Alverca v Estoril · KickoffDNA

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 33

AlvercaAlverca

1–1

EstorilEstoril

Momentum

– AlvercaEstoril –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

Loading statistics…

Season context

Alverca	at home	Stat	league	away	Estoril
44.9 #15	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	52.7 #5
9.7 #16	–	Shots total	12.1	–	11.7 #9
3.5 #13	–	Shots on target	4.1	–	4.1 #8
4.4 #9	–	Corners	4.7	–	4.4 #9
12.5 #15	–	Fouls	13.7	–	13.0 #13
1.2 #16	–	Offsides	1.5	–	1.3 #14
16.0 #6	–	Tackles	15.6	–	14.7 #14
79.4 #13	–	Attacks	90.3	–	99.5 #5
38.7 #10	–	Dangerous attacks	42.1	–	43.7 #8
365.4 #13	–	Passes	405.0	–	444.9 #5
2.2 #15	–	Yellowcards	2.6	–	2.6 #10
0.0 #12	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.0 #17
0.7 #10	–	Assists	0.9	–	1.2 #4
– #3	–	Btts	48.0	–	– #1
– #15	–	Cleansheet	29.2	–	– #17
– #10	–	Draw	27.1	–	– #10
1.2 #11	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	1.2 #10
-0.1 #16	–	Expected goals difference	0.0	–	0.4 #2
– #10	–	Failed to score	29.2	–	– #10
1.0 #13	1.1	Goals	1.3	1.5	1.6 #5
1.5 #8	1.4	Goals conceded	1.3	1.8	1.7 #3
0.3 #5	–	Injury time goals	0.2	–	0.3 #3
7.8 #16	–	Interceptions	8.6	–	9.6 #2
– #9	–	Lost	36.4	–	– #9
0.1 #10	–	Penalties scored	0.2	–	0.1 #10
6.7 #11	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.8 #8
2.3 #17	–	Shots blocked	3.2	–	2.7 #12
6.1 #14	–	Shots insidebox	7.4	–	7.5 #7
3.9 #15	–	Shots off target	4.8	–	4.9 #8
3.5 #17	–	Shots outsidebox	4.6	–	4.2 #12
– #10	–	Win	36.4	–	– #10

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 306 of 306
Goals / match: 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
Home / draw / away: 41% · 27% · 32%
BTTS · over 2.5: 48% · 54%
Cards / match: 5.01 (reds 0.13)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Alverca · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Figueiredo 22 · Left Wing

Starts

Rating 7.01 (80th pct) · G+A 6 + 2 (23% of team goals) · 62% of minutes

Team 1.17 ppg with (24) · 1.1 without (10)

Nabil Touaizi 2 · Right Midfield

Starts

Rating 6.75 (44th pct) · G+A 1 + 5 (17% of team goals) · 92% of minutes

Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 10 · Left Wing

Not in the squad

Rating 6.99 (76th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (17% of team goals) · 49% of minutes

Team 0.89 ppg with (18) · 1.44 without (16)

All key players

Estoril · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Jordan Holsgrove 10 · Defensive Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.15 (99th pct) · G+A 1 + 7 (15% of team goals) · 93% of minutes

João Carvalho 12 · Attacking Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.14 (98th pct) · G+A 6 + 12 (33% of team goals) · 91% of minutes

Yanis Begraoui 14 · Centre Forward

Starts

Rating 7.04 (85th pct) · G+A 20 + 1 (39% of team goals) · 89% of minutes

All key players

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 33

Venue

Stadium: Complexo Desportivo do FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo
Capacity: 7,705
Surface: grass
Attendance: 3,031

Teams

Coaches: Custodio · Ian Cathro
Position: 10 · 9
Formation: 3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Weather

