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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 34

Momentum

MoreirenseAVS
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
34

Venue

Stadium
Estádio Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreira de Cónegos
Capacity
6,150
Surface
grass
Attendance
1,679

Teams

Coaches
Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa · João Oliveira Nunes Henriques
Position
8 · 18
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
18.6° (feels 18.1°)
Wind
5.4
Humidity
59%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

Moreirense

DWLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 4.05–9.44 · xPts 3.92

  • L A Tondela 0–2 xG 0.32–1.91 PRT PL
  • W H Estrela Amadora 3–2 xG 2.03–2.42 PRT PL
  • L A Benfica 1–4 xG 0.43–2.46 PRT PL
  • W H Estoril 1–0 xG 1.04–0.38 PRT PL
  • D A Famalicão 1–1 xG 0.22–2.27 PRT PL

AVS

DDDWW 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 5.98–12.53 · xPts 3.55

  • W H Porto 3–1 xG 0.65–3.03 PRT PL
  • W A Nacional 2–1 xG 1.62–1.82 PRT PL
  • D H Sporting CP 1–1 xG 1.55–3.12 PRT PL
  • D A Rio Ave 2–2 xG 1.4–2.25 PRT PL
  • D H Vitória Guimarães 1–1 xG 0.75–2.31 PRT PL

All meetings · 4 matches since 2025

Moreirense 22 draws0 AVS

Goals 6–1 · 1.75 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Moreirense 22 draws0 AVS

Goals 6–1 · 1.75 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Moreirense 22 draws0 AVS

Goals 6–1 · 1.75 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Recent meetings

  • D Moreirense 0–0 AVS PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W AVS 0–2 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W AVS 0–3 Moreirense PRT PL · Regular Season
  • D Moreirense 1–1 AVS PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricMoreirense all · 34Moreirense at home · 17AVS all · 34AVS away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game1.261.590.620.53
W / D / L12 / 7 / 158 / 3 / 63 / 12 / 191 / 6 / 10
Goals for / match1.091.180.790.71
Goals against / match1.441.241.972.35
Clean sheets26%29%15%18%
Failed to score32%29%53%59%
Both teams scored47%47%44%41%
Over 2.550%53%59%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.910.940.910.91
xG against / match1.541.341.851.88
xG difference-0.63-0.41-0.94-0.97
Finishing vs xG0.180.24-0.11-0.20
xPts / match1.021.100.820.81
Points vs xPts0.250.49-0.20-0.28
Game state
Scored first44%47%15%6%
PPG when scoring first2.202.381.400.00
PPG when conceding first0.470.880.400.46
Came back from behind25%33%30%29%
Leads held71%80%33%25%
Minutes leading22%18%9%6%
Minutes level52%60%50%46%
Minutes trailing26%21%42%48%
First goal (min)35434854
First goal conceded (min)40423024
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%70%63%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%57%52%48%
Late goals for (76'+)0.180.240.210.24
Late goals against0.350.240.260.29
Style
Possession50%50%39%39%
Shots8.99.411.110.7
On target3.23.13.12.5
Shot conversion12%13%7%7%
Shots inside box59%58%54%53%
Big chances created1.71.41.41.4
Corners3.64.03.73.9
xG from set plays27%30%39%39%
Goals from headers24%30%11%17%
Pressure index10.610.25.34.9
Dominant minutes42.947.329.125.1
Pass accuracy83%83%73%72%
Fouls13.913.813.813.4
Cards2.712.592.501.94

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Moreirense

0–15'85
16–30'47
31–45'37
46–60'710
61–75'98
76–90'612

AVS

0–15'111
16–30'410
31–45'511
46–60'414
61–75'612
76–90'79

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Moreirense · 6 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.31) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.52

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.316
Early press (0-15, level)-0.526
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.282

Game state

When ahead-0.163
When level-0.416
When behind-0.334
10 min after conceding-0.435
10 min after scoring+0.184

Situations

At home-0.293
Away-0.333
4+ days rest-0.316

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.443
v bottom-tier opponents-0.242
Evenly matched-0.212
As underdog-0.384

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.796
Conceded when ahead+0.703
Conceded late (76+)+0.344

Ahead vs level +0.25 · Behind vs level +0.09

AVS

No pressure profile yet.

Moreirense

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-118 53%1.611.171.220.91.53
4-3-38 24%0.881.131.631.021.45
4-4-24 12%1.01.01.50.751.72
3-4-32 6%1.51.51.51.192.06
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.04.00.660.96

AVS

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-113 38%0.541.082.311.061.82
4-3-38 24%0.880.751.250.941.88
4-1-4-16 18%0.830.671.50.831.78
5-4-14 12%0.00.03.50.532.14
3-4-2-11 3%0.01.02.00.972.54

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 45%3.5Draw 27% P 28%3.25Away 29% P 27%

Double Chance

1.36Moreirense or Draw 35%1.28Moreirense or AVS 37%1.66Draw or AVS 28%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.75Yes 53%2.0No 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.95Over 49% P 50%1.85Under 51% P 50%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 854 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%46%44%-1.8
Draw28%28%30%+1.8
Away27%26%26%-0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

Sérgio José dos Santos Guelho

Career
25 matches · 3 seasons
Cards / match
4.8 (4.8 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
27.6 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.08
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 25 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.685.66-1.2215
Fouls / match27.627.8-0.15
Fouls per card5.94.9+1.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.040.37-2.260
Time added7.77.7+0.1342
First card
28' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
49% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-19 60 260 32'11
2026-04-04 90 340 21'11
2026-03-14 40 220 35'5
2026-02-27 50 260 56'5
2026-01-31 30 260 14'3
2026-01-11 · Moreirense 20 200 30'6
2025-11-03 50 300 51'7
2025-10-26 30 340 26'10
2025-09-23 60 330 10'11
2025-09-20 100 370 7'10