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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 4

Momentum

AjaxGalatasaray
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam
Capacity
55,885
Surface
grass
Attendance
51,000

Teams

Coaches
John Heitinga · Okan Buruk
Position
36 · 16
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Benoît Bastien

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
14.0° (feels 13.3°)
Wind
5.3
Humidity
72%

Where to watch · 358

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Ajax

DLLWD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 13 · xG 5.88–12.74 · xPts 3.59

  • D H SC Heerenveen 1–1 xG 1.05–1.19 NLD E
  • W A FC Twente 3–2 xG 1.16–2.76 NLD E
  • L A Chelsea 1–5 xG 1.05–3.94 UEFA CL
  • L H AZ Alkmaar 0–2 xG 1.23–2.55 NLD E
  • D A Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 xG 1.39–2.31 NLD E

Galatasaray

LWW 2W 0D 1L · 6 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 5.9–4.42 · xPts 4.76

  • W H Bodø / Glimt 3–1 xG 3.47–1.44 UEFA CL
  • W H Liverpool 1–0 xG 1.42–1.71 UEFA CL
  • L A Eintracht Frankfurt 1–5 xG 1.01–1.27 UEFA CL

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Ajax 10 draws1 Galatasaray

Goals 2–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Ajax 10 draws1 Galatasaray

Goals 2–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Ajax 10 draws1 Galatasaray

Goals 2–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Ajax 0–3 Galatasaray UEFA CL · League Stage
  • W Ajax 2–1 Galatasaray UEFA EL · League Stage
MetricAjax all · 8Ajax at home · 4Galatasaray all · 12Galatasaray away · 6
Results
Matches8126
Points per game0.751.330.50
W / D / L2 / 0 / 65 / 1 / 61 / 0 / 5
Goals for / match1.001.421.00
Goals against / match2.631.672.50
Clean sheets0%25%17%
Failed to score50%33%50%
Both teams scored50%42%33%
Over 2.575%50%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.571.26
xG against / match1.772.172.94
xG difference-0.59-0.60-1.68
Finishing vs xG-0.18-0.15-0.26
xPts / match1.111.180.78
Points vs xPts-0.360.16-0.28
Game state
Scored first0%50%33%
PPG when scoring first2.501.50
PPG when conceding first0.750.170.00
Came back from behind25%25%0%
Leads held100%83%50%
Minutes leading1%30%10%
Minutes level40%37%38%
Minutes trailing58%32%52%
First goal (min)502957
First goal conceded (min)303735
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half75%53%75%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%50%53%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.330.50
Late goals against0.380.080.17
Style
Possession54%50%52%
Shots10.413.010.8
On target3.45.14.7
Shot conversion10%11%9%
Shots inside box58%66%63%
Big chances created1.92.91.8
Corners4.94.03.0
xG from set plays29%36%31%
Goals from headers0%12%17%
Pressure index7.59.18.1
Dominant minutes38.340.344.2
Pass accuracy87%82%84%
Fouls11.911.312.3
Cards1.752.081.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ajax

0–15'04
16–30'03
31–45'23
46–60'07
61–75'21
76–90'43

Galatasaray

0–15'42
16–30'23
31–45'15
46–60'43
61–75'26
76–90'21

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ajax · 12 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.65) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) +0.90

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.6512
Early press (0-15, level)+0.9012
Late push (76+, level)+0.053

Game state

When ahead+0.6811
When level+0.8012
When behind-0.184
10 min after conceding-0.219
10 min after scoring+0.8112

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.626
3 days rest or fewer+0.544
4+ days rest+0.708

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.735
As favourite+0.7311

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.1912
Conceded when ahead-0.2911
Conceded late (76+)-0.399

Congested vs rested -0.17 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.98

Galatasaray

No pressure profile yet.

Ajax

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 14 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 50%1.51.52.251.21.42
4-2-3-13 38%0.00.673.331.292.53
4-1-4-11 12%0.00.02.00.760.92

Galatasaray

Current: winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 83%1.31.41.81.42.27
4-3-31 8%0.00.01.01.411.97
4-4-21 8%3.03.01.03.471.44

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.4Home 28% P 28%3.8Draw 25% P 26%2.05Away 47% P 46%

Double Chance

1.7Ajax or Draw 28% P 27%1.25Ajax or Galatasaray 38% P 37%1.36Draw or Galatasaray 35% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.251 41%1.572 59%

Both Teams To Score

1.5Yes 62% P 63%2.5No 38% P 37%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 60%2.3Under 41% P 40%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 45–47.5% · 218 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home28%28%34%+6.0
Draw26%26%22%-3.6
Away46%46%44%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 62.5–65% · 687 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes63%64%64%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%59%60%+0.8

Benoît Bastien

Career
347 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
4.35 (4.09 yellow · 0.18 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 18 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.894.4+0.9684
Fouls / match22.822.7+0.22
Fouls per card5.25.2-0.35 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.610.32+2.19100
Time added6.06.5-0.4732
First card
38' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.33

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-01 72 260 26'9
2025-10-26 10 201 75'13
2025-10-05 20 230 45'6
2025-09-27 50 301 58'11
2025-09-20 40 280 18'10
2025-08-31 31 251 8'12
2025-08-28 50 210 9'9
2025-08-17 20 120 45'9
2025-08-12 110 520 49'7
2025-05-10 60 340 9'9