KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 32

Momentum

Casa PiaTondela
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa
Capacity
7,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,373

Teams

Coaches
Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco · Goncalo Feio
Position
16 · 17
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

André Filipe Domingues Narciso

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
17.9° (feels 17.6°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
71%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Casa Pia

DLDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 4.98–6.76 · xPts 5.98

  • L A Gil Vicente 1–2 xG 1.24–1.73 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 0.59–0.44 PRT PL
  • D H Santa Clara 0–0 xG 1.86–0.2 PRT PL
  • L A Alverca 1–3 xG 0.86–2.0 PRT PL
  • D H Benfica 1–1 xG 0.43–2.38 PRT PL

Tondela

LDLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 13 · xG 5.35–12.09 · xPts 3.86

  • D A Sporting CP 2–2 xG 1.4–2.64 PRT PL
  • L H Nacional 0–2 xG 1.93–1.56 PRT PL
  • L A Porto 0–2 xG 0.11–3.4 PRT PL
  • D H Gil Vicente 2–2 xG 1.87–1.91 PRT PL
  • L A Vitória Guimarães 0–5 xG 0.05–2.57 PRT PL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Casa Pia 10 draws1 Tondela

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Casa Pia 10 draws1 Tondela

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Casa Pia 10 draws1 Tondela

Goals 2–2 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Casa Pia 0–1 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Tondela 1–2 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricCasa Pia all · 34Casa Pia at home · 17Tondela all · 34Tondela away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.880.880.820.88
W / D / L6 / 12 / 162 / 9 / 66 / 10 / 184 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match0.911.060.790.82
Goals against / match1.681.531.622.00
Clean sheets21%12%21%18%
Failed to score44%41%53%47%
Both teams scored47%59%35%35%
Over 2.544%29%50%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.940.981.271.18
xG against / match1.561.491.561.60
xG difference-0.62-0.51-0.30-0.41
Finishing vs xG-0.030.08-0.47-0.36
xPts / match1.001.071.231.15
Points vs xPts-0.12-0.19-0.40-0.27
Game state
Scored first29%29%32%41%
PPG when scoring first1.501.201.732.00
PPG when conceding first0.550.700.300.10
Came back from behind30%46%25%17%
Leads held46%29%46%57%
Minutes leading17%20%14%17%
Minutes level53%60%56%48%
Minutes trailing30%20%29%36%
First goal (min)42394144
First goal conceded (min)39474240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%63%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%62%60%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.150.12
Late goals against0.320.350.440.53
Style
Possession41%41%44%42%
Shots8.98.310.69.1
On target2.92.73.43.3
Shot conversion10%13%8%9%
Shots inside box62%61%60%56%
Big chances created1.71.82.01.9
Corners4.03.64.04.0
xG from set plays38%42%46%58%
Goals from headers19%22%12%8%
Pressure index7.18.98.37.7
Dominant minutes35.641.538.135.2
Pass accuracy72%71%78%80%
Fouls15.916.914.415.0
Cards3.003.242.713.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Casa Pia

0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611

Tondela

0–15'64
16–30'29
31–45'29
46–60'66
61–75'612
76–90'515

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-323 68%1.041.091.611.021.49
3-4-2-14 12%0.250.252.00.691.55
5-4-13 9%0.330.672.330.72.23
3-5-22 6%0.00.52.00.851.51
4-1-4-11 3%3.02.01.01.621.64

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-121 62%0.860.761.711.431.57
5-4-14 12%1.251.01.00.911.77
3-4-33 9%0.00.332.330.861.51
4-3-33 9%0.671.331.671.261.7
4-4-22 6%1.51.01.01.281.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 41%3.1Draw 30% P 30%3.3Away 29% P 29%

Double Chance

1.33Casa Pia or Draw 36%1.36Casa Pia or Tondela 35%1.61Draw or Tondela 29%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.25Over 42% P 42%1.61Under 58% P 58%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%42%+0.5
Draw30%30%27%-2.4
Away29%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

André Filipe Domingues Narciso

Career
107 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
5.62 (5.36 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
31.4 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.36
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 71 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.345.66-0.3830
Fouls / match29.527.9+0.85
Fouls per card5.54.9+0.56 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.420.37+0.4567
Time added7.27.7-0.4527
First card
30' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.28

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-03 80 341 24'9
2026-03-22 60 271 41'10
2026-02-23 · Casa Pia 50 330 13'5
2026-01-02 40 380 25'7
2025-12-22 10 321 34'9
2025-11-30 40 250 12'7
2025-11-08 · Tondela 30 251 56'6
2025-05-17 30 320 33'6
2025-05-03 101 410 9'8