Tondela v Moreirense · KickoffDNA

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 33

TondelaTondela

2–0

MoreirenseMoreirense

Momentum

– TondelaMoreirense –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

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Season context

Tondela	at home	Stat	league	away	Moreirense
43.6 #16	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	49.5 #10
10.6 #14	–	Shots total	12.1	–	8.9 #17
3.4 #14	–	Shots on target	4.1	–	3.2 #15
4.0 #14	–	Corners	4.7	–	3.6 #17
14.4 #6	–	Fouls	13.7	–	13.9 #9
2.0 #2	–	Offsides	1.5	–	1.2 #16
17.5 #1	–	Tackles	15.6	–	14.3 #16
81.2 #12	–	Attacks	90.3	–	77.3 #16
36.1 #12	–	Dangerous attacks	42.1	–	31.3 #17
338.4 #15	–	Passes	405.0	–	430.8 #6
2.7 #6	–	Yellowcards	2.6	–	2.7 #7
0.1 #10	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.1 #5
0.4 #18	–	Assists	0.9	–	0.9 #7
– #17	–	Btts	48.0	–	– #8
– #12	–	Cleansheet	29.2	–	– #9
– #9	–	Draw	27.1	–	– #13
1.3 #7	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	0.9 #17
-0.5 #18	–	Expected goals difference	0.0	–	0.2 #5
– #1	–	Failed to score	29.2	–	– #8
0.8 #17	0.8	Goals	1.3	1.0	1.1 #11
1.6 #7	1.2	Goals conceded	1.3	1.6	1.4 #10
0.2 #10	–	Injury time goals	0.2	–	0.2 #6
9.2 #5	–	Interceptions	8.6	–	8.7 #9
– #2	–	Lost	36.4	–	– #9
0.2 #5	–	Penalties scored	0.2	–	0.0 #16
6.7 #15	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.7 #14
2.6 #14	–	Shots blocked	3.2	–	2.4 #15
6.4 #12	–	Shots insidebox	7.4	–	5.3 #18
4.6 #12	–	Shots off target	4.8	–	3.3 #18
4.2 #11	–	Shots outsidebox	4.6	–	3.6 #16
– #15	–	Win	36.4	–	– #7

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 306 of 306
Goals / match: 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
Home / draw / away: 41% · 27% · 32%
BTTS · over 2.5: 48% · 54%
Cards / match: 5.01 (reds 0.13)

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 33

Venue

Stadium: Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela
Capacity: 5,000
Surface: grass
Attendance: 2,784

Teams

Coaches: Goncalo Feio · Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
Position: 17 · 8
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ricardo Baixinho

Weather

Conditions: scattered clouds
Temperature: 11.1° (feels 10.7°)
Wind: 0.7
Humidity: 95%