Conditions: light rain
Temperature: 15.7° (feels 15.4°)
Wind: 7.2
Humidity: 83%

Where to watch · 1

International Bet365

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	48	88	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	65	82	DDWWW
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	49	80	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	28	59	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	34	15	11	8	42	29	13	56	DWDDW
6	Gil Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	9	50	LWDLL
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43	WLWLD
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42	WLDWW
9	Vitória Guimarães	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42	WWLLL
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39	LLDDL
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39	LWLDL
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36	DLDLD
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36	DWDWL
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34	WWLLW
15	Estrela Amadora	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30	LLLDD
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30	LLLWD
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28	LDWWL
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	3	0	33	6	27	45	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	13	2	2	51	11	40	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	11	6	0	41	13	28	39	WWDDW
4	Famalicão	17	9	4	4	27	12	15	31	DWDDW
5	Sporting Braga	17	8	6	3	34	18	16	30	WLDDD
6	Gil Vicente	17	9	3	5	28	17	11	30	LWDLL
7	Vitória Guimarães	17	8	4	5	26	19	7	28	WWLLL
8	Moreirense	17	8	3	6	20	21	-1	27	WLWLD
9	Alverca	17	7	5	5	18	23	-5	26	LWLDL
10	Arouca	17	7	4	6	27	30	-3	25	WLDWW
11	Estoril	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	LLDDL
12	Santa Clara	17	7	2	8	17	17	0	23	DWDWL
13	Nacional	17	6	2	9	23	23	0	20	WWLLW
14	Estrela Amadora	17	4	6	7	21	24	-3	18	LLLDD
15	Casa Pia	17	2	9	6	18	26	-8	15	LLLWD
16	Rio Ave	17	3	6	8	17	29	-12	15	DLDLD
17	Tondela	17	2	7	8	13	21	-8	13	LDWWL
18	AVS	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	1	2	33	12	21	43	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	12	5	0	38	13	25	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	12	5	0	33	12	21	41	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	17	8	5	4	30	18	12	29	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	17	6	7	4	15	17	-2	25	DWDDW
6	Rio Ave	17	5	6	6	18	28	-10	21	DLDLD
7	Gil Vicente	17	4	8	5	19	21	-2	20	LWDLL
8	Arouca	17	5	2	10	20	34	-14	17	WLDWW
9	Estoril	17	4	4	9	25	31	-6	16	LLDDL
10	Moreirense	17	4	4	9	17	28	-11	16	WLWLD
11	Casa Pia	17	4	3	10	13	31	-18	15	LLLWD
12	Tondela	17	4	3	10	14	34	-20	15	LDWWL
13	Nacional	17	3	5	9	14	22	-8	14	WWLLW
14	Vitória Guimarães	17	4	2	11	13	32	-19	14	WWLLL
15	Santa Clara	17	2	7	8	15	24	-9	13	DWDWL
16	Alverca	17	3	4	10	17	29	-12	13	LWLDL
17	Estrela Amadora	17	2	6	9	17	32	-15	12	LLLDD
18	AVS	17	1	6	10	12	40	-28	9	DDWWD

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Alverca

WWLWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 5.37–5.1 · xPts 6.72

L A Porto 0–1 xG 0.76–0.91 PRT PL
W H Arouca 2–1 xG 0.81–0.99 PRT PL
L A Nacional 0–1 xG 0.42–0.78 PRT PL
W H Casa Pia 3–1 xG 2.0–0.86 PRT PL
W A Rio Ave 2–1 xG 1.38–1.55 PRT PL

Estoril

LLLLD 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 3.29–7.0 · xPts 4.34

D A Sporting Braga 1–1 xG 0.93–0.52 PRT PL
L H Famalicão 0–1 xG 0.54–1.38 PRT PL
L A Moreirense 0–1 xG 0.38–1.04 PRT PL
L H Porto 1–3 xG 0.5–2.35 PRT PL
L A Arouca 2–3 xG 0.93–1.71 PRT PL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Alverca 01 draws1 Estoril

Goals 2–5 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Alverca 01 draws1 Estoril

Goals 2–5 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Alverca 01 draws1 Estoril

Goals 2–5 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

D Alverca 1–1 Estoril PRT PL · Regular Season
L Estoril 4–1 Alverca PRT PL · Regular Season

