Vitória Guimarães v Tondela

Liga Portugal · Matchweek 28

Vitória GuimarãesVSC

5–0

TondelaTondela

Momentum

– VSCTondela –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

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Season context

Vitória Guimarães	at home	Stat	league	away	Tondela
51.4 #7	–	Ball possession	50.0	–	43.6 #16
13.3 #5	–	Shots total	12.1	–	10.6 #14
3.9 #9	–	Shots on target	4.1	–	3.4 #14
4.4 #8	–	Corners	4.7	–	4.0 #14
14.5 #5	–	Fouls	13.7	–	14.4 #6
1.8 #3	–	Offsides	1.5	–	2.0 #2
15.4 #11	–	Tackles	15.6	–	17.5 #1
96.3 #6	–	Attacks	90.3	–	81.2 #12
44.2 #7	–	Dangerous attacks	42.1	–	36.1 #12
394.0 #9	–	Passes	405.0	–	338.4 #15
2.4 #13	–	Yellowcards	2.6	–	2.7 #6
0.1 #5	–	Redcards	0.1	–	0.1 #10
0.7 #12	–	Assists	0.9	–	0.4 #18
– #14	–	Btts	48.0	–	– #17
– #7	–	Cleansheet	29.2	–	– #12
– #16	–	Draw	27.1	–	– #9
1.3 #8	–	Expected goals	1.3	–	1.3 #7
-0.1 #13	–	Expected goals difference	0.0	–	-0.5 #18
– #7	–	Failed to score	29.2	–	– #1
1.1 #9	1.5	Goals	1.3	0.8	0.8 #17
1.5 #9	1.1	Goals conceded	1.3	2.0	1.6 #7
0.2 #13	–	Injury time goals	0.2	–	0.2 #10
8.8 #8	–	Interceptions	8.6	–	9.2 #5
– #4	–	Lost	36.4	–	– #2
0.1 #10	–	Penalties scored	0.2	–	0.2 #5
6.8 #10	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.7 #15
3.6 #6	–	Shots blocked	3.2	–	2.6 #14
7.4 #8	–	Shots insidebox	7.4	–	6.4 #12
5.8 #3	–	Shots off target	4.8	–	4.6 #12
5.9 #1	–	Shots outsidebox	4.6	–	4.2 #11
– #7	–	Win	36.4	–	– #15

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 18.

League this season · 2025/2026

Played: 306 of 306
Goals / match: 2.68 (home 1.5 · away 1.19)
Home / draw / away: 41% · 27% · 32%
BTTS · over 2.5: 48% · 54%
Cards / match: 5.01 (reds 0.13)

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 28

Venue

Stadium: Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Capacity: 30,029
Surface: grass
Attendance: 13,936

Teams

Coaches: Gil Moreira Lameiras · Goncalo Feio
Position: 9 · 17
Formation: 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Weather

Conditions: scattered clouds
Temperature: 19.1° (feels 18.6°)
Wind: 1.1
Humidity: 55%

Where to watch · 1

International Bet365

2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	34	28	4	2	66	18	48	88	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	34	25	7	2	89	24	65	82	DDWWW
3	Benfica	34	23	11	0	74	25	49	80	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	34	16	11	7	64	36	28	59	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	34	15	11	8	42	29	13	56	DWDDW
6	Gil Vicente	34	13	11	10	47	38	9	50	LWDLL
7	Moreirense	34	12	7	15	37	49	-12	43	WLWLD
8	Arouca	34	12	6	16	47	64	-17	42	WLDWW
9	Vitória Guimarães	34	12	6	16	39	51	-12	42	WWLLL
10	Estoril	34	10	9	15	54	57	-3	39	LLDDL
11	Alverca	34	10	9	15	35	52	-17	39	LWLDL
12	Rio Ave	34	8	12	14	35	57	-22	36	DLDLD
13	Santa Clara	34	9	9	16	32	41	-9	36	DWDWL
14	Nacional	34	9	7	18	37	45	-8	34	WWLLW
15	Estrela Amadora	34	6	12	16	38	56	-18	30	LLLDD
16	Casa Pia	34	6	12	16	31	57	-26	30	LLLWD
17	Tondela	34	6	10	18	27	55	-28	28	LDWWL
18	AVS	34	3	12	19	27	67	-40	21	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	3	0	33	6	27	45	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	13	2	2	51	11	40	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	11	6	0	41	13	28	39	WWDDW
4	Famalicão	17	9	4	4	27	12	15	31	DWDDW
5	Sporting Braga	17	8	6	3	34	18	16	30	WLDDD
6	Gil Vicente	17	9	3	5	28	17	11	30	LWDLL
7	Vitória Guimarães	17	8	4	5	26	19	7	28	WWLLL
8	Moreirense	17	8	3	6	20	21	-1	27	WLWLD
9	Alverca	17	7	5	5	18	23	-5	26	LWLDL
10	Arouca	17	7	4	6	27	30	-3	25	WLDWW
11	Estoril	17	6	5	6	29	26	3	23	LLDDL
12	Santa Clara	17	7	2	8	17	17	0	23	DWDWL
13	Nacional	17	6	2	9	23	23	0	20	WWLLW
14	Estrela Amadora	17	4	6	7	21	24	-3	18	LLLDD
15	Casa Pia	17	2	9	6	18	26	-8	15	LLLWD
16	Rio Ave	17	3	6	8	17	29	-12	15	DLDLD
17	Tondela	17	2	7	8	13	21	-8	13	LDWWL
18	AVS	17	2	6	9	15	27	-12	12	DDWWD

