KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 33

Momentum

VSCCasa Pia
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Capacity
30,029
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,122

Teams

Coaches
Gil Moreira Lameiras · Álvaro Teixeira Pacheco
Position
7 · 16
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
14.6° (feels 14.3°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
84%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Vitória Guimarães

WDWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 8.39–4.92 · xPts 9.09

  • L A Sporting CP 1–5 xG 0.94–2.37 PRT PL
  • W H Rio Ave 2–0 xG 1.55–0.45 PRT PL
  • W A Gil Vicente 1–0 xG 1.01–1.3 PRT PL
  • D A AVS 1–1 xG 2.31–0.75 PRT PL
  • W H Tondela 5–0 xG 2.57–0.05 PRT PL

Casa Pia

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 5.04–5.86 · xPts 6.31

  • L H Tondela 0–1 xG 0.48–1.49 PRT PL
  • L A Gil Vicente 1–2 xG 1.24–1.73 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 0.59–0.44 PRT PL
  • D H Santa Clara 0–0 xG 1.86–0.2 PRT PL
  • L A Alverca 1–3 xG 0.86–2.0 PRT PL

All meetings · 9 matches since 2022

Vitória Guimarães 15 draws3 Casa Pia

Goals 2–5 · 0.78 per match · BTTS 11% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Vitória Guimarães 15 draws3 Casa Pia

Goals 2–5 · 0.78 per match · BTTS 11% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Vitória Guimarães 13 draws1 Casa Pia

Goals 2–2 · 0.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • D Vitória Guimarães 0–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 0–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Casa Pia 0–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Casa Pia 1–1 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 0–2 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Casa Pia 0–0 Vitória Guimarães neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Casa Pia 0–0 Vitória Guimarães neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 0–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricVitória Guimarães all · 34Vitória Guimarães at home · 17Casa Pia all · 34Casa Pia away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.241.650.880.88
W / D / L12 / 6 / 168 / 4 / 56 / 12 / 164 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match1.151.530.910.76
Goals against / match1.501.121.681.82
Clean sheets29%29%21%29%
Failed to score35%24%44%47%
Both teams scored41%53%47%35%
Over 2.544%53%44%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.330.940.91
xG against / match1.291.211.561.63
xG difference-0.020.13-0.62-0.72
Finishing vs xG-0.120.20-0.03-0.14
xPts / match1.381.481.000.94
Points vs xPts-0.150.17-0.12-0.06
Game state
Scored first41%41%29%29%
PPG when scoring first2.142.431.501.80
PPG when conceding first0.561.110.550.40
Came back from behind20%44%30%17%
Leads held71%80%46%67%
Minutes leading16%20%17%14%
Minutes level55%60%53%46%
Minutes trailing29%20%30%40%
First goal (min)45454244
First goal conceded (min)37443928
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half56%65%48%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%58%56%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.180.18
Late goals against0.290.290.320.29
Style
Possession51%50%41%41%
Shots13.313.58.99.4
On target3.94.12.93.0
Shot conversion9%11%10%8%
Shots inside box56%58%62%62%
Big chances created1.61.61.71.6
Corners4.44.44.04.5
xG from set plays35%43%38%34%
Goals from headers16%15%19%15%
Pressure index12.914.07.15.3
Dominant minutes53.853.935.629.6
Pass accuracy82%82%72%74%
Fouls14.515.515.915.0
Cards2.412.763.002.76

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'27
16–30'87
31–45'79
46–60'68
61–75'1010
76–90'610

Casa Pia

0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154

Game state

When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373

Situations

At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.160.961.481.191.32
4-4-23 9%2.02.01.331.451.41
3-4-32 6%1.51.52.01.141.39
4-3-32 6%2.03.00.52.440.4
4-4-1-11 3%0.00.03.00.531.83

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-323 68%1.041.091.611.021.49
3-4-2-14 12%0.250.252.00.691.55
5-4-13 9%0.330.672.330.72.23
3-5-22 6%0.00.52.00.851.51
4-1-4-11 3%3.02.01.01.621.64

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.7Home 55% P 56%3.6Draw 26% P 25%5.0Away 19% P 19%

Double Chance

1.18Guimaraes or Draw 40%1.25Guimaraes or Casa Pia 38%2.1Draw or Casa Pia 22%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.85Over 51% P 45%1.95Under 49% P 55%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 33%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%53%-2.8
Draw25%25%26%+1.0
Away19%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho

Career
221 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.43 (5.18 yellow · 0.11 red)
Fouls / match
29.9 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 90 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.895.66+0.3248
Fouls / match28.827.9+0.50
Fouls per card5.04.9-0.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.410.37+0.3664
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
32' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 41% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.39

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-26 80 260 27'7
2026-04-12 40 280 30'9
2026-03-21 · Vitória Guimarães 10 260 69'4
2026-03-12 40 240 30'7
2026-03-08 30 321 45'10
2026-02-26 60 220 12'9
2026-02-15 40 190 34'9
2026-02-09 80 251 45'15
2026-02-01 50 240 36'9
2026-01-22 90 280 44'8