Metric	Alverca all · 34	Alverca at home · 17	Estoril all · 34	Estoril away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	1.15	1.53	1.15	0.94
W / D / L	10 / 9 / 15	7 / 5 / 5	10 / 9 / 15	4 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match	1.03	1.06	1.59	1.47
Goals against / match	1.53	1.35	1.68	1.82
Clean sheets	18%	29%	15%	18%
Failed to score	29%	24%	29%	35%
Both teams scored	56%	53%	59%	47%
Over 2.5	50%	47%	62%	65%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.16	1.39	1.20	1.18
xG against / match	1.34	1.19	1.59	1.52
xG difference	-0.18	0.20	-0.39	-0.34
Finishing vs xG	-0.13	-0.33	0.39	0.29
xPts / match	1.29	1.51	1.13	1.15
Points vs xPts	-0.14	0.02	0.02	-0.21
Game state
Scored first	35%	47%	38%	47%
PPG when scoring first	2.33	2.50	1.85	1.75
PPG when conceding first	0.48	0.63	0.70	0.22
Came back from behind	29%	38%	40%	31%
Leads held	71%	78%	59%	50%
Minutes leading	18%	20%	23%	23%
Minutes level	53%	48%	40%	31%
Minutes trailing	29%	31%	37%	45%
First goal (min)	49	56	34	30
First goal conceded (min)	40	35	30	27
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	60%	72%	52%	52%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	54%	52%	46%	48%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.35	0.47	0.26	0.24
Late goals against	0.26	0.18	0.24	0.35
Style
Possession	45%	47%	53%	52%
Shots	9.6	10.6	11.7	11.3
On target	3.5	3.6	4.1	3.6
Shot conversion	11%	10%	14%	13%
Shots inside box	64%	65%	64%	66%
Big chances created	2.1	2.5	2.2	2.2
Corners	4.4	4.6	4.4	4.1
xG from set plays	42%	48%	32%	39%
Goals from headers	26%	28%	13%	8%
Pressure index	8.4	9.3	11.2	10.3
Dominant minutes	39.1	44.4	46.8	44.4
Pass accuracy	80%	81%	81%	81%
Fouls	12.5	13.0	13.0	13.5
Cards	2.38	1.88	2.53	2.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'57

16–30'37

31–45'610

46–60'410

61–75'59

76–90'129

Estoril

0–15'615

16–30'87

31–45'129

46–60'118

61–75'810

76–90'98

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046

Early press (0-15, level)-0.066

Late push (76+, level)-0.382

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead-0.304

When level-0.126

When behind+0.164

10 min after conceding+0.176

10 min after scoring+0.035

Situations

At home-0.153

Away+0.123

4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.033

v bottom-tier opponents+0.152

Evenly matched-0.292

As underdog-0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036

Conceded when ahead+0.414

Conceded late (76+)+0.126

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level +0.28

Estoril · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046

Early press (0-15, level)+0.136

Late push (76+, level)+0.013

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.164

Game state

When level+0.036

When behind-0.165

10 min after conceding-0.395

10 min after scoring+0.222

Situations

With ten men-0.212

At home+0.153

Away-0.233

4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.242

v bottom-tier opponents-0.302

Evenly matched-0.113

As underdog-0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.016

Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Behind vs level -0.19

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	25 74%	1.24	1.08	1.36	1.23	1.27
3-4-2-1	7 21%	1.14	1.0	2.0	1.06	1.42
5-4-1	2 6%	0.0	0.5	2.0	0.64	1.93

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	7 21%	1.14	2.14	2.14	1.16	1.44
4-3-3	6 18%	1.33	1.33	1.17	1.22	1.36
3-4-2-1	5 15%	0.8	0.8	1.2	0.84	1.46
4-3-1-2	5 15%	0.6	1.4	2.6	1.12	2.41
4-4-2	4 12%	1.75	2.75	1.5	1.67	1.61

