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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 33

Momentum

Rio AveSporting CP
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
Capacity
12,815
Surface
grass
Attendance
3,747

Teams

Coaches
Sotiris Silaidopoulos · Rui Borges
Position
12 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
16.2° (feels 16.0°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Rio Ave

LWDLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 6.63–5.97 · xPts 6.9

  • D H Gil Vicente 0–0 xG 2.12–0.83 PRT PL
  • L A Vitória Guimarães 0–2 xG 0.45–1.55 PRT PL
  • D H AVS 2–2 xG 2.25–1.4 PRT PL
  • W A Santa Clara 2–0 xG 0.25–0.81 PRT PL
  • L H Alverca 1–2 xG 1.55–1.38 PRT PL

Sporting CP

DLDDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 10.47–7.44 · xPts 8.4

  • W H Vitória Guimarães 5–1 xG 2.37–0.94 PRT PL
  • D H Tondela 2–2 xG 2.64–1.4 PRT PL
  • D A AVS 1–1 xG 3.12–1.55 PRT PL
  • L H Benfica 1–2 xG 1.98–2.29 PRT PL
  • D A Arsenal 0–0 xG 0.36–1.26 UEFA CL

All meetings · 37 matches since 2005

Rio Ave 47 draws26 Sporting CP

Goals 27–76 · 2.78 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Rio Ave 01 draws9 Sporting CP

Goals 5–29 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Rio Ave 00 draws5 Sporting CP

Goals 2–18 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Rio Ave 0–4 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 1–4 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 4–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 0–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 3–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 3–3 Sporting CP PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 2–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 0–1 Sporting CP neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Sporting CP 3–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 0–2 Sporting CP neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricRio Ave all · 34Rio Ave at home · 17Sporting CP all · 34Sporting CP away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.060.882.412.41
W / D / L8 / 12 / 143 / 6 / 825 / 7 / 212 / 5 / 0
Goals for / match1.031.002.622.24
Goals against / match1.681.710.710.76
Clean sheets18%18%44%29%
Failed to score38%41%0%0%
Both teams scored53%53%56%71%
Over 2.559%65%71%59%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.051.302.091.90
xG against / match1.641.590.820.91
xG difference-0.59-0.291.270.99
Finishing vs xG-0.02-0.300.530.34
xPts / match1.061.262.121.98
Points vs xPts0.00-0.370.300.44
Game state
Scored first35%47%76%71%
PPG when scoring first1.921.632.542.33
PPG when conceding first0.530.002.002.60
Came back from behind33%11%75%100%
Leads held50%38%81%75%
Minutes leading18%23%45%41%
Minutes level51%43%48%51%
Minutes trailing31%34%7%8%
First goal (min)42293937
First goal conceded (min)39375042
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%41%57%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%45%67%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.120.650.59
Late goals against0.320.240.320.24
Style
Possession47%48%62%63%
Shots10.412.417.616.1
On target3.94.16.86.1
Shot conversion10%8%15%14%
Shots inside box62%62%68%65%
Big chances created2.02.43.63.3
Corners4.35.16.97.5
xG from set plays31%30%24%23%
Goals from headers18%12%16%17%
Pressure index8.29.724.622.6
Dominant minutes34.840.669.668.8
Pass accuracy82%82%88%88%
Fouls12.912.212.212.3
Cards2.973.062.182.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Rio Ave

0–15'34
16–30'69
31–45'412
46–60'88
61–75'813
76–90'611

Sporting CP

0–15'74
16–30'103
31–45'211
46–60'132
61–75'163
76–90'2211

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Rio Ave · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.336
Late push (76+, level)-0.022
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.643

Game state

When level-0.166
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.355
10 min after scoring-0.152

Situations

At home-0.303
Away-0.153
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.272
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog-0.195

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.326
Conceded late (76+)+0.544

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

Rio Ave

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-318 53%1.111.221.780.961.85
4-2-3-113 38%1.231.01.231.321.33
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.03.00.421.71

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%2.382.530.722.020.83
4-4-22 6%3.04.00.53.230.69

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

13.0Home 7% P 8%6.5Draw 14% P 12%1.2Away 78% P 80%

Double Chance

4.33Rio Ave or Draw 11%1.11Rio Ave or Sporting 43%1.04Draw or Sporting 46%

Draw No Bet

10.01 10%1.062 90%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50%1.9No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.4Over 67% P 73%2.87Under 33% P 27%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 5–10% · away 75–80% · 344 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home8%8%7%-1.0
Draw12%15%12%-3.0
Away80%77%81%+4.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 64%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 72.5–75% · 217 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.573%73%74%+0.3

João António Ferreira Gonçalves

Career
75 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
5.87 (5.36 yellow · 0.23 red)
Fouls / match
26.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
51%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 69 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.935.66+0.3755
Fouls / match27.027.9-0.44
Fouls per card4.64.9-0.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.390.37+0.2252
Time added8.77.7+1.3094
First card
26' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
51% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.15

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-18 40 270 81'12
2026-04-04 70 220 1'10
2026-03-21 30 230 34'4
2026-03-07 40 200 12'8
2026-03-02 50 270 39'5
2026-01-18 61 342 32'10
2026-01-03 40 190 19'9
2025-12-28 61 231 15'11
2025-12-21 11 210 57'10
2025-12-07 62 260 28'12