Where to watch · 1

International Bet365

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	48	88	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	65	82	DDWWW
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	49	80	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	28	59	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	34	15	11	8	42	29	13	56	DWDDW
6	Gil Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	9	50	LWDLL
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43	WLWLD
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42	WLDWW
9	Vitória Guimarães	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42	WWLLL
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39	LLDDL
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39	LWLDL
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36	DLDLD
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36	DWDWL
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34	WWLLW
15	Estrela Amadora	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30	LLLDD
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30	LLLWD
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28	LDWWL
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	3	0	33	6	27	45	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	13	2	2	51	11	40	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	11	6	0	41	13	28	39	WWDDW
4	Famalicão	17	9	4	4	27	12	15	31	DWDDW
5	Sporting Braga	17	8	6	3	34	18	16	30	WLDDD
6	Gil Vicente	17	9	3	5	28	17	11	30	LWDLL
7	Vitória Guimarães	17	8	4	5	26	19	7	28	WWLLL
8	Moreirense	17	8	3	6	20	21	-1	27	WLWLD
9	Alverca	17	7	5	5	18	23	-5	26	LWLDL
10	Arouca	17	7	4	6	27	30	-3	25	WLDWW
11	Estoril	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	LLDDL
12	Santa Clara	17	7	2	8	17	17	0	23	DWDWL
13	Nacional	17	6	2	9	23	23	0	20	WWLLW
14	Estrela Amadora	17	4	6	7	21	24	-3	18	LLLDD
15	Casa Pia	17	2	9	6	18	26	-8	15	LLLWD
16	Rio Ave	17	3	6	8	17	29	-12	15	DLDLD
17	Tondela	17	2	7	8	13	21	-8	13	LDWWL
18	AVS	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	1	2	33	12	21	43	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	12	5	0	38	13	25	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	12	5	0	33	12	21	41	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	17	8	5	4	30	18	12	29	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	17	6	7	4	15	17	-2	25	DWDDW
6	Rio Ave	17	5	6	6	18	28	-10	21	DLDLD
7	Gil Vicente	17	4	8	5	19	21	-2	20	LWDLL
8	Arouca	17	5	2	10	20	34	-14	17	WLDWW
9	Estoril	17	4	4	9	25	31	-6	16	LLDDL
10	Moreirense	17	4	4	9	17	28	-11	16	WLWLD
11	Casa Pia	17	4	3	10	13	31	-18	15	LLLWD
12	Tondela	17	4	3	10	14	34	-20	15	LDWWL
13	Nacional	17	3	5	9	14	22	-8	14	WWLLW
14	Vitória Guimarães	17	4	2	11	13	32	-19	14	WWLLL
15	Santa Clara	17	2	7	8	15	24	-9	13	DWDWL
16	Alverca	17	3	4	10	17	29	-12	13	LWLDL
17	Estrela Amadora	17	2	6	9	17	32	-15	12	LLLDD
18	AVS	17	1	6	10	12	40	-28	9	DDWWD

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Tondela

DLLDW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 6.79–10.0 · xPts 5.9

W A Casa Pia 1–0 xG 1.49–0.48 PRT PL
D A Sporting CP 2–2 xG 1.4–2.64 PRT PL
L H Nacional 0–2 xG 1.93–1.56 PRT PL
L A Porto 0–2 xG 0.11–3.4 PRT PL
D H Gil Vicente 2–2 xG 1.87–1.91 PRT PL

Moreirense

LDWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 4.33–8.76 · xPts 4.42

W H Estrela Amadora 3–2 xG 2.03–2.42 PRT PL
L A Benfica 1–4 xG 0.43–2.46 PRT PL
W H Estoril 1–0 xG 1.04–0.38 PRT PL
D A Famalicão 1–1 xG 0.22–2.27 PRT PL
L H Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 0.6–1.23 PRT PL

All meetings · 16 matches since 2015

Tondela 74 draws5 Moreirense

Goals 21–17 · 2.38 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Tondela 52 draws3 Moreirense

Goals 12–10 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Tondela 30 draws2 Moreirense

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

W Tondela 2–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
L Moreirense 1–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
L Moreirense 2–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
W Tondela 2–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
W Moreirense 2–3 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
D Tondela 0–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
W Moreirense 1–2 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
D Tondela 1–1 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
L Moreirense 2–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
W Tondela 2–0 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season

