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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 6

Momentum

AtalantaChelsea
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
Capacity
23,439
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,685

Teams

Coaches
Raffaele Palladino · Enzo Maresca
Position
10 · 7
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Alejandro José Hernández Hernández

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
8.3° (feels 6.4°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
73%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Atalanta

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 9.3–8.1 · xPts 7.51

  • L A Hellas Verona 1–3 xG 1.78–1.37 ITA SA
  • W H Fiorentina 2–0 xG 2.28–1.81 ITA SA
  • W A Eintracht Frankfurt 3–0 xG 2.91–1.02 UEFA CL
  • L A Napoli 1–3 xG 0.97–1.84 ITA SA
  • L H Sassuolo 0–3 xG 1.36–2.06 ITA SA

Chelsea

WWDLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 7.25–6.1 · xPts 7.82

  • D A AFC Bournemouth 0–0 xG 1.12–1.34 UK PL
  • L A Leeds United 1–3 xG 1.17–2.43 UK PL
  • D H Arsenal 1–1 xG 1.29–1.28 UK PL
  • W H FC Barcelona 3–0 xG 2.17–0.57 UEFA CL
  • W A Burnley 2–0 xG 1.5–0.48 UK PL

All meetings · 1 match since 2025

Atalanta 10 draws0 Chelsea

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Atalanta 10 draws0 Chelsea

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Atalanta 10 draws0 Chelsea

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Atalanta 2–1 Chelsea UEFA CL · League Stage
MetricAtalanta all · 12Atalanta at home · 6Chelsea all · 10Chelsea away · 5
Results
Matches126105
Points per game1.331.671.600.80
W / D / L5 / 1 / 63 / 1 / 25 / 1 / 41 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match1.331.831.901.80
Goals against / match1.922.001.802.80
Clean sheets25%17%30%0%
Failed to score33%17%10%0%
Both teams scored50%83%60%100%
Over 2.567%83%80%100%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.962.401.731.32
xG against / match1.671.511.211.59
xG difference0.290.890.53-0.27
Finishing vs xG-0.63-0.570.170.48
xPts / match1.601.931.661.22
Points vs xPts-0.27-0.26-0.06-0.42
Game state
Scored first33%33%70%60%
PPG when scoring first2.251.502.291.33
PPG when conceding first0.862.000.000.00
Came back from behind25%50%33%40%
Leads held83%75%71%33%
Minutes leading16%25%32%14%
Minutes level45%44%41%50%
Minutes trailing39%30%27%35%
First goal (min)59482923
First goal conceded (min)34422729
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half81%73%42%44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%58%39%43%
Late goals for (76'+)0.580.830.200.20
Late goals against0.080.000.300.60
Style
Possession48%50%55%50%
Shots13.816.013.911.0
On target4.44.75.64.2
Shot conversion10%12%14%16%
Shots inside box69%70%63%64%
Big chances created3.13.82.52.2
Corners4.04.56.13.8
xG from set plays29%34%33%29%
Goals from headers31%36%5%0%
Pressure index15.718.322.111.1
Dominant minutes49.956.861.343.2
Pass accuracy83%81%88%87%
Fouls10.19.712.212.4
Cards1.581.501.701.20

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Atalanta

0–15'13
16–30'14
31–45'13
46–60'35
61–75'37
76–90'71

Chelsea

0–15'03
16–30'93
31–45'25
46–60'41
61–75'23
76–90'23

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Chelsea · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.214

Game state

When ahead+0.074
When level-0.074
When behind+0.172
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.324

Situations

At home-0.002
Away+0.122
4+ days rest+0.064

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.003
As favourite+0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.234
Conceded when ahead+0.354
Conceded late (76+)-0.274

Ahead vs level +0.14 · Behind vs level +0.24

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-17 58%1.291.711.711.931.49
3-4-32 17%2.00.50.02.010.87
3-4-1-22 17%1.51.02.51.862.01
4-4-21 8%0.01.06.02.253.81

Chelsea

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-19 90%1.441.561.891.491.22
4-3-31 10%3.05.01.03.941.05

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.4Home 28% P 28%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.1Away 45% P 44%

Double Chance

1.7Atalanta or Draw 28% P 28%1.28Atalanta or Chelsea 37% P 36%1.3Draw or Chelsea 36% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 58%2.1No 44% P 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42% P 41%1.61Under 58% P 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 42.5–45% · 505 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home28%29%23%-5.8
Draw28%28%27%-0.3
Away44%44%50%+6.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes58%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Alejandro José Hernández Hernández

Career
279 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
5.74 (5.44 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
24.7 · 4.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 15 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.24.4-1.623
Fouls / match21.622.7-0.59
Fouls per card7.25.2+1.90 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.470.32+1.0381
Time added5.46.5-1.216
First card
35' on average
Card timing
22% in first 30' · 39% in last 15'
Cards to home side
63% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-28 40 290 43'6
2025-11-26 10 181 17'5
2025-11-08 20 180 61'5
2025-10-26 70 232 13'11
2025-09-28 30 180 17'7
2025-09-24 80 180 50'9
2025-09-15 31 252 43'10
2025-08-23 40 181 44'10
2025-08-19 20 261 77'10
2025-08-12 70 290 45'10