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Porto	17	14	1	2	33	12	21	43	WWWLW
2	Sporting CP	17	12	5	0	38	13	25	41	DDWWW
3	Benfica	17	12	5	0	33	12	21	41	WWDDW
4	Sporting Braga	17	8	5	4	30	18	12	29	WLDDD
5	Famalicão	17	6	7	4	15	17	-2	25	DWDDW
6	Rio Ave	17	5	6	6	18	28	-10	21	DLDLD
7	Gil Vicente	17	4	8	5	19	21	-2	20	LWDLL
8	Arouca	17	5	2	10	20	34	-14	17	WLDWW
9	Estoril	17	4	4	9	25	31	-6	16	LLDDL
10	Moreirense	17	4	4	9	17	28	-11	16	WLWLD
11	Casa Pia	17	4	3	10	13	31	-18	15	LLLWD
12	Tondela	17	4	3	10	14	34	-20	15	LDWWL
13	Nacional	17	3	5	9	14	22	-8	14	WWLLW
14	Vitória Guimarães	17	4	2	11	13	32	-19	14	WWLLL
15	Santa Clara	17	2	7	8	15	24	-9	13	DWDWL
16	Alverca	17	3	4	10	17	29	-12	13	LWLDL
17	Estrela Amadora	17	2	6	9	17	32	-15	12	LLLDD
18	AVS	17	1	6	10	12	40	-28	9	DDWWD

UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
UEFA Europa League
UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
Relegation Play-off
Relegation

Vitória Guimarães

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 5.01–8.01 · xPts 4.84

L A Benfica 0–3 xG 0.76–1.6 PRT PL
L H Famalicão 1–2 xG 0.51–1.26 PRT PL
L A Santa Clara 0–2 xG 1.05–0.96 PRT PL
D H Alverca 1–1 xG 1.71–1.94 PRT PL
L A Sporting Braga 2–3 xG 0.98–2.25 PRT PL

Tondela

DWDLD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 5.82–5.79 · xPts 6.84

D H AVS 0–0 xG 0.97–0.89 PRT PL
L H Rio Ave 0–1 xG 0.62–1.28 PRT PL
D H Santa Clara 2–2 xG 1.14–1.86 PRT PL
W A Estrela Amadora 2–0 xG 1.42–0.91 PRT PL
D H Alverca 1–1 xG 1.67–0.85 PRT PL

All meetings · 16 matches since 2015

Vitória Guimarães 102 draws4 Tondela

Goals 30–13 · 2.69 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Vitória Guimarães 71 draws2 Tondela

Goals 21–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Vitória Guimarães 31 draws1 Tondela

Goals 13–5 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

W Vitória Guimarães 5–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
W Tondela 0–1 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
D Tondela 1–1 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
W Vitória Guimarães 5–2 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
L Vitória Guimarães 1–2 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
W Tondela 0–2 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
W Vitória Guimarães 2–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season
W Tondela 1–3 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
L Tondela 1–0 Vitória Guimarães PRT PL · Regular Season
W Vitória Guimarães 1–0 Tondela PRT PL · Regular Season

