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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 8

Momentum

ATHSporting CP
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
San Mamés Barria, Bilbao
Capacity
53,289
Surface
grass
Attendance
52,065

Teams

Coaches
Ernesto Valverde Tejedor · Rui Borges
Position
23 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Felix Zwayer

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
8.8° (feels 7.6°)
Wind
2.2
Humidity
66%

Where to watch · 287

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Athletic Club

LDLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 10 · xG 8.47–8.28 · xPts 7.37

  • L A Sevilla 1–2 xG 2.2–1.52 ESP PL
  • W A Atalanta 3–2 xG 1.24–1.71 UEFA CL
  • L A Mallorca 2–3 xG 1.7–3.31 ESP PL
  • D A Osasuna 1–1 xG 1.49–0.86 ESP PL
  • L H Espanyol 1–2 xG 1.84–0.86 ESP PL

Sporting CP

WDWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 3 · xG 9.1–4.68 · xPts 9.12

  • W A Arouca 2–1 xG 1.65–1.23 PRT PL
  • W H Paris Saint Germain 2–1 xG 0.8–1.75 UEFA CL
  • W H Casa Pia 3–0 xG 1.6–0.34 PRT PL
  • D A Gil Vicente 1–1 xG 1.38–1.2 PRT PL
  • W H Rio Ave 4–0 xG 3.66–0.15 PRT PL

All meetings · 3 matches since 2012

Athletic Club 10 draws2 Sporting CP

Goals 6–6 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Athletic Club 10 draws2 Sporting CP

Goals 6–6 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Athletic Club 10 draws2 Sporting CP

Goals 6–6 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Athletic Club 2–3 Sporting CP UEFA CL · League Stage
  • W Athletic Club 3–1 Sporting CP UEFA EL · Semi-finals · leg 2/2
  • L Sporting CP 2–1 Athletic Club UEFA EL · Semi-finals · leg 1/2
MetricAthletic Club all · 8Athletic Club at home · 4Sporting CP all · 12Sporting CP away · 6
Results
Matches8126
Points per game1.001.670.83
W / D / L2 / 2 / 46 / 2 / 41 / 2 / 3
Goals for / match1.131.831.00
Goals against / match1.751.251.83
Clean sheets25%25%17%
Failed to score50%25%33%
Both teams scored50%58%67%
Over 2.550%75%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.051.370.68
xG against / match1.091.221.51
xG difference-0.040.15-0.82
Finishing vs xG0.080.460.32
xPts / match1.281.400.87
Points vs xPts-0.280.27-0.03
Game state
Scored first12%50%33%
PPG when scoring first0.002.170.50
PPG when conceding first1.201.201.00
Came back from behind33%33%25%
Leads held67%75%33%
Minutes leading12%22%6%
Minutes level55%59%64%
Minutes trailing33%19%29%
First goal (min)404335
First goal conceded (min)234934
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half67%70%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half64%53%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.130.500.17
Late goals against0.630.420.33
Style
Possession41%50%50%
Shots10.512.97.0
On target3.15.12.3
Shot conversion11%14%14%
Shots inside box60%68%76%
Big chances created2.12.40.8
Corners4.04.63.3
xG from set plays17%26%33%
Goals from headers0%14%17%
Pressure index6.512.09.5
Dominant minutes33.144.236.3
Pass accuracy75%86%88%
Fouls17.610.89.7
Cards2.132.001.83

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Athletic Club

0–15'13
16–30'12
31–45'10
46–60'12
61–75'42
76–90'15

Sporting CP

0–15'22
16–30'11
31–45'34
46–60'10
61–75'93
76–90'45

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Athletic Club · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.40) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.09

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.405
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.353

Game state

When ahead+0.222
When level+0.595
When behind+0.323
10 min after conceding-0.203
10 min after scoring+1.094

Situations

At home+0.613
Away+0.112
4+ days rest+0.314

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.392
v mid-tier opponents+0.872
As favourite+1.032
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.065
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.175

Congested vs rested +0.44 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level -0.27

Sporting CP · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.16) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.167
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.192

Game state

When ahead+0.107
When level+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring+0.187

Situations

At home+0.054
Away+0.323
4+ days rest+0.167

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.013
v bottom-tier opponents+0.363
As favourite+0.167

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.157
Conceded when ahead-0.237
Conceded late (76+)-0.196

Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level -0.80

Athletic Club

Current: unbeaten 3 · winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 88%0.710.861.711.021.0
3-4-2-11 12%3.03.02.01.241.71

Sporting CP

Current: unbeaten 12 · winless 1 · scoring 13 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-110 83%1.71.91.11.531.07
5-4-11 8%0.01.03.00.332.21
3-4-2-11 8%3.02.01.00.81.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.9Home 23% P 33%3.3Draw 20% P 29%2.4Away 27% P 39%2.2Athletic Club 30%

Double Chance

1.5Athletic Club or Draw 18% P 31%1.36Athletic Bilbao or Draw 20% P 31%1.28Athletic Bilbao or Sporting 21% P 36%1.3Athletic Club or Sporting 21% P 36%1.44Draw or Sporting 19% P 34%

Draw No Bet

1.91 31%1.82 32%1.57Athletic Club 37%

Both Teams To Score

1.7Yes 55% P 57%2.05No 45% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 50%2.0Under 47% P 50%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
5.52.2Over 42% P 47%1.61Under 58% P 53%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%31%-2.8
Draw29%28%28%-0.1
Away39%39%42%+3.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%49%50%+1.3

Felix Zwayer

Career
349 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.57 (4.39 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.0 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 28 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.434.4+1.7897
Fouls / match20.122.7-1.52
Fouls per card3.75.2-2.01 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.50.32+1.3090
Time added7.26.5+1.0184
First card
27' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 29% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.07

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-17 80 160 18'6
2026-01-10 60 242 38'6
2025-12-14 51 210 11'8
2025-12-09 50 251 13'13
2025-11-29 20 130 39'8
2025-11-26 11 261 45'7
2025-11-07 20 210 61'7
2025-10-26 70 231 45'11
2025-10-22 31 213 17'10
2025-10-03 40 210 10'13