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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 33

Momentum

CFEAFamalicão
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Estádio José Gomes, Amadora
Capacity
9,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
4,371

Teams

Coaches
António Rocha Simão · Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira
Position
15 · 5
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Fabio Verssimo

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
15.0° (feels 14.9°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Estrela Amadora

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 6.25–7.21 · xPts 6.0

  • L A Moreirense 2–3 xG 2.42–2.03 PRT PL
  • L H Porto 1–2 xG 1.41–2.02 PRT PL
  • L A Arouca 0–1 xG 1.35–0.96 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting CP 0–1 xG 0.43–1.01 PRT PL
  • L A Nacional 0–2 xG 0.64–1.19 PRT PL

Famalicão

DDDWD 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 8.31–4.77 · xPts 9.17

  • D H Benfica 2–2 xG 2.1–1.57 PRT PL
  • W A Estoril 1–0 xG 1.38–0.54 PRT PL
  • D A Sporting Braga 2–2 xG 0.56–1.67 PRT PL
  • D H Moreirense 1–1 xG 2.27–0.22 PRT PL
  • D A Porto 2–2 xG 1.99–0.76 PRT PL

All meetings · 7 matches since 2023

Estrela Amadora 24 draws1 Famalicão

Goals 6–7 · 1.86 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 43%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Estrela Amadora 24 draws1 Famalicão

Goals 6–7 · 1.86 per match · BTTS 29% · over 2.5 43%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Estrela Amadora 13 draws1 Famalicão

Goals 5–7 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Estrela Amadora 2–2 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Estrela Amadora 0–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Famalicão 2–3 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Famalicão 0–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Estrela Amadora 0–3 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Famalicão 0–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Estrela Amadora 1–0 Famalicão PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricEstrela Amadora all · 34Estrela Amadora at home · 17Famalicão all · 34Famalicão away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.881.061.651.47
W / D / L6 / 12 / 164 / 6 / 715 / 11 / 86 / 7 / 4
Goals for / match1.121.241.240.88
Goals against / match1.651.410.851.00
Clean sheets24%29%50%41%
Failed to score44%41%26%35%
Both teams scored47%41%35%35%
Over 2.553%53%38%29%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.131.351.421.24
xG against / match1.631.531.001.12
xG difference-0.50-0.180.420.12
Finishing vs xG-0.02-0.11-0.18-0.36
xPts / match1.071.261.661.48
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.20-0.01-0.01
Game state
Scored first26%29%53%47%
PPG when scoring first1.562.402.442.50
PPG when conceding first0.550.400.670.43
Came back from behind33%36%43%43%
Leads held50%67%75%67%
Minutes leading15%17%24%20%
Minutes level52%50%60%67%
Minutes trailing33%32%16%13%
First goal (min)40404752
First goal conceded (min)33323950
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%48%64%73%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%58%55%71%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.260.12
Late goals against0.180.060.260.53
Style
Possession47%50%52%49%
Shots10.813.012.410.5
On target3.63.94.33.6
Shot conversion10%10%10%8%
Shots inside box55%54%67%68%
Big chances created2.02.52.52.2
Corners3.33.65.55.2
xG from set plays41%39%31%32%
Goals from headers13%14%26%33%
Pressure index8.911.013.811.5
Dominant minutes38.446.153.550.7
Pass accuracy79%81%82%81%
Fouls14.414.215.716.0
Cards2.852.882.682.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Estrela Amadora

0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66

Famalicão

0–15'34
16–30'65
31–45'64
46–60'85
61–75'102
76–90'99

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Estrela Amadora · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195

Game state

When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416

Situations

At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296

Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12

Famalicão · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.34

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.026
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.345
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.154

Game state

When ahead-0.013
When level-0.106
When behind+0.284
10 min after conceding-0.235
10 min after scoring+0.114

Situations

At home+0.003
Away-0.043
4+ days rest-0.026

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.192
As favourite+0.092
Evenly matched-0.043

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.046
Conceded when ahead-0.013
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +0.37

Estrela Amadora

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-310 29%1.51.61.61.281.78
4-2-3-110 29%0.71.22.31.072.09
4-3-34 12%0.751.01.01.40.89
5-3-23 9%0.330.671.671.551.6
4-1-4-12 6%0.00.52.00.781.49

Famalicão

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 6 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.61.240.921.41.07
4-3-37 21%1.861.140.571.610.69
4-1-4-12 6%1.51.51.01.031.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.5Home 27% P 25%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.05Away 46% P 47%

Double Chance

1.7Estrela Amadora or Draw 28%1.3Estrela Amadora or Famalicao 36%1.3Draw or Famalicao 36%

Draw No Bet

2.371 39%1.532 61%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.05Over 46% P 47%1.75Under 54% P 53%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 45–47.5% · 191 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home25%24%21%-3.2
Draw28%29%29%-0.6
Away47%46%50%+3.8

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 38%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Fabio Verssimo

Career
18 matches · 2 seasons
Cards / match
6.17 (6.11 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
26.9 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.5
Cards to home side
53%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.75.66+0.0842
Fouls / match25.627.8-1.15
Fouls per card4.54.9-0.71 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.40.37+0.2958
Time added6.57.7-1.279
First card
24' on average
Card timing
22% in first 30' · 25% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-03 30 210 63'6
2026-04-29 50 241 16'5
2026-04-23 50 180 18'8
2026-04-12 60 311 22'5
2026-03-15 · Estrela Amadora 60 270 8'5
2026-03-01 50 332 2'6
2026-02-07 · Estrela Amadora 50 240 23'6
2026-01-24 50 280 22'4
2026-01-11 80 251 6'6
2025-12-27 50 230 49'3