Rating 7.58 (100th pct) · G+A 15 + 4 (30% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 2.04 ppg with (25) · 0.89 without (9)
Liga Portugal · Matchweek 34
Momentum
– SCBCFEA –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Sporting Braga | at home | Stat | league | away | Estrela Amadora |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62.9 #1 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 46.8 #13 |
| 11.7 #9 | – | Shots total | 12.1 | – | 10.8 #12 |
| 4.7 #4 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 3.6 #12 |
| 5.3 #6 | – | Corners | 4.7 | – | 3.3 #18 |
| 11.7 #17 | – | Fouls | 13.7 | – | 14.3 #7 |
| 1.3 #15 | – | Offsides | 1.5 | – | 1.8 #4 |
| 13.6 #18 | – | Tackles | 15.6 | – | 15.8 #9 |
| 115.9 #1 | – | Attacks | 90.3 | – | 77.0 #17 |
| 53.7 #3 | – | Dangerous attacks | 42.1 | – | 29.6 #18 |
| 603.9 #1 | – | Passes | 405.0 | – | 354.8 #14 |
| 2.2 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 2.6 | – | 3.0 #4 |
| 0.0 #17 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #2 |
| 1.0 #5 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 0.7 #12 |
| – #3 | – | Btts | 48.0 | – | – #8 |
| – #5 | – | Cleansheet | 29.2 | – | – #10 |
| – #5 | – | Draw | 27.1 | – | – #1 |
| 1.7 #4 | – | Expected goals | 1.3 | – | 1.1 #12 |
| 0.2 #4 | – | Expected goals difference | 0.0 | – | -0.0 #7 |
| – #15 | – | Failed to score | 29.2 | – | – #3 |
| 1.9 #4 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 #10 |
| 1.1 #14 | 1.1 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.6 #6 |
| 0.1 #15 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #10 |
| 7.5 #17 | – | Interceptions | 8.6 | – | 9.8 #1 |
| – #15 | – | Lost | 36.4 | – | – #4 |
| 0.5 #1 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #5 |
| 6.9 #4 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #11 |
| 3.1 #11 | – | Shots blocked | 3.2 | – | 2.7 #13 |
| 7.9 #5 | – | Shots insidebox | 7.4 | – | 5.9 #15 |
| 3.9 #14 | – | Shots off target | 4.8 | – | 4.6 #11 |
| 3.8 #15 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.6 | – | 4.9 #8 |
| – #4 | – | Win | 36.4 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 306 of 306
- Goals / match
- 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
- Home / draw / away
- 41% · 27% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 48% · 54%
- Cards / match
- 5.01 (reds 0.13)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Sporting Braga · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.02 (83th pct) · G+A 10 + 4 (22% of team goals) · 74% of minutes
Team 1.7 ppg with (27) · 1.86 without (7)
Rating 6.94 (74th pct) · G+A 1 + 4 (8% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Team 1.59 ppg with (27) · 2.29 without (7)
Estrela Amadora · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal
Rating 7.04 (86th pct) · G+A 5 + 5 (26% of team goals) · 84% of minutes
Rating 6.73 (41th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (13% of team goals) · 55% of minutes
Team 0.8 ppg with (20) · 1.0 without (14)
Rating 7.1 (92th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (5% of team goals) · 26% of minutes
Team 0.44 ppg with (9) · 1.04 without (25)
Absences
Sporting Braga
- injury Bright Arrey-Mbi #13 key player defender · Unknown Injury · 14 missed
- injury Diego Rodrigues #11 key player midfielder · Ankle Injury · 10 missed · until 2026-05-30
- suspension Vítor Carvalho #6 key player defender · Yellow Card Suspension · 1 missed · until 2026-05-17
Estrela Amadora
- injury Ni defender · Broken Arm · 7 missed · until 2026-01-02
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 34
Venue
- Stadium
- Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga
- Capacity
- 30,286
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 12,232
Teams
- Coaches
- Carlos Vicens · António Rocha Simão
- Position
- 4 · 15
- Formation
- 3-4-1-2 · 3-4-3
Referee
Gustavo Fernandes Correia
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 16.6° (feels 16.1°)
- Wind
- 3.5
- Humidity
- 67%
Where to watch · 1
- International Bet365
2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Porto |
34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66 | 18 | 48 | 88 | WWWLW |
| 2 |  Sporting CP |
34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 82 | DDWWW |
| 3 |  Benfica |
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 80 | WWDDW |
| 4 |  Sporting Braga |
34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64 | 36 | 28 | 59 | WLDDD |
| 5 |  Famalicão |
34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 56 | DWDDW |
| 6 |  Gil Vicente |
34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 50 | LWDLL |
| 7 |  Moreirense |
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 | WLWLD |
| 8 |  Arouca |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 42 | WLDWW |
| 9 |  Vitória Guimarães |
34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 42 | WWLLL |
| 10 |  Estoril |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 39 | LLDDL |
| 11 |  Alverca |
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 39 | LWLDL |
| 12 |  Rio Ave |
34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 36 | DLDLD |
| 13 |  Santa Clara |
34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 36 | DWDWL |
| 14 |  Nacional |
34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 34 | WWLLW |
| 15 |  Estrela Amadora |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 30 | LLLDD |
| 16 |  Casa Pia |
34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | LLLWD |
| 17 |  Tondela |
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27 | 55 | -28 | 28 | LDWWL |
| 18 |  AVS |
