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Liga Portugal · Matchweek 29

Momentum

AVSVSC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
29

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves
Capacity
8,560
Surface
grass
Attendance
2,714

Teams

Coaches
João Oliveira Nunes Henriques · Gil Moreira Lameiras
Position
18 · 9
Formation
4-3-3 · 4-3-3

Referee

Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
17.2° (feels 16.2°)
Wind
5.2
Humidity
49%

Where to watch · 1

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Porto 342842 661848 88 WWWLW
2 Sporting CP 342572 892465 82 DDWWW
3 Benfica 3423110 742549 80 WWDDW
4 Sporting Braga 3416117 643628 59 WLDDD
5 Famalicão 3415118 422913 56 DWDDW
6 Gil Vicente 34131110 47389 50 LWDLL
7 Moreirense 3412715 3749-12 43 WLWLD
8 Arouca 3412616 4764-17 42 WLDWW
9 Vitória Guimarães 3412616 3951-12 42 WWLLL
10 Estoril 3410915 5457-3 39 LLDDL
11 Alverca 3410915 3552-17 39 LWLDL
12 Rio Ave 3481214 3557-22 36 DLDLD
13 Santa Clara 349916 3241-9 36 DWDWL
14 Nacional 349718 3745-8 34 WWLLW
15 Estrela Amadora 3461216 3856-18 30 LLLDD
16 Casa Pia 3461216 3157-26 30 LLLWD
17 Tondela 3461018 2755-28 28 LDWWL
18 AVS 3431219 2767-40 21 DDWWD
  • UEFA Champions League
  • UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • UEFA Europa League
  • UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
  • Relegation Play-off
  • Relegation

AVS

DDLDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 0 GA 4 · xG 2.81–5.85 · xPts 4.45

  • L A Gil Vicente 0–3 xG 0.45–2.2 PRT PL
  • D A Tondela 0–0 xG 0.89–0.97 PRT PL
  • L H Santa Clara 0–1 xG 0.23–1.02 PRT PL
  • D A Alverca 0–0 xG 0.43–0.85 PRT PL
  • D H Estrela Amadora 0–0 xG 0.81–0.82 PRT PL

Vitória Guimarães

DLLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 6.61–5.81 · xPts 7.02

  • W H Tondela 5–0 xG 2.57–0.05 PRT PL
  • L A Benfica 0–3 xG 0.76–1.6 PRT PL
  • L H Famalicão 1–2 xG 0.51–1.26 PRT PL
  • L A Santa Clara 0–2 xG 1.05–0.96 PRT PL
  • D H Alverca 1–1 xG 1.71–1.94 PRT PL

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

AVS 11 draws2 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 2–7 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 4 matches

AVS 11 draws2 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 2–7 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 4 matches

AVS 11 draws2 Vitória Guimarães

Goals 2–7 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 25% · over 2.5 25%

Recent meetings

  • D AVS 1–1 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 4–0 AVS PRT PL · Regular Season
  • L Vitória Guimarães 2–0 AVS PRT PL · Regular Season
  • W AVS 1–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
MetricAVS all · 34AVS at home · 17Vitória Guimarães all · 34Vitória Guimarães away · 17
Results
Matches34173417
Points per game0.620.711.240.82
W / D / L3 / 12 / 192 / 6 / 912 / 6 / 164 / 2 / 11
Goals for / match0.790.881.150.76
Goals against / match1.971.591.501.88
Clean sheets15%12%29%29%
Failed to score53%47%35%47%
Both teams scored44%47%41%29%
Over 2.559%47%44%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.910.911.271.20
xG against / match1.851.821.291.37
xG difference-0.94-0.91-0.02-0.16
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.02-0.12-0.44
xPts / match0.820.831.381.29
Points vs xPts-0.20-0.12-0.15-0.46
Game state
Scored first15%24%41%41%
PPG when scoring first1.401.752.141.86
PPG when conceding first0.400.330.560.00
Came back from behind30%31%20%0%
Leads held33%40%71%57%
Minutes leading9%11%16%13%
Minutes level50%53%55%50%
Minutes trailing42%36%29%38%
First goal (min)48444545
First goal conceded (min)30363730
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half63%60%56%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%59%55%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.180.180.18
Late goals against0.260.240.290.29
Style
Possession39%40%51%52%
Shots11.111.413.313.2
On target3.13.63.93.8
Shot conversion7%8%9%6%
Shots inside box54%54%56%53%
Big chances created1.41.51.61.6
Corners3.73.54.44.5
xG from set plays39%40%35%28%
Goals from headers11%7%16%17%
Pressure index5.35.712.911.7
Dominant minutes29.133.253.853.6
Pass accuracy73%74%82%82%
Fouls13.814.214.513.5
Cards2.503.062.412.06

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

AVS

0–15'111
16–30'410
31–45'511
46–60'414
61–75'612
76–90'79

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'27
16–30'87
31–45'79
46–60'68
61–75'1010
76–90'610

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

AVS

No pressure profile yet.

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.226
Early press (0-15, level)-0.226
Late push (76+, level)+0.163
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154

Game state

When level+0.176
When behind+0.434
10 min after conceding+0.224
10 min after scoring+0.373

Situations

At home+0.493
Away-0.073
4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.312
v bottom-tier opponents+0.464
As favourite+0.464
As underdog-0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.246
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27

AVS

Current: unbeaten 6 · winless 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-113 38%0.541.082.311.061.82
4-3-38 24%0.880.751.250.941.88
4-1-4-16 18%0.830.671.50.831.78
5-4-14 12%0.00.03.50.532.14
3-4-31 3%1.02.02.01.11.43

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-125 74%1.160.961.481.191.32
4-4-23 9%2.02.01.331.451.41
3-4-32 6%1.51.52.01.141.39
4-3-32 6%2.03.00.52.440.4
4-1-4-11 3%0.00.02.01.351.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -2.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.75Home 16% P 16%4.0Draw 24% P 24%1.57Away 60% P 60%

Double Chance

2.3AVS or Draw 21%1.25AVS or Guimaraes 38%1.14Draw or Guimaraes 42%

Draw No Bet

4.331 22%1.22 78%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48%1.8No 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 15–17.5% · away 60–62.5% · 275 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home16%16%15%-1.7
Draw24%23%20%-3.0
Away60%61%66%+4.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 61%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Iancu Ioan Vasilica

Career
60 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
4.48 (4.25 yellow · 0.13 red)
Fouls / match
29.6 · 6.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 39 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.085.66-1.980
Fouls / match27.627.9-0.14
Fouls per card6.94.9+2.30 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.37-1.0912
Time added8.27.7+0.7179
First card
37' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 48%)
VAR events / match
1.23

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-02-27 20 251 90'14
2026-02-22 21 11
2026-01-25 30 240 52'6
2026-01-04 10 330 90'5
2025-12-21 40 290 2'12
2025-12-13 · AVS 30 200 12'5
2025-11-29 60 180 55'13
2025-05-04 81 280 17'11
2025-04-19 31 201 25'6