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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 32

Momentum

Sporting CPVSC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
32

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Alvalade, Lisboa
Capacity
52,095
Surface
grass
Attendance
32,439

Teams

Coaches
Rui Borges · Gil Moreira Lameiras
Position
3 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
13.9° (feels 13.3°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
74%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Sporting CP

WDLDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 9.11–6.94 · xPts 7.98

  • D H Tondela 2–2 xG 2.64–1.4 PRT PL
  • D A AVS 1–1 xG 3.12–1.55 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 1–2 xG 1.98–2.29 PRT PL
  • D A Arsenal 0–0 xG 0.36–1.26 UEFA CL
  • W A Estrela Amadora 1–0 xG 1.01–0.43 PRT PL

Vitória Guimarães

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 4 · xG 8.21–4.15 · xPts 9.29

  • W H Rio Ave 2–0 xG 1.55–0.45 PRT PL
  • W A Gil Vicente 1–0 xG 1.01–1.3 PRT PL
  • D A AVS 1–1 xG 2.31–0.75 PRT PL
  • W H Tondela 5–0 xG 2.57–0.05 PRT PL
  • L A Benfica 0–3 xG 0.76–1.6 PRT PL

All meetings · 41 matches since 2005

Sporting CP 279 draws5 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 89–35 · 3.02 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 51%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sporting CP 81 draws1 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 31–12 · 4.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sporting CP 41 draws0 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 18–8 · 5.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Sporting CP 3–2 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 5–1 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 1–4 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 2–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Vitória Guimarães 4–4 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 3–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 3–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 0–2 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Sporting CP 3–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 1–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricSporting CP all · 34Sporting CP at home · 17Vitória Guimarães all · 34Vitória Guimarães away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game2.412.411.240.82
W / D / L25 / 7 / 213 / 2 / 212 / 6 / 164 / 2 / 11
Goals for / match2.623.001.150.76
Goals against / match0.710.651.501.88
Clean sheets44%59%29%29%
Failed to score0%0%35%47%
Both teams scored56%41%41%29%
Over 2.571%82%44%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.092.291.271.20
xG against / match0.820.741.291.37
xG difference1.271.55-0.02-0.16
Finishing vs xG0.530.71-0.12-0.44
xPts / match2.122.251.381.29
Points vs xPts0.300.16-0.15-0.46
Game state
Scored first76%82%41%41%
PPG when scoring first2.542.712.141.86
PPG when conceding first2.001.000.560.00
Came back from behind75%33%20%0%
Leads held81%87%71%57%
Minutes leading45%50%16%13%
Minutes level48%44%55%50%
Minutes trailing7%6%29%38%
First goal (min)39424545
First goal conceded (min)50623730
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%56%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%55%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.650.710.180.18
Late goals against0.320.410.290.29
Style
Possession62%61%51%52%
Shots17.619.113.313.2
On target6.87.53.93.8
Shot conversion15%16%9%6%
Shots inside box68%70%56%53%
Big chances created3.63.81.61.6
Corners6.96.24.44.5
xG from set plays24%24%35%28%
Goals from headers16%16%16%17%
Pressure index24.626.712.911.7
Dominant minutes69.670.553.853.6
Pass accuracy88%88%82%82%
Fouls12.212.114.513.5
Cards2.181.532.412.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sporting CP

0–15'74
16–30'103
31–45'211
46–60'132
61–75'163
76–90'2211

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'27
16–30'87
31–45'79
46–60'68
61–75'1010
76–90'610

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154

Game state

When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373

Situations

At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%2.382.530.722.020.83
4-4-22 6%3.04.00.53.230.69

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.160.961.481.191.32
4-4-23 9%2.02.01.331.451.41
3-4-32 6%1.51.52.01.141.39
4-3-32 6%2.03.00.52.440.4
4-4-1-11 3%0.00.03.00.531.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.27Home 75% P 76%6.5Draw 15% P 15%9.0Away 11% P 9%

Double Chance

1.05Sporting or Draw 45%1.14Sporting or Guimaraes 42%3.75Draw or Guimaraes 13%

Draw No Bet

1.081 88%8.02 12%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.47Over 64% P 66%2.6Under 36% P 34%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 75–77.5% · away 7.5–10% · 515 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home76%76%77%+0.9
Draw15%15%15%-0.5
Away9%9%8%-0.4

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 66%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.566%66%69%+3.2

António Emanuel Carvalho Nobre

Career
133 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
5.92 (5.53 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
28.8 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 73 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.185.66+0.6973
Fouls / match28.227.9+0.17
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.40 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.37-0.1246
Time added7.17.7-0.5721
First card
29' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.21

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-18 50 320 58'7
2026-04-06 50 310 23'8
2026-03-22 90 271 15'7
2026-03-06 20 270 51'5
2026-02-13 81 280 45'7
2026-01-30 · Vitória Guimarães 70 311 42'7
2026-01-26 41 211 35'6
2025-12-11 71 230 11'7
2025-12-05 · Sporting CP 71 350 30'9
2025-10-31 · Sporting CP 20 190 36'8