Metric	Vitória Guimarães all · 34	Vitória Guimarães at home · 17	Tondela all · 34	Tondela away · 17
Results
Matches	34	17	34	17
Points per game	1.24	1.65	0.82	0.88
W / D / L	12 / 6 / 16	8 / 4 / 5	6 / 10 / 18	4 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match	1.15	1.53	0.79	0.82
Goals against / match	1.50	1.12	1.62	2.00
Clean sheets	29%	29%	21%	18%
Failed to score	35%	24%	53%	47%
Both teams scored	41%	53%	35%	35%
Over 2.5	44%	53%	50%	65%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.27	1.33	1.27	1.18
xG against / match	1.29	1.21	1.56	1.60
xG difference	-0.02	0.13	-0.30	-0.41
Finishing vs xG	-0.12	0.20	-0.47	-0.36
xPts / match	1.38	1.48	1.23	1.15
Points vs xPts	-0.15	0.17	-0.40	-0.27
Game state
Scored first	41%	41%	32%	41%
PPG when scoring first	2.14	2.43	1.73	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.56	1.11	0.30	0.10
Came back from behind	20%	44%	25%	17%
Leads held	71%	80%	46%	57%
Minutes leading	16%	20%	14%	17%
Minutes level	55%	60%	56%	48%
Minutes trailing	29%	20%	29%	36%
First goal (min)	45	45	41	44
First goal conceded (min)	37	44	42	40
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	56%	65%	63%	64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	55%	58%	60%	59%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.18	0.18	0.15	0.12
Late goals against	0.29	0.29	0.44	0.53
Style
Possession	51%	50%	44%	42%
Shots	13.3	13.5	10.6	9.1
On target	3.9	4.1	3.4	3.3
Shot conversion	9%	11%	8%	9%
Shots inside box	56%	58%	60%	56%
Big chances created	1.6	1.6	2.0	1.9
Corners	4.4	4.4	4.0	4.0
xG from set plays	35%	43%	46%	58%
Goals from headers	16%	15%	12%	8%
Pressure index	12.9	14.0	8.3	7.7
Dominant minutes	53.8	53.9	38.1	35.2
Pass accuracy	82%	82%	78%	80%
Fouls	14.5	15.5	14.4	15.0
Cards	2.41	2.76	2.71	3.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'27

16–30'87

31–45'79

46–60'68

61–75'1010

76–90'610

Tondela

0–15'64

16–30'29

31–45'29

46–60'66

61–75'612

76–90'515

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.22) · stands out: at home +0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.226

Early press (0-15, level)-0.226

Late push (76+, level)+0.163

Late chase (76+, behind)+0.154

Game state

When level+0.176

When behind+0.434

10 min after conceding+0.224

10 min after scoring+0.373

Situations

At home+0.493

Away-0.073

4+ days rest+0.226

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.312

v bottom-tier opponents+0.464

As favourite+0.464

As underdog-0.312

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.246

Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.27

Tondela

No pressure profile yet.

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	25 74%	1.16	0.96	1.48	1.19	1.32
4-4-2	3 9%	2.0	2.0	1.33	1.45	1.41
4-3-3	2 6%	2.0	3.0	0.5	2.44	0.4
3-4-3	2 6%	1.5	1.5	2.0	1.14	1.39
4-1-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	2.0	1.35	1.13

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	21 62%	0.86	0.76	1.71	1.43	1.57
5-4-1	4 12%	1.25	1.0	1.0	0.91	1.77
3-4-3	3 9%	0.0	0.33	2.33	0.86	1.51
4-3-3	3 9%	0.67	1.33	1.67	1.26	1.7
4-4-2	2 6%	1.5	1.0	1.0	1.28	1.13

