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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 34

Momentum

Casa PiaRio Ave
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
34

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Pina Manique, Lisboa
Capacity
7,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
2,232

Teams

Coaches
Paulo David da Silva Pinto · Sotiris Silaidopoulos
Position
16 · 13
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
15.7° (feels 15.2°)
Wind
7.7
Humidity
74%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Casa Pia

DLLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 2 GA 4 · xG 4.93–5.28 · xPts 6.51

  • W A Vitória Guimarães 1–0 xG 0.76–1.41 PRT PL
  • L H Tondela 0–1 xG 0.48–1.49 PRT PL
  • L A Gil Vicente 1–2 xG 1.24–1.73 PRT PL
  • L H Sporting Braga 0–1 xG 0.59–0.44 PRT PL
  • D H Santa Clara 0–0 xG 1.86–0.2 PRT PL

Rio Ave

WDLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 6.26–6.44 · xPts 6.37

  • L H Sporting CP 1–4 xG 1.19–1.85 PRT PL
  • D H Gil Vicente 0–0 xG 2.12–0.83 PRT PL
  • L A Vitória Guimarães 0–2 xG 0.45–1.55 PRT PL
  • D H AVS 2–2 xG 2.25–1.4 PRT PL
  • W A Santa Clara 2–0 xG 0.25–0.81 PRT PL

All meetings · 8 matches since 2022

Casa Pia 24 draws2 Rio Ave

Goals 9–10 · 2.38 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 38%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Casa Pia 24 draws2 Rio Ave

Goals 9–10 · 2.38 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 38%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Casa Pia 12 draws2 Rio Ave

Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Casa Pia 1–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 3–1 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 2–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 2–2 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Rio Ave 1–0 Casa Pia PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Casa Pia 1–1 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Rio Ave 1–1 Casa Pia neutral PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W Casa Pia 1–0 Rio Ave PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricCasa Pia all · 34Casa Pia at home · 17Rio Ave all · 34Rio Ave away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.880.881.061.24
W / D / L6 / 12 / 162 / 9 / 68 / 12 / 145 / 6 / 6
Goals for / match0.911.061.031.06
Goals against / match1.681.531.681.65
Clean sheets21%12%18%18%
Failed to score44%41%38%35%
Both teams scored47%59%53%53%
Over 2.544%29%59%53%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.940.981.050.80
xG against / match1.561.491.641.70
xG difference-0.62-0.51-0.59-0.89
Finishing vs xG-0.030.08-0.020.26
xPts / match1.001.071.060.86
Points vs xPts-0.12-0.190.000.37
Game state
Scored first29%29%35%24%
PPG when scoring first1.501.201.922.50
PPG when conceding first0.550.700.530.83
Came back from behind30%46%33%50%
Leads held46%29%50%62%
Minutes leading17%20%18%14%
Minutes level53%60%51%58%
Minutes trailing30%20%31%28%
First goal (min)42394255
First goal conceded (min)39473940
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%63%83%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%62%56%68%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.180.180.24
Late goals against0.320.350.320.41
Style
Possession41%41%47%46%
Shots8.98.310.48.5
On target2.92.73.93.6
Shot conversion10%13%10%12%
Shots inside box62%61%62%63%
Big chances created1.71.82.01.6
Corners4.03.64.33.4
xG from set plays38%42%31%34%
Goals from headers19%22%18%22%
Pressure index7.18.98.26.6
Dominant minutes35.641.534.828.9
Pass accuracy72%71%82%81%
Fouls15.916.912.913.6
Cards3.003.242.972.88

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Casa Pia

0–15'57
16–30'33
31–45'815
46–60'49
61–75'512
76–90'611

Rio Ave

0–15'34
16–30'69
31–45'412
46–60'88
61–75'813
76–90'611

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Casa Pia · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) +0.65

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.136
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.654

Game state

When level-0.046
When behind+0.335
10 min after conceding+0.075

Situations

At home+0.423
Away-0.053
4+ days rest+0.156

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.122
v mid-tier opponents-0.102
As underdog+0.005

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.146
Conceded late (76+)-0.265

Ahead vs level +2.48 · Behind vs level +0.37

Rio Ave · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.22) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.336
Late push (76+, level)-0.022
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.643

Game state

When level-0.166
When behind-0.225
10 min after conceding-0.355
10 min after scoring-0.152

Situations

At home-0.303
Away-0.153
4+ days rest-0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.272
v mid-tier opponents-0.012
As underdog-0.195

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.326
Conceded late (76+)+0.544

Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.06

Casa Pia

Current: winless 7 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-323 68%1.041.091.611.021.49
3-4-2-14 12%0.250.252.00.691.55
5-4-13 9%0.330.672.330.72.23
3-5-22 6%0.00.52.00.851.51
4-2-3-11 3%1.00.00.00.451.34

Rio Ave

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-318 53%1.111.221.780.961.85
4-2-3-113 38%1.231.01.231.321.33
3-4-2-13 9%0.00.03.00.421.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 51%3.5Draw 27% P 27%4.2Away 23% P 22%

Double Chance

1.16Casa Pia or Draw 41%1.28Casa Pia or Rio Ave 37%2.1Draw or Rio Ave 22%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 52%1.95No 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.95Over 49% P 49%1.85Under 51% P 51%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%55%+3.6
Draw27%27%26%-1.4
Away22%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Hélder Miguel Azevedo Malheiro

Career
155 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
5.72 (5.4 yellow · 0.17 red)
Fouls / match
31.3 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.41
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 74 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match6.225.66+0.7476
Fouls / match29.927.8+1.09
Fouls per card4.84.9-0.31 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.610.37+1.7697
Time added8.37.7+0.8385
First card
32' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.31

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-02 80 363 12'10
2026-04-25 30 310 58'13
2026-03-20 · Casa Pia 50 341 4'5
2026-03-09 · Rio Ave 50 281 29'9
2026-01-31 100 272 31'10
2025-12-07 50 300 16'7
2025-11-08 · Rio Ave 20 310 81'7
2025-11-01 · Casa Pia 50 412 53'14
2025-10-04 41 282 15'8
2025-09-27 52 310 59'7