34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27 | 67 | -40 | 21 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 33 | 6 | 27 | 45 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 51 | 11 | 40 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 41 | 13 | 28 | 39 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Famalicão |
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 12 | 15 | 31 | DWDDW |
| 5 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 30 | WLDDD |
| 6 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 | LWDLL |
| 7 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 28 | WWLLL |
| 8 | Moreirense |
17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 | WLWLD |
| 9 | Alverca |
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 26 | LWLDL |
| 10 | Arouca |
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 25 | WLDWW |
| 11 | Estoril |
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 23 | LLDDL |
| 12 | Santa Clara |
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 | DWDWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 20 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 18 | LLLDD |
| 15 | Casa Pia |
17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Rio Ave |
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 | DLDLD |
| 17 | Tondela |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 | LDWWL |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 12 | DDWWD |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto |
17 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 43 | WWWLW |
| 2 | Sporting CP |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 38 | 13 | 25 | 41 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Benfica |
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Sporting Braga |
17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 5 | Famalicão |
17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 25 | DWDDW |
| 6 | Rio Ave |
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 21 | DLDLD |
| 7 | Gil Vicente |
17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 20 | LWDLL |
| 8 | Arouca |
17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 17 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Estoril |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 16 | LLDDL |
| 10 | Moreirense |
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 16 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Casa Pia |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 31 | -18 | 15 | LLLWD |
| 12 | Tondela |
17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 34 | -20 | 15 | LDWWL |
| 13 | Nacional |
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 14 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Vitória Guimarães |
17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 32 | -19 | 14 | WWLLL |
| 15 | Santa Clara |
17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 | DWDWL |
| 16 | Alverca |
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 | LWLDL |
| 17 | Estrela Amadora |
17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 | LLLDD |
| 18 | AVS |
17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 40 | -28 | 9 | DDWWD |
- UEFA Champions League
- UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
- UEFA Europa League
- UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
- Relegation Play-off
- Relegation
Sporting Braga
LWDLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 4.99–9.82 · xPts 4.37
- D
A
Benfica
2–2
xG 0.2–3.12
PRT PL
- L
A
SC Freiburg
1–3
xG 1.4–2.16
UEFA EL - D
H
Estoril
1–1
xG 0.52–0.93
PRT PL
- W
H
SC Freiburg
2–1
xG 2.68–1.2
UEFA EL
- L
A
Santa Clara
1–2
xG 0.19–2.41
PRT PL
DWWDWLWDLD 4W 4D 2L · 16 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 16 GA 14 · xG 10.58–14.79 · xPts 11.44
- D
A
Benfica
2–2
xG 0.2–3.12
PRT PL
- L
A
SC Freiburg
1–3
xG 1.4–2.16
UEFA EL
- D
H
Estoril
1–1
xG 0.52–0.93
PRT PL
- W
H
SC Freiburg
2–1
xG 2.68–1.2
UEFA EL
- L
A
Santa Clara
1–2
xG 0.19–2.41
PRT PL
- W
A
Casa Pia
1–0
xG 0.44–0.59
PRT PL
- D
H
Famalicão
2–2
xG 1.67–0.56
PRT PL
- W
A
Real Betis
4–2
xG 1.65–1.3
UEFA EL - W
H
Arouca
1–0
xG 0.66–1.08
PRT PL
- D
H
Real Betis
1–1
xG 1.18–1.44
UEFA EL
Estrela Amadora
LLLLD 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 5.91–8.09 · xPts 5.39
- D
H
Famalicão
0–0
xG 0.29–2.07
PRT PL
- L
A
Moreirense
2–3
xG 2.42–2.03
PRT PL
- L
H
Porto
1–2
xG 1.41–2.02
PRT PL
- L
A
Arouca
0–1
xG 1.35–0.96
PRT PL
- L
H
Sporting CP
0–1
xG 0.43–1.01
PRT PL
DDLWLLLLLD 1W 3D 6L · 6 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 10 GA 13 · xG 13.34–15.25 · xPts 12.08
- D
H
Famalicão
0–0
xG 0.29–2.07
PRT PL
- L
A
Moreirense
2–3
xG 2.42–2.03
PRT PL
- L
H
Porto
1–2
xG 1.41–2.02
PRT PL
- L
A
Arouca
0–1
xG 1.35–0.96
PRT PL
- L
H
Sporting CP
0–1
xG 0.43–1.01
PRT PL
- L
A
Nacional
0–2
xG 0.64–1.19
PRT PL
- W
H
Casa Pia
4–0
xG 3.17–0.42
PRT PL
- L
A
Rio Ave
1–2
xG 1.53–2.47
PRT PL
- D
H
Gil Vicente
2–2
xG 1.28–2.27
PRT PL
- D
A
AVS
0–0
xG 0.82–0.81
PRT PL
All meetings · 15 matches since 2005
Goals 28–16 · 2.93 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 60%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 23–13 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Estrela Amadora 2–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Sporting Braga 2–2 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Estrela Amadora 3–3 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Estrela Amadora 0–1 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Sporting Braga 1–1 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Sporting Braga 3–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Estrela Amadora 2–4 Sporting Braga PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Estrela Amadora 2–2 Sporting Braga neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