Metric	Vitória Guimarães all · 10	Vitória Guimarães at home · 10	Tondela all · 10	Tondela away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.70	1.70	0.90	0.80
W / D / L	2 / 1 / 7	5 / 2 / 3	2 / 3 / 5	2 / 2 / 6
Goals for / match	0.70	1.30	0.80	0.90
Goals against / match	1.50	0.60	1.70	2.10
Clean sheets	30%	50%	30%	20%
Failed to score	50%	30%	50%	40%
Both teams scored	30%	30%	30%	40%
Over 2.5	30%	30%	40%	60%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.62	1.86	1.12	1.11
xG against / match	1.00	0.69	1.71	1.70
xG difference	0.63	1.17	-0.59	-0.60
Finishing vs xG	-0.92	-0.56	-0.32	-0.21
xPts / match	1.74	2.09	1.13	1.06
Points vs xPts	-1.04	-0.40	-0.23	-0.26
Game state
Scored first	20%	50%	30%	40%
PPG when scoring first	3.00	2.60	2.33	1.75
PPG when conceding first	0.00	0.75	0.17	0.17
Came back from behind	0%	25%	29%	14%
Leads held	100%	83%	67%	50%
Minutes leading	12%	28%	12%	16%
Minutes level	61%	56%	55%	51%
Minutes trailing	28%	16%	33%	33%
First goal (min)	59	40	51	48
First goal conceded (min)	51	46	36	40
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	86%	69%	75%	67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	60%	67%	65%	71%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.20	0.10	0.30	0.20
Late goals against	0.40	0.10	0.40	0.60
Style
Possession	55%	55%	48%	42%
Shots	17.0	17.5	10.3	8.5
On target	4.2	4.6	3.1	3.0
Shot conversion	4%	7%	8%	11%
Shots inside box	57%	61%	57%	54%
Big chances created	2.0	2.3	1.6	1.6
Corners	5.9	5.5	4.1	4.0
xG from set plays	31%	35%	34%	46%
Goals from headers	14%	0%	14%	12%
Pressure index	15.4	17.9	9.7	9.8
Dominant minutes	63.4	67.3	42.2	36.8
Pass accuracy	81%	83%	81%	80%
Fouls	13.6	14.3	13.8	14.2
Cards	2.50	2.00	2.20	2.70

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'12

16–30'02

31–45'02

46–60'02

61–75'43

76–90'24

Tondela

0–15'11

16–30'14

31–45'01

46–60'13

61–75'24

76–90'34

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	9 90%	0.78	0.78	1.44	1.66	0.98
4-1-4-1	1 10%	0.0	0.0	2.0	1.35	1.13

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 40%	1.5	0.75	1.75	1.34	1.24
4-3-3	2 20%	1.0	2.0	2.0	1.63	2.28
5-4-1	2 20%	0.5	0.0	1.0	0.54	2.15
3-4-2-1	1 10%	0.0	0.0	1.0	0.62	1.28
3-4-3	1 10%	0.0	1.0	3.0	0.85	2.06

Metric	Vitória Guimarães all · 35	Vitória Guimarães at home · 18	Tondela all · 29	Tondela away · 14
Results
Matches	35	18	29	14
Points per game	1.11	1.56	0.93	1.07
W / D / L	11 / 6 / 18	8 / 4 / 6	6 / 9 / 14	4 / 3 / 7
Goals for / match	1.06	1.28	0.86	1.00
Goals against / match	1.43	0.94	1.55	1.93
Clean sheets	31%	39%	24%	21%
Failed to score	37%	33%	48%	36%
Both teams scored	40%	39%	38%	43%
Over 2.5	43%	44%	48%	64%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.41	1.54	1.24	1.19
xG against / match	1.24	1.12	1.55	1.57
xG difference	0.17	0.42	-0.31	-0.37
Finishing vs xG	-0.35	-0.27	-0.38	-0.19
xPts / match	1.48	1.65	1.23	1.19
Points vs xPts	-0.37	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11
Game state
Scored first	37%	39%	38%	50%
PPG when scoring first	2.23	2.71	1.73	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.37	0.78	0.33	0.14
Came back from behind	14%	33%	26%	22%
Leads held	73%	89%	50%	57%
Minutes leading	16%	22%	17%	20%
Minutes level	56%	58%	57%	50%
Minutes trailing	28%	20%	26%	30%
First goal (min)	46	43	39	44
First goal conceded (min)	40	48	42	42
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	60%	65%	60%	64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	56%	65%	64%	67%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.14	0.17	0.14	0.14
Late goals against	0.31	0.28	0.41	0.50
Style
Possession	52%	51%	44%	43%
Shots	14.5	15.4	10.4	8.9
On target	4.1	4.3	3.3	3.1
Shot conversion	7%	8%	8%	11%
Shots inside box	57%	60%	60%	54%
Big chances created	1.8	1.9	1.8	1.9
Corners	4.8	5.3	4.1	4.1
xG from set plays	32%	37%	45%	55%
Goals from headers	11%	9%	14%	8%
Pressure index	14.1	15.6	9.2	8.8
Dominant minutes	55.4	56.3	39.7	38.2
Pass accuracy	82%	82%	78%	79%
Fouls	14.7	15.1	14.8	15.6
Cards	2.37	2.50	2.90	3.14

