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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 32

Momentum

AroucaSanta Clara
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca
Capacity
5,600
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,528

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Freire De Seabra · Petit
Position
11 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ricardo Baixinho

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
16.0° (feels 15.6°)
Wind
3.5
Humidity
73%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Arouca

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 5 · xG 6.34–4.36 · xPts 8.23

  • L A Alverca 1–2 xG 0.99–0.81 PRT PL
  • W H Estrela Amadora 1–0 xG 0.96–1.35 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 1.08–0.66 PRT PL
  • W H Estoril 3–2 xG 1.71–0.93 PRT PL
  • W A Moreirense 1–0 xG 1.6–0.61 PRT PL

Santa Clara

WLLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 4.16–5.65 · xPts 5.9

  • W H Sporting Braga 2–1 xG 2.41–0.19 PRT PL
  • D A Casa Pia 0–0 xG 0.2–1.86 PRT PL
  • L H Rio Ave 0–2 xG 0.81–0.25 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting CP 2–4 xG 0.46–2.54 PRT PL
  • W H Gil Vicente 1–0 xG 0.28–0.81 PRT PL

All meetings · 9 matches since 2021

Arouca 33 draws3 Santa Clara

Goals 9–10 · 2.11 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Arouca 33 draws3 Santa Clara

Goals 9–10 · 2.11 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 44%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Arouca 12 draws2 Santa Clara

Goals 4–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Arouca 1–2 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 2–2 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Santa Clara 0–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 2–0 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 1–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Arouca 1–0 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Santa Clara 1–2 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 1–1 Santa Clara PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Santa Clara 2–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricArouca all · 34Arouca at home · 17Santa Clara all · 34Santa Clara away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.241.471.060.76
W / D / L12 / 6 / 167 / 4 / 69 / 9 / 162 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.381.590.940.88
Goals against / match1.881.761.211.41
Clean sheets21%18%29%18%
Failed to score26%24%38%41%
Both teams scored56%59%41%47%
Over 2.568%71%35%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.041.201.061.02
xG against / match1.511.491.071.22
xG difference-0.48-0.29-0.01-0.20
Finishing vs xG0.340.38-0.12-0.13
xPts / match1.141.211.351.22
Points vs xPts0.090.26-0.29-0.46
Game state
Scored first50%59%35%29%
PPG when scoring first1.821.902.081.40
PPG when conceding first0.630.860.420.45
Came back from behind24%33%30%43%
Leads held60%58%69%40%
Minutes leading20%30%15%12%
Minutes level50%45%55%54%
Minutes trailing30%25%29%35%
First goal (min)37304036
First goal conceded (min)35373635
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half62%63%59%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%53%49%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.350.35
Late goals against0.410.410.180.24
Style
Possession50%50%48%48%
Shots10.710.811.711.8
On target3.64.23.23.2
Shot conversion13%15%8%8%
Shots inside box58%63%56%59%
Big chances created2.12.61.91.8
Corners3.74.14.64.7
xG from set plays24%20%39%35%
Goals from headers34%30%19%7%
Pressure index10.710.410.19.4
Dominant minutes43.442.846.142.9
Pass accuracy82%81%79%81%
Fouls13.914.414.913.2
Cards3.324.003.032.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arouca

0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614

Santa Clara

0–15'116
16–30'17
31–45'18
46–60'38
61–75'46
76–90'126

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Santa Clara · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.116
Early press (0-15, level)-0.176
Late push (76+, level)-0.302

Game state

When ahead-0.085
When level-0.186
10 min after conceding-0.223
10 min after scoring+0.366

Situations

At home+0.073
Away-0.263
4+ days rest-0.116

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents-0.184
As favourite+0.322
Evenly matched-0.274

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.006
Conceded when ahead+0.225
Conceded late (76+)-0.255

Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.44

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%1.311.441.881.041.52
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.01.080.66
4-3-31 3%0.01.03.00.852.32

Santa Clara

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-39 26%1.330.890.670.971.01
3-4-37 21%1.290.861.141.251.06
4-2-3-16 18%1.331.00.831.080.96
5-4-13 9%0.00.331.330.391.04
3-4-2-13 9%0.01.02.331.261.82

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 36% P 35%3.1Draw 30% P 32%2.7Away 34% P 33%

Double Chance

1.44FC Arouca or Draw 33%1.36FC Arouca or Santa Clara 35%1.44Draw or Santa Clara 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.25Over 42% P 41%1.61Under 58% P 59%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%34%36%+2.3
Draw32%32%29%-3.3
Away33%34%35%+1.0

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Ricardo Baixinho

Career
39 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
7.46 (6.79 yellow · 0.44 red)
Fouls / match
30.5 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.51
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 39 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match7.335.66+2.14100
Fouls / match30.527.9+1.39
Fouls per card4.24.9-1.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.440.37+0.5473
Time added9.27.7+1.8897
First card
28' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.23

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-16 40 400 5'9
2026-02-01 30 270 28'8
2026-01-23 80 282 13'12
2025-12-15 112 283 20'16
2025-11-29 81 260 43'13
2025-09-14 · Arouca 90 390 35'11
2025-08-25 92 421 16'14
2025-08-18 60 290 41'11