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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 32

Momentum

SCBEstoril
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
Capacity
30,286
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,858

Teams

Coaches
Carlos Vicens · Bryant Lazaro
Position
4 · 10
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Anzhony Francisco Gonçalves Rodrigues

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
14.9° (feels 14.5°)
Wind
2.8
Humidity
76%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting Braga

WDWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 6.62–6.07 · xPts 7.28

  • W H SC Freiburg 2–1 xG 2.68–1.2 UEFA EL
  • L A Santa Clara 1–2 xG 0.19–2.41 PRT PL
  • W A Casa Pia 1–0 xG 0.44–0.59 PRT PL
  • D H Famalicão 2–2 xG 1.67–0.56 PRT PL
  • W A Real Betis 4–2 xG 1.65–1.3 UEFA EL

Estoril

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 3.54–8.44 · xPts 3.56

  • L H Famalicão 0–1 xG 0.54–1.38 PRT PL
  • L A Moreirense 0–1 xG 0.38–1.04 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 1–3 xG 0.5–2.35 PRT PL
  • L A Arouca 2–3 xG 0.93–1.71 PRT PL
  • L H Rio Ave 1–2 xG 1.18–1.97 PRT PL

All meetings · 23 matches since 2012

Sporting Braga 154 draws4 Estoril

Goals 48–16 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 48%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sporting Braga 63 draws1 Estoril

Goals 16–6 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting Braga 22 draws1 Estoril

Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Sporting Braga 1–0 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting Braga 1–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estoril 1–0 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 0–2 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Sporting Braga 2–2 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 0–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 3–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting Braga 4–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estoril 0–2 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estoril 0–0 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting Braga all · 34Sporting Braga at home · 17Estoril all · 34Estoril away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.741.761.150.94
W / D / L16 / 11 / 78 / 6 / 310 / 9 / 154 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match1.882.001.591.47
Goals against / match1.061.061.681.82
Clean sheets35%35%15%18%
Failed to score9%12%29%35%
Both teams scored56%53%59%47%
Over 2.568%71%62%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.671.641.201.18
xG against / match1.060.811.591.52
xG difference0.610.83-0.39-0.34
Finishing vs xG0.210.360.390.29
xPts / match1.751.891.131.15
Points vs xPts-0.01-0.120.02-0.21
Game state
Scored first71%71%38%47%
PPG when scoring first2.212.251.851.75
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.700.22
Came back from behind53%62%40%31%
Leads held59%57%59%50%
Minutes leading39%42%23%23%
Minutes level44%39%40%31%
Minutes trailing17%19%37%45%
First goal (min)29253430
First goal conceded (min)40383027
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half42%41%52%52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%44%46%48%
Late goals for (76'+)0.410.410.260.24
Late goals against0.240.240.240.35
Style
Possession63%62%53%52%
Shots11.711.011.711.3
On target4.74.34.13.6
Shot conversion16%18%14%13%
Shots inside box67%66%64%66%
Big chances created2.72.72.22.2
Corners5.35.34.44.1
xG from set plays46%50%32%39%
Goals from headers14%15%13%8%
Pressure index21.319.811.210.3
Dominant minutes64.964.546.844.4
Pass accuracy87%87%81%81%
Fouls11.711.613.013.5
Cards2.442.242.532.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting Braga

0–15'113
16–30'157
31–45'118
46–60'74
61–75'66
76–90'148

Estoril

0–15'615
16–30'87
31–45'129
46–60'118
61–75'810
76–90'98

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting Braga · 11 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085

Game state

When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239

Situations

At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23

Estoril · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)+0.136
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164

Game state

When level+0.036
When behind-0.165
10 min after conceding-0.395
10 min after scoring+0.222

Situations

With ten men-0.212
At home+0.153
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242
v bottom-tier opponents-0.302
Evenly matched-0.113
As underdog-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Behind vs level -0.19

Sporting Braga

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-115 44%1.671.930.931.591.21
3-4-310 29%2.52.20.92.060.93
3-4-1-25 15%0.81.21.60.931.13
4-4-22 6%1.51.50.51.650.72
4-2-3-11 3%1.02.02.02.211.24

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-37 21%1.142.142.141.161.44
4-3-36 18%1.331.331.171.221.36
4-3-1-25 15%0.61.42.61.122.41
3-4-2-15 15%0.80.81.20.841.46
4-4-24 12%1.752.751.51.671.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.57Home 60% P 61%4.2Draw 22% P 22%5.25Away 18% P 16%

Double Chance

1.18Braga or Draw 40%1.22Braga or Estoril 38%2.15Draw or Estoril 22%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.7Over 55% P 58%2.1Under 45% P 42%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home61%61%62%+0.4
Draw22%23%23%+0.7
Away16%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Anzhony Francisco Gonçalves Rodrigues

Career
23 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.22 (4.09 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
26.5 · 6.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.48
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 22 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.095.66-1.963
Fouls / match26.627.9-0.67
Fouls per card6.54.9+1.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.50.37+0.9985
Time added6.97.7-0.8018
First card
37' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-04 30 130 56'7
2026-03-01 50 302 9'8
2026-02-01 21 291 21'8
2026-01-25 · Sporting Braga 40 201 33'6
2026-01-03 · Estoril 20 271 69'7
2025-12-08 90 320 29'8
2025-11-30 10 240 27'7
2025-09-19 30 290 25'6
2025-08-30 61 340 44'6
2025-08-23 40 220 25'7