Metric	Tondela all · 34	Tondela at home · 17	Moreirense all · 34	Moreirense away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	0.82	0.76	1.26	0.94
W / D / L	6 / 10 / 18	2 / 7 / 8	12 / 7 / 15	4 / 4 / 9
Goals for / match	0.79	0.76	1.09	1.00
Goals against / match	1.62	1.24	1.44	1.65
Clean sheets	21%	24%	26%	24%
Failed to score	53%	59%	32%	35%
Both teams scored	35%	35%	47%	47%
Over 2.5	50%	35%	50%	47%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.27	1.35	0.91	0.88
xG against / match	1.56	1.53	1.54	1.74
xG difference	-0.30	-0.18	-0.63	-0.85
Finishing vs xG	-0.47	-0.59	0.18	0.12
xPts / match	1.23	1.30	1.02	0.93
Points vs xPts	-0.40	-0.54	0.25	0.01
Game state
Scored first	32%	24%	44%	41%
PPG when scoring first	1.73	1.25	2.20	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.30	0.50	0.47	0.11
Came back from behind	25%	33%	25%	18%
Leads held	46%	33%	71%	57%
Minutes leading	14%	12%	22%	26%
Minutes level	56%	65%	52%	43%
Minutes trailing	29%	23%	26%	31%
First goal (min)	41	38	35	26
First goal conceded (min)	42	44	40	38
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	63%	62%	60%	47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	60%	62%	61%	64%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.15	0.18	0.18	0.12
Late goals against	0.44	0.35	0.35	0.47
Style
Possession	44%	45%	50%	49%
Shots	10.6	12.1	8.9	8.5
On target	3.4	3.5	3.2	3.4
Shot conversion	8%	6%	12%	12%
Shots inside box	60%	63%	59%	60%
Big chances created	2.0	2.0	1.7	2.1
Corners	4.0	3.9	3.6	3.3
xG from set plays	46%	36%	27%	24%
Goals from headers	12%	17%	24%	18%
Pressure index	8.3	8.9	10.6	11.0
Dominant minutes	38.1	41.1	42.9	38.5
Pass accuracy	78%	77%	83%	82%
Fouls	14.4	13.9	13.9	14.1
Cards	2.71	2.41	2.71	2.82

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Tondela

0–15'64

16–30'29

31–45'29

46–60'66

61–75'612

76–90'515

Moreirense

0–15'85

16–30'47

31–45'37

46–60'710

61–75'98

76–90'612

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316

Early press (0-15, level)-0.526

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163

When level-0.416

When behind-0.334

10 min after conceding-0.435

10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293

Away-0.333

4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443

v bottom-tier opponents-0.242

Evenly matched-0.212

As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796

Conceded when ahead+0.703

Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	21 62%	0.86	0.76	1.71	1.43	1.57
5-4-1	4 12%	1.25	1.0	1.0	0.91	1.77
3-4-3	3 9%	0.0	0.33	2.33	0.86	1.51
4-3-3	3 9%	0.67	1.33	1.67	1.26	1.7
4-4-2	2 6%	1.5	1.0	1.0	1.28	1.13

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	18 53%	1.61	1.17	1.22	0.9	1.53
4-3-3	8 24%	0.88	1.13	1.63	1.02	1.45
4-4-2	4 12%	1.0	1.0	1.5	0.75	1.72
3-4-3	2 6%	1.5	1.5	1.5	1.19	2.06
5-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.6	1.23

Metric	Tondela all · 10	Tondela at home · 10	Moreirense all · 10	Moreirense away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.90	1.10	1.10	0.80
W / D / L	2 / 3 / 5	2 / 5 / 3	3 / 2 / 5	2 / 2 / 6
Goals for / match	0.80	1.00	1.10	0.70
Goals against / match	1.70	1.00	2.10	1.90
Clean sheets	30%	30%	20%	10%
Failed to score	50%	50%	40%	40%
Both teams scored	30%	40%	50%	50%
Over 2.5	40%	30%	70%	50%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.12	1.29	0.88	0.61
xG against / match	1.71	1.38	1.93	1.89
xG difference	-0.59	-0.09	-1.05	-1.27
Finishing vs xG	-0.32	-0.29	0.22	0.09
xPts / match	1.13	1.34	0.79	0.60
Points vs xPts	-0.23	-0.24	0.31	0.20
Game state
Scored first	30%	30%	30%	40%
PPG when scoring first	2.33	1.67	2.00	1.75
PPG when conceding first	0.17	0.80	0.67	0.17
Came back from behind	29%	50%	29%	14%
Leads held	67%	50%	75%	50%
Minutes leading	12%	19%	17%	23%
Minutes level	55%	62%	40%	35%
Minutes trailing	33%	19%	43%	42%
First goal (min)	51	27	23	26
First goal conceded (min)	36	34	28	35
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	75%	50%	36%	29%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	65%	40%	48%	42%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.30	0.20	0.30	0.00
Late goals against	0.40	0.30	0.40	0.40
Style
Possession	48%	45%	45%	46%
Shots	10.3	11.3	8.9	6.9
On target	3.1	3.2	3.2	3.1
Shot conversion	8%	9%	12%	10%
Shots inside box	57%	67%	58%	58%
Big chances created	1.6	1.8	1.9	1.4
Corners	4.1	4.3	3.1	2.9
xG from set plays	34%	36%	40%	27%
Goals from headers	14%	22%	10%	0%
Pressure index	9.7	10.9	8.9	8.0
Dominant minutes	42.2	44.3	38.2	32.6
Pass accuracy	81%	77%	78%	79%
Fouls	13.8	15.0	13.6	13.8
Cards	2.20	2.60	3.10	3.40

