PL
  • D H Alverca 2–2 xG 0.84–1.79 PRT PL

Casa Pia

LDLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 2 GA 9 · xG 4.16–8.19 · xPts 5.08

  • L H Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 0.59–0.44 PRT PL
  • D H Santa Clara 0–0 xG 1.86–0.2 PRT PL
  • L A Alverca 1–3 xG 0.86–2.0 PRT PL
  • D H Benfica 1–1 xG 0.43–2.38 PRT PL
  • L A Estrela Amadora 0–4 xG 0.42–3.17 PRT PL

All meetings · 9 matches since 2023

Gil Vicente 53 draws1 Casa Pia

Goals 12–5 · 1.89 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 22%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Gil Vicente 53 draws1 Casa Pia

Goals 12–5 · 1.89 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 22%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Gil Vicente 22 draws1 Casa Pia

Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Gil Vicente 2–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 2–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Casa Pia 1–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Casa Pia 1–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 1–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Casa Pia 0–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 2–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Gil Vicente 1–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 1–3 Gil Vicente neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricGil Vicente all · 34Gil Vicente at home · 17Casa Pia all · 34Casa Pia away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.471.760.880.88
W / D / L13 / 11 / 109 / 3 / 56 / 12 / 164 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match1.381.650.910.76
Goals against / match1.121.001.681.82
Clean sheets35%35%21%29%
Failed to score26%18%44%47%
Both teams scored47%47%47%35%
Over 2.553%53%44%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.420.940.91
xG against / match1.150.991.561.63
xG difference0.280.43-0.62-0.72
Finishing vs xG-0.040.23-0.03-0.14
xPts / match1.541.611.000.94
Points vs xPts-0.070.15-0.12-0.06
Game state
Scored first56%59%29%29%
PPG when scoring first2.162.601.501.80
PPG when conceding first0.500.570.550.40
Came back from behind38%38%30%17%
Leads held62%82%46%67%
Minutes leading28%33%17%14%
Minutes level53%46%53%46%
Minutes trailing19%21%30%40%
First goal (min)33394244
First goal conceded (min)41403928
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%61%48%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%53%56%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.530.180.18
Late goals against0.240.120.320.29
Style
Possession50%50%41%41%
Shots13.814.68.99.4
On target4.55.02.93.0
Shot conversion10%11%10%8%
Shots inside box57%57%62%62%
Big chances created2.12.31.71.6
Corners5.65.44.04.5
xG from set plays45%44%38%34%
Goals from headers17%18%19%15%
Pressure index14.815.57.15.3
Dominant minutes54.156.035.629.6
Pass accuracy80%82%72%74%
Fouls13.613.415.915.0
Cards2.502.293.002.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Gil Vicente

0–15'84
16–30'26
31–45'147
46–60'64
61–75'69
76–90'118

Casa Pia

0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Gil Vicente · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: at home +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.192

Game state

When ahead-0.213
When level-0.305
When behind+1.202
10 min after conceding-0.172
10 min after scoring-0.173

Situations

At home+0.333
Away-0.392
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.592
As favourite-0.192
As underdog-0.392

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.205
Conceded when ahead+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.125

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +1.50

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

Gil Vicente

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 79%1.441.371.191.421.16
4-1-4-14 12%1.751.750.751.751.04
4-4-22 6%0.51.01.51.271.39
4-3-31 3%3.01.00.00.580.8

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-323 68%1.041.091.611.021.49
3-4-2-14 12%0.250.252.00.691.55
5-4-13 9%0.330.672.330.72.23
3-5-22 6%0.00.52.00.851.51
4-1-4-11 3%3.02.01.01.621.64

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.72Home 54% P 53%3.5Draw 27% P 27%4.75Away 20% P 20%

Double Chance

1.16Gil Vicente or Draw 41%1.28Gil Vicente or Casa Pia 37%2.1Draw or Casa Pia 22%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47%1.75No 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.07Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 17.5–20% · 551 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%52%-1.7
Draw27%27%27%+0.4
Away20%19%20%+1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 45%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Bruno José Ribeiro Pires Costa

Career
45 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.73 (4.53 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
27.4 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
41%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 46 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.435.66-1.539
Fouls / match27.527.8-0.17
Fouls per card6.24.9+1.41 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.37+0.2352
Time added8.47.7+0.9491
First card
31' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.26

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-04 30 230 33'6
2026-03-07 · Casa Pia 40 210 18'4
2026-02-21 20 260 38'6
2026-02-08 50 290 8'10
2025-12-29 20 151 50'7
2025-12-15 40 250 36'7
2025-11-28 10 250 90'4
2025-09-28 31 321 16'10
2025-09-20 20 281 29'8
2025-08-23 51 250 26'8