- W Sporting Braga 5–0 Estrela Amadora PRT PL · Regular Season
- D Estrela Amadora 1–1 Sporting Braga neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Sporting Braga all · 34 | Sporting Braga at home · 17 | Estrela Amadora all · 34 | Estrela Amadora away · 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 34 | 17 | 34 | 17 |
| Points per game | 1.74 | 1.76 | 0.88 | 0.71 |
| W / D / L | 16 / 11 / 7 | 8 / 6 / 3 | 6 / 12 / 16 | 2 / 6 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.88 | 2.00 | 1.12 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.06 | 1.06 | 1.65 | 1.88 |
| Clean sheets | 35% | 35% | 24% | 18% |
| Failed to score | 9% | 12% | 44% | 47% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 53% | 47% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 71% | 53% | 53% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.67 | 1.64 | 1.13 | 0.92 |
| xG against / match | 1.06 | 0.81 | 1.63 | 1.74 |
| xG difference | 0.61 | 0.83 | -0.50 | -0.82 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.21 | 0.36 | -0.02 | 0.08 |
| xPts / match | 1.75 | 1.89 | 1.07 | 0.89 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.01 | -0.12 | -0.19 | -0.19 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | 71% | 26% | 24% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.21 | 2.25 | 1.56 | 0.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.55 | 0.70 |
| Came back from behind | 53% | 62% | 33% | 31% |
| Leads held | 59% | 57% | 50% | 33% |
| Minutes leading | 39% | 42% | 15% | 13% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 39% | 52% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | 19% | 33% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 29 | 25 | 40 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 38 | 33 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 42% | 41% | 50% | 53% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 44% | 55% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 63% | 62% | 47% | 43% |
| Shots | 11.7 | 11.0 | 10.8 | 8.6 |
| On target | 4.7 | 4.3 | 3.6 | 3.2 |
| Shot conversion | 16% | 18% | 10% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 66% | 55% | 56% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| xG from set plays | 46% | 50% | 41% | 43% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 15% | 13% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 21.3 | 19.8 | 8.9 | 6.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 64.9 | 64.5 | 38.4 | 30.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | 87% | 79% | 78% |
| Fouls | 11.7 | 11.6 | 14.4 | 14.5 |
| Cards | 2.44 | 2.24 | 2.85 | 2.82 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Sporting Braga
0–15'113
16–30'157
31–45'118
46–60'74
61–75'66
76–90'148
Estrela Amadora
0–15'59
16–30'65
31–45'811
46–60'413
61–75'912
76–90'66
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Sporting Braga · 11 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: when level +0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3311
Early press (0-15, level)+0.4011
Late push (76+, level)+0.085
Game state
When ahead+0.179
When level+0.4311
When behind+0.202
10 min after conceding+0.093
10 min after scoring+0.239
Situations
At home+0.335
Away+0.346
4+ days rest+0.3310
Opposition
v bottom-tier opponents+0.393
As favourite+0.3311
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.3011
Conceded when ahead-0.349
Conceded late (76+)-0.3410
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.25 · Behind vs level -0.23
Estrela Amadora · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.03) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.036
Early press (0-15, level)-0.496
Late push (76+, level)+0.195
Game state
When ahead+0.135
When level-0.046
When behind+0.085
10 min after conceding-0.046
10 min after scoring+0.416
Situations
At home-0.023
Away+0.083
4+ days rest+0.036
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.102
v bottom-tier opponents-0.062
Evenly matched+0.233
As underdog-0.173
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.016
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.296
Ahead vs level +0.18 · Behind vs level +0.12
Sporting Braga
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 15 44% | 1.67 | 1.93 | 0.93 | 1.59 | 1.21 |
| 3-4-3 | 10 29% | 2.5 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 2.06 | 0.93 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 5 15% | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 0.93 | 1.13 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 6% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.65 | 0.72 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 3% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.21 | 1.24 |
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 10 29% | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.28 | 1.78 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 29% | 0.7 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 1.07 | 2.09 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 12% | 0.75 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 0.89 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 9% | 0.33 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.55 | 1.6 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.91 | 0.76 |