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Tondela

0–15'11

16–30'14

31–45'01

46–60'13

61–75'24

76–90'34

Moreirense

0–15'13

16–30'54

31–45'14

46–60'04

61–75'12

76–90'34

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 40%	1.5	0.75	1.75	1.34	1.24
4-3-3	2 20%	1.0	2.0	2.0	1.63	2.28
5-4-1	2 20%	0.5	0.0	1.0	0.54	2.15
3-4-2-1	1 10%	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.62	1.28
3-4-3	1 10%	0.0	1.0	3.0	0.85	2.06

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	7 70%	1.43	1.0	1.86	1.05	1.78
3-4-3	1 10%	0.0	1.0	2.0	0.81	3.26
4-4-2	1 10%	0.0	1.0	4.0	0.43	2.46
4-3-3	1 10%	1.0	2.0	2.0	0.24	1.12

Metric	Tondela all · 29	Tondela at home · 15	Moreirense all · 35	Moreirense away · 18
Results
Matches	29	15	35	18
Points per game	0.93	0.80	1.09	0.89
W / D / L	6 / 9 / 14	2 / 6 / 7	10 / 8 / 17	4 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match	0.86	0.73	1.03	1.00
Goals against / match	1.55	1.20	1.66	1.78
Clean sheets	24%	27%	23%	22%
Failed to score	48%	60%	34%	33%
Both teams scored	38%	33%	49%	50%
Over 2.5	48%	33%	57%	56%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.24	1.29	0.84	0.87
xG against / match	1.55	1.54	1.69	1.87
xG difference	-0.31	-0.24	-0.84	-1.01
Finishing vs xG	-0.38	-0.56	0.19	0.13
xPts / match	1.23	1.27	0.90	0.85
Points vs xPts	-0.30	-0.47	0.19	0.04
Game state
Scored first	38%	27%	40%	44%
PPG when scoring first	1.73	1.25	1.93	1.75
PPG when conceding first	0.33	0.50	0.47	0.11
Came back from behind	26%	30%	26%	17%
Leads held	50%	40%	62%	50%
Minutes leading	17%	13%	21%	25%
Minutes level	57%	64%	50%	42%
Minutes trailing	26%	22%	30%	33%
First goal (min)	39	32	33	27
First goal conceded (min)	42	41	37	36
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	60%	54%	50%	44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	64%	61%	59%	56%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.14	0.13	0.20	0.11
Late goals against	0.41	0.33	0.34	0.44
Style
Possession	44%	44%	47%	47%
Shots	10.4	11.7	8.5	8.2
On target	3.3	3.5	3.1	3.5
Shot conversion	8%	6%	12%	12%
Shots inside box	60%	64%	58%	60%
Big chances created	1.8	1.7	1.6	1.9
Corners	4.1	4.1	3.4	3.2
xG from set plays	45%	37%	28%	20%
Goals from headers	14%	20%	20%	17%
Pressure index	9.2	9.5	10.1	10.7
Dominant minutes	39.7	41.1	38.8	37.0
Pass accuracy	78%	77%	81%	80%
Fouls	14.8	14.1	13.8	13.8
Cards	2.90	2.67	2.71	2.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Tondela

