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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 33

Momentum

Gil VicenteArouca
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
33

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos
Capacity
12,046
Surface
grass
Attendance
4,972

Teams

Coaches
César Peixoto · Vasco Freire De Seabra
Position
6 · 11
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
13.1° (feels 12.9°)
Wind
1.8
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Gil Vicente

WDLWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 7.96–6.68 · xPts 7.79

  • D A Rio Ave 0–0 xG 0.83–2.12 PRT PL
  • W H Casa Pia 2–1 xG 1.73–1.24 PRT PL
  • L H Vitória Guimarães 0–1 xG 1.3–1.01 PRT PL
  • D A Tondela 2–2 xG 1.91–1.87 PRT PL
  • W H AVS 3–0 xG 2.2–0.45 PRT PL

Arouca

WLWLD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 6.04–5.67 · xPts 7.14

  • D H Santa Clara 2–2 xG 1.3–1.92 PRT PL
  • L A Alverca 1–2 xG 0.99–0.81 PRT PL
  • W H Estrela Amadora 1–0 xG 0.96–1.35 PRT PL
  • L A Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 1.08–0.66 PRT PL
  • W H Estoril 3–2 xG 1.71–0.93 PRT PL

All meetings · 14 matches since 2013

Gil Vicente 07 draws7 Arouca

Goals 12–25 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Gil Vicente 06 draws4 Arouca

Goals 10–17 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Gil Vicente 04 draws1 Arouca

Goals 7–9 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Gil Vicente 1–3 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 2–2 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 1–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Arouca 1–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 2–2 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 3–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 1–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 1–0 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Arouca 2–1 Gil Vicente PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Gil Vicente 1–1 Arouca PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricGil Vicente all · 34Gil Vicente at home · 17Arouca all · 34Arouca away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.471.761.241.00
W / D / L13 / 11 / 109 / 3 / 512 / 6 / 165 / 2 / 10
Goals for / match1.381.651.381.18
Goals against / match1.121.001.882.00
Clean sheets35%35%21%24%
Failed to score26%18%26%29%
Both teams scored47%47%56%53%
Over 2.553%53%68%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.431.421.040.87
xG against / match1.150.991.511.54
xG difference0.280.43-0.48-0.66
Finishing vs xG-0.040.230.340.30
xPts / match1.541.611.141.08
Points vs xPts-0.070.150.09-0.08
Game state
Scored first56%59%50%41%
PPG when scoring first2.162.601.821.71
PPG when conceding first0.500.570.630.44
Came back from behind38%38%24%17%
Leads held62%82%60%62%
Minutes leading28%33%20%11%
Minutes level53%46%50%54%
Minutes trailing19%21%30%34%
First goal (min)33393744
First goal conceded (min)41403532
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%61%62%60%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%53%50%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.320.530.180.12
Late goals against0.240.120.410.41
Style
Possession50%50%50%51%
Shots13.814.610.710.6
On target4.55.03.62.9
Shot conversion10%11%13%11%
Shots inside box57%57%58%52%
Big chances created2.12.32.11.4
Corners5.65.43.73.4
xG from set plays45%44%24%30%
Goals from headers17%18%34%40%
Pressure index14.815.510.711.0
Dominant minutes54.156.043.444.0
Pass accuracy80%82%82%82%
Fouls13.613.413.913.3
Cards2.502.293.322.65

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Gil Vicente

0–15'84
16–30'26
31–45'147
46–60'64
61–75'69
76–90'118

Arouca

0–15'910
16–30'28
31–45'714
46–60'119
61–75'129
76–90'614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Gil Vicente · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.05) · stands out: at home +0.33

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.055
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)-0.073
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.192

Game state

When ahead-0.213
When level-0.305
When behind+1.202
10 min after conceding-0.172
10 min after scoring-0.173

Situations

At home+0.333
Away-0.392
4+ days rest+0.055

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.592
As favourite-0.192
As underdog-0.392

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.205
Conceded when ahead+0.403
Conceded late (76+)+0.125

Ahead vs level +0.09 · Behind vs level +1.50

Arouca · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.53

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.046
Early press (0-15, level)-0.146
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.092

Game state

When ahead-0.193
When level-0.036
When behind+0.093
10 min after conceding-0.073
10 min after scoring+0.534

Situations

At home+0.203
Away-0.233
4+ days rest-0.046

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
As favourite+0.292
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog-0.482

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.196
Conceded when ahead+0.433
Conceded late (76+)-0.095

Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.12

Gil Vicente

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 79%1.441.371.191.421.16
4-1-4-14 12%1.751.750.751.751.04
4-4-22 6%0.51.01.51.271.39
4-3-31 3%3.01.00.00.580.8

Arouca

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-132 94%1.311.441.881.041.52
4-3-31 3%0.01.03.00.852.32
5-4-11 3%0.00.01.01.080.66

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.6Home 59% P 59%4.0Draw 24% P 25%5.5Away 17% P 16%

Double Chance

1.16Gil Vicente or Draw 41%1.25Gil Vicente or FC Arouca 38%2.15Draw or FC Arouca 22%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.75Over 54% P 53%2.05Under 46% P 47%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 15–17.5% · 555 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home59%59%57%-1.5
Draw25%25%28%+3.8
Away16%16%14%-2.2

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%55%+0.8

Miguel André Monteiro Fonseca

Career
19 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
5.37 (5.26 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
29.0 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.32
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 18 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.395.66-0.3233
Fouls / match29.027.8+0.59
Fouls per card5.74.9+0.75 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.440.37+0.6076
Time added8.37.7+0.8385
First card
28' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 47% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.25

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-13 · Gil Vicente 70 263 7'7
2026-03-15 80 290 16'8
2026-02-21 21 6
2026-02-07 · Arouca 50 340 22'7
2026-01-03 80 340 23'5
2025-12-21 50 261 23'9
2025-12-15 60 301 48'8
2025-10-26 60 281 40'12
2025-09-28 30 110 12'18
2025-05-11 80 360 33'8