| Metric | Sporting Braga all · 10 | Sporting Braga at home · 10 | Estrela Amadora all · 10 | Estrela Amadora away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.40 | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 1 | 7 / 3 / 0 | 2 / 6 / 2 | 1 / 4 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.70 | 1.90 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 0.50 | 0.60 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 60% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 10% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 40% | 90% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 40% | 90% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.49 | 1.72 | 1.35 | 1.40 |
| xG against / match | 0.62 | 0.73 | 1.64 | 1.45 |
| xG difference | 0.87 | 0.99 | -0.29 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.21 | -0.22 | 0.55 | 0.00 |
| xPts / match | 1.89 | 1.94 | 1.20 | 1.32 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.11 | 0.31 | 0.00 | -0.62 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 90% | 40% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.29 | 2.56 | 0.75 | 0.60 |
| PPG when conceding first | 3.00 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 0.75 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 100% | 75% | 38% |
| Leads held | 75% | 70% | 29% | 17% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 35% | 20% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 61% | 61% | 52% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 6% | 4% | 28% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 40 | 37 | 43 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 27 | 35 | 26 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 53% | 68% | 57% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 40% | 50% | 58% | 68% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.70 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 57% | 61% | 43% | 49% |
| Shots | 12.4 | 11.8 | 10.7 | 11.9 |
| On target | 5.2 | 4.8 | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 14% | 18% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 69% | 71% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | 2.2 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 3.7 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 45% | 30% | 38% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 8% | 21% | 14% |
| Pressure index | 16.8 | 16.9 | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 63.8 | 61.7 | 39.2 | 46.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 86% | 79% | 80% |
| Fouls | 12.6 | 11.2 | 12.6 | 11.7 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.70 | 3.20 | 2.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Sporting Braga
0–15'21
16–30'21
31–45'21
46–60'21
61–75'20
76–90'41
Estrela Amadora
0–15'24
16–30'11
31–45'33
46–60'44
61–75'53
76–90'44
Sporting Braga
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-3 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 1.51 | 0.71 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 1.67 | 0.0 | – | – |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.47 | 0.51 |
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.17 | 1.56 | 1.68 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 1.64 | 1.03 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.55 | 2.17 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.29 | 2.07 |
| Metric | Sporting Braga all · 54 | Sporting Braga at home · 26 | Estrela Amadora all · 35 | Estrela Amadora away · 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 54 | 26 | 35 | 18 |
| Points per game | 1.89 | 2.19 | 1.06 | 0.83 |
| W / D / L | 29 / 15 / 10 | 17 / 6 / 3 | 8 / 13 / 14 | 3 / 6 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.70 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| Goals against / match | 0.93 | 0.81 | 1.77 | 2.11 |
| Clean sheets | 46% | 54% | 20% | 11% |
| Failed to score | 11% | 4% | 34% | 39% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 42% | 57% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 54% | 66% | 67% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.52 | 1.62 | 1.19 | 1.14 |
| xG against / match | 1.02 | 0.83 | 1.63 | 1.72 |
| xG difference | 0.51 | 0.79 | -0.44 | -0.58 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.20 | 0.33 | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| xPts / match | 1.68 | 1.86 | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.16 | 0.26 | -0.07 | -0.22 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 70% | 85% | 31% | 33% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.29 | 2.45 | 1.45 | 0.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.92 | 0.75 | 0.85 | 0.90 |
| Came back from behind | 47% | 57% | 44% | 36% |
| Leads held | 67% | 71% | 47% | 33% |
| Minutes leading | 37% | 44% | 18% | 16% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 46% | 49% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 13% | 10% | 33% | 33% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 32 | 40 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 39 | 30 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 46% | 57% | 58% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 57% | 60% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.37 | 0.46 | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| Late goals against | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 59% | 59% | 47% | 46% |
| Shots | 11.0 | 11.0 | 11.1 | 9.9 |
| On target | 4.4 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 16% | 18% | 13% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 69% | 59% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 4.8 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| xG from set plays | 42% | 43% | 36% | 40% |