0–15'64

16–30'28

31–45'24

46–60'66

61–75'511

76–90'412

Moreirense

0–15'86

16–30'79

31–45'39

46–60'412

61–75'710

76–90'712

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Tondela · 29 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.1729

Early press (0-15, level)-0.2229

Late push (76+, level)-0.2613

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1015

Game state

When ahead-0.2812

When level-0.2029

When behind-0.0319

10 min after conceding-0.1222

10 min after scoring+0.1715

Situations

Against ten men+0.077

At home-0.1915

Away-0.1514

4+ days rest-0.1729

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.416

v mid-tier opponents-0.207

v bottom-tier opponents+0.0011

As favourite-0.184

Evenly matched-0.0613

As underdog-0.3012

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.3929

Conceded when ahead+0.3612

Conceded late (76+)+0.0527

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level +0.17

Moreirense · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: as favourite +0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0235

Early press (0-15, level)-0.0135

Late push (76+, level)-0.2213

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0216

Game state

When ahead-0.0216

When level+0.0135

When behind-0.0923

10 min after conceding-0.2727

10 min after scoring+0.3223

Situations

With ten men-0.304

At home-0.1017

Away+0.0618

4+ days rest-0.0235

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.3711

v mid-tier opponents-0.105

v bottom-tier opponents+0.0311

As favourite+0.464

Evenly matched+0.0713

As underdog-0.2118

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2235

Conceded when ahead+0.2616

Conceded late (76+)+0.1831

Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.11

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	16 55%	1.06	0.88	1.63	1.43	1.55
5-4-1	4 14%	1.25	1.0	1.0	0.91	1.77
4-3-3	3 10%	0.67	1.33	1.67	1.26	1.7
3-4-3	3 10%	0.0	0.33	2.33	0.86	1.51
4-4-2	2 7%	1.5	1.0	1.0	1.28	1.13

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	17 49%	1.35	1.0	1.59	0.8	1.75
4-3-3	9 26%	0.89	1.22	1.67	0.94	1.42
4-4-2	4 11%	1.0	1.0	1.5	0.75	1.72
3-4-3	3 9%	1.0	1.33	1.67	1.06	2.46
5-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.6	1.23

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 49% P 49%3.4Draw 28% P 28%4.0Away 24% P 23%

Double Chance

1.22Tondela or Draw 39%1.3Tondela or Moreirense 36%1.9Draw or Moreirense 25%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 45%1.8Under 53% P 55%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 809 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	49%	49%	47%	-1.9
Draw	28%	28%	29%	+1.6
Away	23%	24%	24%	+0.2

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	45%	46%	45%	-1.2

Ricardo Baixinho

Career: 39 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match: 7.46 (6.79 yellow · 0.44 red)
Fouls / match: 30.5 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.51
Cards to home side: 43%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 39 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	7.33	5.66	+2.14	100
Fouls / match	30.5	27.8	+1.39
Fouls per card	4.2	4.9	-1.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.44	0.37	+0.54	73
Time added	9.2	7.7	+1.88	97

First card: 28' on average
Card timing: 16% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 43% (league 48%)
VAR events / match: 1.23

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-05-02	6	1	23	0	5'	9
2026-02-16 · Moreirense	4	0	40	0	5'	9
2026-02-01	3	0	27	0	28'	8
2026-01-23	8	0	28	2	13'	12
2025-12-15 · Tondela	11	2	28	3	20'	16
2025-11-29	8	1	26	0	43'	13
2025-09-14	9	0	39	0	35'	11
2025-08-25	9	2	42	1	16'	14
2025-08-18	6	0	29	0	41'	11

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Tondela

Moreirense · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Absences

Tondela

Moreirense

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 1

Tondela

Moreirense

All meetings · 16 matches since 2015

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Tondela

Moreirense

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Tondela

Moreirense · 6 matches

Tondela

Moreirense

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Tondela

Moreirense

Tondela

Moreirense

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Tondela

Moreirense

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Tondela · 29 matches

Moreirense · 35 matches

Tondela

Moreirense

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 809 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

Ricardo Baixinho

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 39 matches)

Recent matches