Metric	Alverca all · 10	Alverca at home · 10	Estoril all · 10	Estoril away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.90	1.20	0.40	0.50
W / D / L	2 / 3 / 5	2 / 6 / 2	0 / 4 / 6	1 / 2 / 7
Goals for / match	1.10	1.30	0.50	0.60
Goals against / match	1.50	1.40	1.40	1.70
Clean sheets	0%	10%	10%	10%
Failed to score	30%	10%	50%	50%
Both teams scored	70%	90%	50%	40%
Over 2.5	50%	50%	20%	40%
Expected goals
xG for / match	0.97	1.08	0.89	0.74
xG against / match	1.43	1.12	1.55	1.46
xG difference	-0.45	-0.04	-0.65	-0.72
Finishing vs xG	0.13	0.22	-0.39	-0.14
xPts / match	1.06	1.35	0.97	0.89
Points vs xPts	-0.16	-0.15	-0.57	-0.39
Game state
Scored first	50%	50%	0%	20%
PPG when scoring first	1.60	1.20	–	1.50
PPG when conceding first	0.20	1.25	0.33	0.25
Came back from behind	17%	60%	33%	22%
Leads held	33%	29%	–	50%
Minutes leading	22%	27%	0%	12%
Minutes level	48%	55%	55%	44%
Minutes trailing	30%	18%	45%	45%
First goal (min)	42	44	74	44
First goal conceded (min)	50	52	37	35
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	46%	69%	100%	50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	73%	86%	43%	53%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.10	0.30	0.30	0.20
Late goals against	0.30	0.40	0.20	0.40
Style
Possession	43%	47%	48%	50%
Shots	9.2	9.5	12.1	9.2
On target	3.2	2.7	4.0	2.6
Shot conversion	12%	14%	4%	6%
Shots inside box	60%	62%	59%	64%
Big chances created	2.0	2.0	1.3	1.4
Corners	4.6	5.8	4.6	3.2
xG from set plays	44%	40%	16%	19%
Goals from headers	46%	38%	0%	17%
Pressure index	8.8	10.2	10.2	8.2
Dominant minutes	39.1	50.4	43.3	40.8
Pass accuracy	80%	79%	82%	82%
Fouls	13.3	12.6	12.7	13.2
Cards	2.40	1.30	2.70	3.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'22

16–30'10

31–45'32

46–60'17

61–75'31

76–90'13

Estoril

0–15'04

16–30'02

31–45'02

46–60'12

61–75'12

76–90'32

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	5 50%	0.6	0.8	1.4	1.14	1.67
3-4-2-1	5 50%	1.2	1.4	1.6	0.81	1.18

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	5 50%	0.4	0.2	1.2	0.93	1.43
3-4-3	2 20%	0.5	1.0	1.5	0.63	1.24
3-4-2-1	2 20%	0.5	0.5	1.0	0.56	1.19
4-3-1-2	1 10%	0.0	1.0	3.0	1.9	3.44

Metric	Alverca all · 35	Alverca at home · 17	Estoril all · 35	Estoril away · 18
Results
Matches	35	17	35	18
Points per game	1.14	1.47	1.03	0.83
W / D / L	10 / 10 / 15	6 / 7 / 4	9 / 9 / 17	4 / 3 / 11
Goals for / match	1.09	1.18	1.37	1.22
Goals against / match	1.54	1.35	1.63	1.72
Clean sheets	14%	24%	17%	17%
Failed to score	29%	18%	37%	44%
Both teams scored	60%	65%	51%	39%
Over 2.5	49%	47%	54%	56%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.15	1.34	1.11	1.06
xG against / match	1.37	1.16	1.57	1.53
xG difference	-0.22	0.18	-0.46	-0.47
Finishing vs xG	-0.06	-0.16	0.26	0.17
xPts / match	1.25	1.48	1.08	1.06
Points vs xPts	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	-0.23
Game state
Scored first	37%	53%	26%	33%
PPG when scoring first	2.15	2.00	2.11	2.17
PPG when conceding first	0.52	0.86	0.63	0.17
Came back from behind	32%	50%	37%	21%
Leads held	62%	54%	69%	67%
Minutes leading	18%	20%	17%	19%
Minutes level	53%	56%	43%	35%
Minutes trailing	29%	23%	40%	46%
First goal (min)	50	54	39	35
First goal conceded (min)	44	46	28	30
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	63%	75%	56%	54%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	63%	74%	42%	48%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.34	0.41	0.26	0.22
Late goals against	0.29	0.24	0.23	0.39
Style
Possession	45%	47%	51%	50%
Shots	9.7	10.0	11.5	10.3
On target	3.5	3.2	4.0	3.3
Shot conversion	11%	12%	12%	12%
Shots inside box	63%	65%	64%	66%
Big chances created	2.0	2.4	2.0	1.9
Corners	4.6	4.8	4.6	3.9
xG from set plays	44%	53%	32%	35%
Goals from headers	29%	30%	15%	9%
Pressure index	9.2	10.2	11.0	10.0
Dominant minutes	41.0	47.4	44.8	42.4
Pass accuracy	80%	80%	81%	81%
Fouls	12.4	12.7	12.8	13.3
Cards	2.31	1.76	2.46	2.61