| Goals from headers | 12% | 9% | 16% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 17.7 | 17.0 | 9.7 | 8.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 60.2 | 61.5 | 39.9 | 36.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 86% | 87% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 12.1 | 11.8 | 13.9 | 14.0 |
| Cards | 2.37 | 2.08 | 2.83 | 2.94 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Sporting Braga
0–15'154
16–30'189
31–45'1311
46–60'137
61–75'1310
76–90'209
Estrela Amadora
0–15'512
16–30'75
31–45'98
46–60'816
61–75'1214
76–90'87
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Sporting Braga · 54 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.30) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.50
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.3054
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2454
Late push (76+, level)+0.1325
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.5013
Game state
When ahead+0.1143
When level+0.4354
When behind+0.3019
10 min after conceding+0.1229
10 min after scoring+0.5048
Situations
With ten men+0.356
Against ten men+0.395
At home+0.1726
Away+0.4228
3 days rest or fewer+0.068
4+ days rest+0.3446
Opposition
v top-tier opponents+0.1210
v mid-tier opponents+0.269
v bottom-tier opponents+0.4815
As favourite+0.3839
Evenly matched+0.087
As underdog+0.158
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1654
Conceded when ahead-0.1443
Conceded late (76+)-0.2149
Congested vs rested -0.28 · Ahead vs level -0.32 · Behind vs level -0.13
Estrela Amadora · 35 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: against ten men +0.42
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1035
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1835
Late push (76+, level)-0.0715
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0813
Game state
When ahead+0.0017
When level-0.1935
When behind-0.0125
10 min after conceding-0.2828
10 min after scoring+0.2123
Situations
With ten men-0.204
Against ten men+0.424
At home-0.1017
Away-0.1018
4+ days rest-0.1035
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.299
v mid-tier opponents-0.257
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0411
As favourite+0.352
Evenly matched+0.1012
As underdog-0.2421
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2235
Conceded when ahead+0.1317
Conceded late (76+)+0.0330
Ahead vs level +0.19 · Behind vs level +0.18
Sporting Braga
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 27 50% | 1.7 | 1.74 | 1.0 | 1.47 | 1.1 |
| 3-4-3 | 14 26% | 2.29 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 0.86 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 7 13% | 1.14 | 1.0 | 1.14 | 0.87 | 1.05 |
| 4-3-3 | 5 9% | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.27 | 0.47 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.68 | 1.2 |
Estrela Amadora
Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 40% | 0.93 | 1.5 | 2.21 | 1.16 | 1.92 |
| 3-4-3 | 10 29% | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.28 | 1.78 |
| 4-3-3 | 6 17% | 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.33 | 1.48 | 0.94 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 6% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.91 | 0.76 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 6% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 0.78 | 1.49 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.2h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.7Home 55% P 55%3.9Draw 24% P 24%4.5Away 21% P 21%
Double Chance
1.22Braga or Draw 39%1.25Braga or Estrela Amadora 38%2.0Draw or Estrela Amadora 24%
Draw No Bet
1.331 71%3.252 29%
Both Teams To Score
1.7Yes 55%2.05No 45%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.07Under 45% P 46%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 55% | 54% | 56% | +2.6 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | 27% | +1.4 |
| Away | 21% | 21% | 17% | -4.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 54% | 54% | +0.8 |
Gustavo Fernandes Correia
- Career
- 101 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 6.28 (5.75 yellow · 0.35 red)
- Fouls / match
- 29.2 · 4.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.47
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 68 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 6.72 | 5.66 | +1.37 | 97 |
| Fouls / match | 29.9 | 27.9 | +1.04 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.5 | 4.9 | -0.78 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.48 | 0.37 | +0.88 | 82 |
| Time added | 7.7 | 7.7 | +0.13 | 42 |
- First card
- 27' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 47% (league 48%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.17
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 55' | 19 |
| 2026-04-10 | 11 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 11' | 14 |
| 2025-11-27 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 89' | 5 |
| 2025-10-23 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 33' | 6 |
| 2025-09-21 · Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 29 | 0 | 34' | 11 |
| 2025-08-30 | 8 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 21' | 10 |
| 2025-08-08 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 4' | 8 |
| 2025-07-31 | 7 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 21' | 5 |
| 2025-07-17 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 1 | 14' | 6 |
| 2025-05-17 · Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 25' | 7 |