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Vitória Guimarães

0–15'37

16–30'87

31–45'48

46–60'58

61–75'129

76–90'511

Tondela

0–15'64

16–30'28

31–45'24

46–60'66

61–75'511

76–90'412

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Vitória Guimarães · 35 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.13) · stands out: against ten men +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.1335

Early press (0-15, level)+0.1435

Late push (76+, level)-0.1112

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0916

Game state

When ahead+0.2315

When level+0.1135

When behind+0.1321

10 min after conceding-0.1624

10 min after scoring+0.3021

Situations

With ten men-0.493

Against ten men+0.563

At home+0.1618

Away+0.1017

4+ days rest+0.1335

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.129

v mid-tier opponents+0.046

v bottom-tier opponents+0.3213

As favourite+0.3213

Evenly matched+0.1310

As underdog-0.0712

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.0735

Conceded when ahead-0.1715

Conceded late (76+)-0.2831

Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level +0.01

Tondela · 29 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.17) · stands out: v top-tier opponents -0.41

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.1729

Early press (0-15, level)-0.2229

Late push (76+, level)-0.2613

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1015

Game state

When ahead-0.2812

When level-0.2029

When behind-0.0319

10 min after conceding-0.1222

10 min after scoring+0.1715

Situations

Against ten men+0.077

At home-0.1915

Away-0.1514

4+ days rest-0.1729

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.416

v mid-tier opponents-0.207

v bottom-tier opponents+0.0011

As favourite-0.184

Evenly matched-0.0613

As underdog-0.3012

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.3929

Conceded when ahead+0.3612

Conceded late (76+)+0.0527

Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level +0.17

Vitória Guimarães

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	29 83%	1.0	0.86	1.48	1.33	1.28
4-4-2	3 9%	2.0	2.0	1.33	1.45	1.41
4-3-3	2 6%	2.0	3.0	0.5	2.44	0.4
4-1-4-1	1 3%	0.0	0.0	2.0	1.35	1.13

Tondela

Current: winless 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 1

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	16 55%	1.06	0.88	1.63	1.43	1.55
5-4-1	4 14%	1.25	1.0	1.0	0.91	1.77
4-3-3	3 10%	0.67	1.33	1.67	1.26	1.7
3-4-3	3 10%	0.0	0.33	2.33	0.86	1.51
4-4-2	2 7%	1.5	1.0	1.0	1.28	1.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 49% P 50%3.5Draw 27% P 28%3.9Away 24% P 22%

Double Chance

1.22Guimaraes or Draw 39%1.3Guimaraes or Tondela 36%1.9Draw or Tondela 25%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47%1.75No 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.15Over 44% P 45%1.66Under 56% P 55%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	50%	51%	55%	+3.6
Draw	28%	27%	26%	-1.4
Away	22%	21%	19%	-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	45%	46%	45%	-1.2

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Career: 43 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match: 4.6 (4.3 yellow · 0.21 red)
Fouls / match: 27.9 · 6.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.4
Cards to home side: 50%

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	4.4	5.66	-1.57	6
Fouls / match	27.9	27.8	+0.05
Fouls per card	6.5	4.9	+1.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.38	0.37	+0.15	48
Time added	6.3	7.7	-1.51	6

First card: 37' on average
Card timing: 14% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 50% (league 48%)
VAR events / match: 1.2

Recent matches

Date	Y	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-03-15	2	27	0	58'	5
2026-02-14 · Vitória Guimarães	5	30	0	24'	11
2026-02-02	1	9	0	23'	4
2026-01-25 · Tondela	1	29	0	51'	3
2025-12-28	2	19	0	36'	4
2025-12-14	4	29	0	18'	3
2025-10-26	4	32	1	42'	3
2025-09-21	4	29	1	55'	4
2025-08-31	4	24	0	34'	9
2025-05-10	4	32	0	38'	6

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2025/2026

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Vitória Guimarães · 2025/2026 · Liga Portugal

Tondela

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 1

Vitória Guimarães

Tondela

All meetings · 16 matches since 2015

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Vitória Guimarães

Tondela

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Vitória Guimarães · 6 matches

Tondela

Vitória Guimarães

Tondela

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Vitória Guimarães

Tondela

Vitória Guimarães

Tondela

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Vitória Guimarães

Tondela

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Vitória Guimarães · 35 matches

Tondela · 29 matches

Vitória Guimarães

Tondela

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

Carlos André Fernandes Macedo

Style in Liga Portugal (5-year window · 42 matches)

Recent matches