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

0–15'56

16–30'46

31–45'58

46–60'515

61–75'79

76–90'1210

Estoril

0–15'516

16–30'67

31–45'1010

46–60'107

61–75'89

76–90'98

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.07) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.32

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0735

Early press (0-15, level)-0.1435

Late push (76+, level)-0.3215

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2613

Game state

When ahead-0.1316

When level-0.1035

When behind+0.0322

10 min after conceding-0.1430

10 min after scoring+0.1424

Situations

With ten men-0.304

At home-0.0517

Away-0.0918

4+ days rest-0.0735

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.149

v mid-tier opponents-0.279

v bottom-tier opponents+0.0510

As favourite+0.147

Evenly matched-0.0913

As underdog-0.1715

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.1635

Conceded when ahead+0.1916

Conceded late (76+)+0.1131

Ahead vs level -0.03 · Behind vs level +0.12

Estoril · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.05) · stands out: against ten men -0.47

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0535

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0635

Late push (76+, level)-0.0611

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1918

Game state

When ahead-0.0713

When level-0.0135

When behind-0.0927

10 min after conceding-0.2528

10 min after scoring+0.3122

Situations

With ten men+0.083

Against ten men-0.473

At home+0.0117

Away-0.1118

4+ days rest-0.0535

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.1610

v mid-tier opponents+0.067

v bottom-tier opponents-0.0713

As favourite+0.088

Evenly matched+0.0113

As underdog-0.1814

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.0935

Conceded when ahead+0.0813

Conceded late (76+)-0.0831

Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.09

Alverca

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 5 · conceding 15

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
3-4-3	24 69%	1.25	1.13	1.33	1.26	1.28
3-4-2-1	10 29%	1.0	1.1	2.0	0.96	1.43
5-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	2.0	0.31	2.85

Estoril

Current: winless 14 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	6 17%	0.83	0.83	1.17	0.97	1.32
4-3-3	6 17%	1.33	1.33	1.17	1.22	1.36
3-4-3	5 14%	1.2	2.2	2.2	0.94	1.31
4-3-1-2	5 14%	0.6	1.4	2.6	1.12	2.41
4-4-2	4 11%	1.75	2.75	1.5	1.67	1.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 36% P 35%3.5Draw 27% P 26%2.5Away 37% P 38%

Double Chance

1.5Alverca or Draw 32%1.28Alverca or Estoril 37%1.5Draw or Estoril 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.65Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 37.5–40% · 153 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	35%	36%	35%	-1.3
Draw	26%	26%	30%	+4.3
Away	38%	38%	35%	-3.0

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	57%	56%	56%	-0.2

Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Career: 60 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match: 4.48 (4.25 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match: 29.6 · 6.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.27
Cards to home side: 48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 39 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	4.08	5.66	-1.98	0
Fouls / match	27.6	27.9	-0.14
Fouls per card	6.9	4.9	+2.30 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.2	0.37	-1.09	12
Time added	8.2	7.7	+0.71	79

First card: 37' on average
Card timing: 17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match: 1.23

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-04-25	4	0	27	0	32'	7
2026-04-11	6	0	25	0	31'	7
2026-02-27	2	0	25	1	90'	14
2026-02-22 · Estoril	–	–	21	–	–	11
2026-01-25	3	0	24	0	52'	6
2026-01-04	1	0	33	0	90'	5
2025-12-21	4	0	29	0	2'	12
2025-12-13	3	0	20	0	12'	5
2025-11-29	6	0	18	0	55'	13

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Alverca · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Estoril · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 1

Alverca

Estoril

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Last 10 · 2 matches

Last 5 · 2 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

Estoril

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 6 matches

Estoril · 6 matches

Alverca

Estoril

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

Estoril

Alverca

Estoril

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Alverca

Estoril

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Alverca · 35 matches

Estoril · 35 matches

Alverca

Estoril

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 37.5–40% · 153 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 39 matches)

Recent matches