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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 8

Momentum

ArsenalKairat
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Emirates Stadium, London
Capacity
60,704
Surface
grass
Attendance
50,200

Teams

Coaches
Mikel Arteta · Rafael Urazbakhtin
Position
1 · 36
Formation
4-3-3 · 3-4-3

Referee

Urs Schnyder

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
4.0° (feels 2.8°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
92%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Arsenal

DWDWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 10.26–4.35 · xPts 10.41

  • L H Manchester United 2–3 xG 1.9–0.71 UK PL
  • W A Inter 3–1 xG 2.04–1.72 UEFA CL
  • D A Nottingham Forest 0–0 xG 2.8–0.5 UK PL
  • W A Portsmouth 4–1 xG 2.8–1.04 UK FA Cup
  • D H Liverpool 0–0 xG 0.72–0.38 UK PL

Kairat

DLLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 3.84–11.02 · xPts 3.05

  • L H Club Brugge 1–4 xG 0.28–2.39 UEFA CL
  • L H Olympiacos F.C. 0–1 xG 0.25–1.89 UEFA CL
  • L A FC København 2–3 xG 1.25–2.92 UEFA CL
  • L A Inter 1–2 xG 0.2–2.64 UEFA CL
  • D H Pafos FC 0–0 xG 1.85–1.18 UEFA CL

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Arsenal 10 draws0 Kairat

Goals 3–2 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Arsenal 10 draws0 Kairat

Goals 3–2 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Arsenal 10 draws0 Kairat

Goals 3–2 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Arsenal 3–2 Kairat UEFA CL · League Stage
MetricArsenal all · 15Arsenal at home · 7Kairat all · 16Kairat away · 8
Results
Matches157168
Points per game2.472.710.810.25
W / D / L11 / 4 / 06 / 1 / 03 / 4 / 90 / 2 / 6
Goals for / match2.002.140.880.88
Goals against / match0.470.431.632.00
Clean sheets60%71%38%12%
Failed to score7%14%44%38%
Both teams scored40%29%38%62%
Over 2.540%43%44%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.972.360.800.89
xG against / match1.070.802.222.50
xG difference0.911.57-1.41-1.61
Finishing vs xG0.03-0.22-0.170.11
xPts / match1.922.280.670.62
Points vs xPts0.540.43-0.40-0.45
Game state
Scored first87%86%25%12%
PPG when scoring first2.693.002.501.00
PPG when conceding first1.000.000.00
Came back from behind100%0%0%
Leads held85%100%75%0%
Minutes leading44%51%12%1%
Minutes level53%49%56%52%
Minutes trailing3%0%33%47%
First goal (min)39295458
First goal conceded (min)37203937
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%53%57%86%
Goals conceded in 2nd half57%33%62%56%
Late goals for (76'+)0.400.290.380.50
Late goals against0.070.140.190.00
Style
Possession51%52%44%39%
Shots14.417.410.98.8
On target5.86.73.43.1
Shot conversion14%12%8%10%
Shots inside box72%72%48%51%
Big chances created3.75.01.01.7
Corners5.26.63.93.0
xG from set plays30%25%23%26%
Goals from headers17%14%29%33%
Pressure index22.027.311.111.5
Dominant minutes63.266.629.217.9
Pass accuracy84%85%74%72%
Fouls12.011.312.513.5
Cards1.731.142.562.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Arsenal

0–15'51
16–30'21
31–45'61
46–60'42
61–75'71
76–90'61

Kairat

0–15'32
16–30'13
31–45'25
46–60'23
61–75'010
76–90'63

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Arsenal · 5 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.56) · stands out: v top-tier opponents +0.68

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.565
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435

Game state

When ahead+0.275
When level+0.625
10 min after scoring+0.555

Situations

At home+0.622
Away+0.543
3 days rest or fewer+0.632
4+ days rest+0.513

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.683
v mid-tier opponents+0.342
As favourite+0.565

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.355
Conceded when ahead-0.355
Conceded late (76+)-0.354

Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +1.76

Kairat · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: at home +0.30

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.052

Game state

When ahead-0.053
When level+0.187
When behind+0.214
10 min after conceding+0.075
10 min after scoring-0.113

Situations

Against ten men+0.093
At home+0.304
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.157

Opposition

As favourite+0.142
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog+0.143

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.167
Conceded when ahead-0.333
Conceded late (76+)-0.405

Ahead vs level -0.23 · Behind vs level +0.04

Arsenal

Current: unbeaten 13 · wins 5 · scoring 14 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-39 60%2.782.440.442.271.16
4-2-3-16 40%2.01.330.51.520.93

Kairat

Current: winless 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-18 50%0.380.631.750.752.01
4-3-34 25%1.00.751.01.081.32
4-3-2-12 12%3.02.00.0
4-4-21 6%0.00.05.00.423.03
3-4-31 6%0.02.03.01.323.97

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.3h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.03Home 92% P 93%17.0Draw 6% P 5%41.0Away 2% P 2%

Double Chance

1.02Arsenal or Kairat Almaty15.0Draw or Kairat Almaty

Draw No Bet

29.02

Both Teams To Score

2.62Yes 35% P 32%1.44No 65% P 68%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.22Over 78%4.33Under 22%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.759 - 11 32%4.512 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

2.52.1Over 44% P 40%1.66Under 56% P 60%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 90–95% · away 0–5% · 123 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home93%92%97%+5.1
Draw5%6%3%-2.6
Away2%3%0%-2.5

In those fixtures: 4.3 goals a game · BTTS 38% · over 2.5 82%

Both teams to score · yes 30–40% · 559 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes32%37%40%+2.3

Urs Schnyder

Career
34 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
5.15 (4.91 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
20.4 · 4.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.35
Cards to home side
50%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 7 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.86 cards, 20.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-18 20 200 60'7
2025-10-21 51 172 23'6
2025-10-01 50 232 35'8
2025-08-28 40 260 26'6
2025-08-14 71 340 23'12
2025-07-31 30 300 2'8