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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 33

Momentum

AVSPorto
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves
Capacity
8,560
Surface
grass
Attendance
5,254

Teams

Coaches
João Oliveira Nunes Henriques · Francesco Farioli
Position
18 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
13.9° (feels 13.4°)
Wind
2.8
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

AVS

LDDDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 5.77–11.7 · xPts 3.63

  • W A Nacional 2–1 xG 1.62–1.82 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting CP 1–1 xG 1.55–3.12 PRT PL
  • D A Rio Ave 2–2 xG 1.4–2.25 PRT PL
  • D H Vitória Guimarães 1–1 xG 0.75–2.31 PRT PL
  • L A Gil Vicente 0–3 xG 0.45–2.2 PRT PL

Porto

WLWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 3 · xG 9.39–4.9 · xPts 9.16

  • W H Alverca 1–0 xG 0.91–0.76 PRT PL
  • W A Estrela Amadora 2–1 xG 2.02–1.41 PRT PL
  • W H Tondela 2–0 xG 3.4–0.11 PRT PL
  • L A Nottingham Forest 0–1 xG 0.71–2.11 UEFA EL
  • W A Estoril 3–1 xG 2.35–0.5 PRT PL

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

AVS 10 draws3 Porto

Goals 3–10 · 3.25 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 4 matches

AVS 10 draws3 Porto

Goals 3–10 · 3.25 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 4 matches

AVS 10 draws3 Porto

Goals 3–10 · 3.25 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • W AVS 3–1 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 2–0 AVS PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Porto 2–0 AVS PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L AVS 0–5 Porto PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricAVS all · 34AVS at home · 17Porto all · 34Porto away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.620.712.592.53
W / D / L3 / 12 / 192 / 6 / 928 / 4 / 214 / 1 / 2
Goals for / match0.790.881.941.94
Goals against / match1.971.590.530.71
Clean sheets15%12%62%53%
Failed to score53%47%3%0%
Both teams scored44%47%38%47%
Over 2.559%47%56%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.910.911.861.87
xG against / match1.851.820.710.83
xG difference-0.94-0.911.161.04
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.020.080.07
xPts / match0.820.832.072.03
Points vs xPts-0.20-0.120.520.50
Game state
Scored first15%24%85%76%
PPG when scoring first1.401.752.792.85
PPG when conceding first0.400.331.501.50
Came back from behind30%31%50%50%
Leads held33%40%90%93%
Minutes leading9%11%51%48%
Minutes level50%53%43%40%
Minutes trailing42%36%6%12%
First goal (min)48443639
First goal conceded (min)30365651
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%60%56%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%59%78%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.350.24
Late goals against0.260.240.180.24
Style
Possession39%40%55%54%
Shots11.111.414.514.4
On target3.13.65.35.2
Shot conversion7%8%13%14%
Shots inside box54%54%66%65%
Big chances created1.41.52.92.8
Corners3.73.55.65.6
xG from set plays39%40%31%29%
Goals from headers11%7%14%22%
Pressure index5.35.719.919.0
Dominant minutes29.133.264.864.6
Pass accuracy73%74%84%84%
Fouls13.814.213.914.2
Cards2.503.062.532.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

AVS

0–15'111
16–30'410
31–45'511
46–60'414
61–75'612
76–90'79

Porto

0–15'91
16–30'82
31–45'121
46–60'135
61–75'123
76–90'126

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

AVS

No pressure profile yet.

Porto · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: when level +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.407
Early press (0-15, level)+0.717

Game state

When ahead+0.146
When level+0.807
When behind+0.193
10 min after conceding+0.203
10 min after scoring+0.616

Situations

At home+0.404
Away+0.393
4+ days rest+0.407

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.605
As favourite+0.566

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.077
Conceded when ahead+0.126
Conceded late (76+)+0.026

Ahead vs level -0.67 · Behind vs level -0.61

AVS

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-113 38%0.541.082.311.061.82
4-3-38 24%0.880.751.250.941.88
4-1-4-16 18%0.830.671.50.831.78
5-4-14 12%0.00.03.50.532.14
5-3-21 3%1.00.00.00.430.85

Porto

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-334 100%2.591.940.531.860.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

9.0Home 11% P 10%5.25Draw 18% P 17%1.33Away 71% P 72%

Double Chance

4.0AVS or Draw 12%1.11AVS or FC Porto 43%1.05Draw or FC Porto 45%

Draw No Bet

10.01 10%1.062 90%

Both Teams To Score

2.2Yes 42%1.61No 58%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 61% P 59%2.4Under 39% P 41%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 13%2.756 - 8 32%2.759 - 11 32%5.512 - 14 16%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 10–12.5% · away 70–72.5% · 229 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home10%11%9%-1.9
Draw17%18%15%-2.9
Away72%71%76%+4.8

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Career
43 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.6 (4.3 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match
27.9 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.4
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.45.66-1.576
Fouls / match27.927.8+0.05
Fouls per card6.54.9+1.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.380.37+0.1548
Time added6.37.7-1.516
First card
37' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.2

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-26 20 301 46'6
2026-04-03 20 312 47'6
2026-03-15 · Porto 20 270 58'5
2026-02-14 50 300 24'11
2026-02-02 · AVS 10 90 23'4
2026-01-25 10 290 51'3
2025-12-28 20 190 36'4
2025-12-14 40 290 18'3
2025-10-26 40 321 42'3
2025-09-21 40 291 55'4