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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 7

Momentum

AtalantaATH
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Gewiss Stadium, Bergamo
Capacity
23,439
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,462

Teams

Coaches
Raffaele Palladino · Ernesto Valverde Tejedor
Position
8 · 32
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
0.6° (feels -1.1°)
Wind
1.5
Humidity
84%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Atalanta

LWWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 2 · xG 7.99–5.62 · xPts 8.3

  • D A Pisa 1–1 xG 1.85–1.52 ITA SA
  • W H Torino 2–0 xG 1.91–0.76 ITA SA
  • W A Bologna 2–0 xG 1.11–1.45 ITA SA
  • W H Roma 1–0 xG 2.31–0.8 ITA SA
  • L H Inter 0–1 xG 0.81–1.08 ITA SA

Athletic Club

DLLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 7.77–7.61 · xPts 7.3

  • L A Mallorca 2–3 xG 1.7–3.31 ESP PL
  • D A Osasuna 1–1 xG 1.49–0.86 ESP PL
  • L H Espanyol 1–2 xG 1.84–0.86 ESP PL
  • L A Celta de Vigo 0–2 xG 2.01–1.05 ESP PL
  • D H Paris Saint Germain 0–0 xG 0.73–1.52 UEFA CL

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Atalanta 00 draws1 Athletic Club

Goals 2–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Atalanta 00 draws1 Athletic Club

Goals 2–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Atalanta 00 draws1 Athletic Club

Goals 2–3 · 5.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Atalanta 2–3 Athletic Club UEFA CL · League Stage
MetricAtalanta all · 12Atalanta at home · 6Athletic Club all · 8Athletic Club away · 4
Results
Matches1268
Points per game1.331.671.00
W / D / L5 / 1 / 63 / 1 / 22 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match1.331.831.13
Goals against / match1.922.001.75
Clean sheets25%17%25%
Failed to score33%17%50%
Both teams scored50%83%50%
Over 2.567%83%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.962.401.05
xG against / match1.671.511.09
xG difference0.290.89-0.04
Finishing vs xG-0.63-0.570.08
xPts / match1.601.931.28
Points vs xPts-0.27-0.26-0.28
Game state
Scored first33%33%12%
PPG when scoring first2.251.500.00
PPG when conceding first0.862.001.20
Came back from behind25%50%33%
Leads held83%75%67%
Minutes leading16%25%12%
Minutes level45%44%55%
Minutes trailing39%30%33%
First goal (min)594840
First goal conceded (min)344223
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half81%73%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%58%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.580.830.13
Late goals against0.080.000.63
Style
Possession48%50%41%
Shots13.816.010.5
On target4.44.73.1
Shot conversion10%12%11%
Shots inside box69%70%60%
Big chances created3.13.82.1
Corners4.04.54.0
xG from set plays29%34%17%
Goals from headers31%36%0%
Pressure index15.718.36.5
Dominant minutes49.956.833.1
Pass accuracy83%81%75%
Fouls10.19.717.6
Cards1.581.502.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Atalanta

0–15'13
16–30'14
31–45'13
46–60'35
61–75'37
76–90'71

Athletic Club

0–15'13
16–30'12
31–45'10
46–60'12
61–75'42
76–90'15

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Atalanta · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.46

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.066
Early press (0-15, level)-0.016
Late push (76+, level)-0.393
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.582

Game state

When ahead-0.174
When level-0.086
When behind+0.312
10 min after conceding-0.463
10 min after scoring+0.205

Situations

At home+0.024
Away-0.212
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.023
As favourite+0.025

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.466
Conceded when ahead+0.404
Conceded late (76+)+0.076

Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level +0.39

Athletic Club · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.09

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.405
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.353

Game state

When ahead+0.222
When level+0.595
When behind+0.323
10 min after conceding-0.203
10 min after scoring+1.094

Situations

At home+0.613
Away+0.112
4+ days rest+0.314

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.392
v mid-tier opponents+0.872
As favourite+1.032
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.065
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.175

Congested vs rested +0.44 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.27

Atalanta

Current: winless 2 · scoring 5 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-17 58%1.291.711.711.931.49
3-4-32 17%2.00.50.02.010.87
3-4-1-22 17%1.51.02.51.862.01
4-4-21 8%0.01.06.02.253.81

Athletic Club

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 88%0.710.861.711.021.0
3-4-2-11 12%3.03.02.01.241.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.66Home 57% P 56%3.75Draw 25% P 26%5.25Away 18% P 18%

Double Chance

1.16Atalanta or Draw 40% P 41%1.25Atalanta or Athletic Bilbao 37% P 37%2.1Draw or Athletic Bilbao 22% P 22%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 50% P 47%1.9No 50% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 46%1.8Under 53% P 54%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home56%56%53%-2.8
Draw26%25%26%+1.0
Away18%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Danny Desmond Makkelie

Career
495 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.47 (3.26 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
18.2 · 4.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 32 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.034.4-0.3639
Fouls / match22.622.7+0.07
Fouls per card5.85.2+0.32 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.340.32+0.0458
Time added5.96.5-0.5923
First card
37' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.18

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-18 40 170 17'4
2025-12-13 11 181 28'4
2025-12-09 30 271 50'8
2025-12-06 50 270 27'7
2025-11-25 40 231 39'7
2025-11-09 10 250 85'5
2025-11-02 20 191 79'4
2025-10-25 31 190 45'3
2025-10-21 30 171 60'4
2025-10-18 40 191 22'5