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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 3

Momentum

B04PSG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
BayArena, Leverkusen
Capacity
30,210
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,210

Teams

Coaches
Kasper Hjulmand · Luis Enrique
Position
25 · 3
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-3-3

Referee

Jesús Gil Manzano

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
15.7° (feels 15.0°)
Wind
6.1
Humidity
61%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

DWDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 9.65–5.38 · xPts 9.37

  • W A FSV Mainz 05 4–3 xG 3.65–1.82 GER BI
  • W H FC Union Berlin 2–0 xG 2.32–1.13 GER BI
  • D H PSV 1–1 xG 1.41–0.71 UEFA CL
  • W A St. Pauli 2–1 xG 0.89–0.83 GER BI
  • D H Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–1 xG 1.38–0.89 GER BI

Paris Saint Germain

LWWDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 7.61–5.55 · xPts 8.15

  • D H Strasbourg 3–3 xG 2.63–1.78 FRA L1
  • D A LOSC Lille 1–1 xG 1.42–0.86 FRA L1
  • W A FC Barcelona 2–1 xG 1.45–1.0 UEFA CL
  • W H Auxerre 2–0 xG 1.45–0.73 FRA L1
  • L A Olympique Marseille 0–1 xG 0.66–1.17 FRA L1

All meetings · 3 matches since 2014

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 00 draws3 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 3–13 · 5.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 00 draws3 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 3–13 · 5.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 00 draws3 Paris Saint Germain

Goals 3–13 · 5.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–7 Paris Saint Germain UEFA CL · League Stage
  • L Paris Saint Germain 2–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen UEFA CL · Round of 16 · leg 2/2
  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–4 Paris Saint Germain UEFA CL · Round of 16 · leg 1/2
MetricBayer 04 Leverkusen all · 12Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 6Paris Saint Germain all · 17Paris Saint Germain away · 8
Results
Matches126178
Points per game1.421.172.062.13
W / D / L4 / 5 / 31 / 4 / 110 / 5 / 25 / 2 / 1
Goals for / match1.331.502.652.38
Goals against / match1.421.831.351.00
Clean sheets42%33%29%38%
Failed to score25%17%6%12%
Both teams scored42%67%71%62%
Over 2.533%50%65%62%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.391.941.75
xG against / match1.381.261.251.39
xG difference-0.110.130.700.36
Finishing vs xG0.060.110.700.62
xPts / match1.311.471.791.60
Points vs xPts0.10-0.310.270.53
Game state
Scored first58%67%47%50%
PPG when scoring first2.141.502.502.50
PPG when conceding first0.250.001.752.00
Came back from behind40%50%75%67%
Leads held57%25%77%83%
Minutes leading27%31%42%41%
Minutes level44%52%42%51%
Minutes trailing29%17%16%9%
First goal (min)45353333
First goal conceded (min)38553444
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half69%56%56%47%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%64%44%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.250.170.470.50
Late goals against0.250.330.180.25
Style
Possession52%47%64%61%
Shots11.011.518.818.9
On target3.94.26.96.8
Shot conversion12%13%14%13%
Shots inside box66%71%60%59%
Big chances created2.32.33.63.5
Corners4.74.85.96.3
xG from set plays25%32%28%20%
Goals from headers27%12%4%5%
Pressure index14.216.523.620.5
Dominant minutes43.843.567.256.5
Pass accuracy87%87%88%86%
Fouls8.67.89.28.9
Cards1.581.501.061.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0–15'23
16–30'10
31–45'25
46–60'52
61–75'34
76–90'33

Paris Saint Germain

0–15'83
16–30'24
31–45'106
46–60'73
61–75'104
76–90'83

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.81

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.594
Early press (0-15, level)+0.664
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.872

Game state

When ahead+0.453
When level+0.814
When behind+0.702
10 min after conceding-0.082
10 min after scoring+0.784

Situations

At home+0.392
Away+0.762
4+ days rest+0.594

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.762
As favourite+0.594

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.314
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.593

Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.12

Paris Saint Germain · 5 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.47) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.475
Early press (0-15, level)+0.635
Late push (76+, level)-0.252
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.203

Game state

When ahead+0.283
When level+0.405
When behind+0.673
10 min after conceding+0.143
10 min after scoring+0.675

Situations

At home+0.582
Away+0.433
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.232
v mid-tier opponents+0.472
As favourite+0.475

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.315
Conceded when ahead-0.223
Conceded late (76+)-0.424

Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level +0.26

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-111 92%1.271.271.551.331.32
5-3-21 8%3.02.00.00.692.06

Paris Saint Germain

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 2 · scoring 36 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-317 100%2.062.651.351.941.25

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.75Home 20% P 19%4.0Draw 23% P 24%1.65Away 57% P 58%

Double Chance

2.2Bayer Leverkusen or Draw 21% P 21%1.22Bayer Leverkusen or PSG 39% P 38%1.18Draw or PSG 40% P 41%

Draw No Bet

3.751 25%1.252 75%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61% P 62%2.37No 39% P 38%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.53Over 62% P 63%2.5Under 38% P 37%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 52%1.83Under 50% P 48%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 57.5–60% · 326 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home19%19%15%-3.2
Draw24%23%21%-1.4
Away58%59%63%+4.6

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 60–62.5% · 1,319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes62%61%62%+0.7

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.563%64%63%-0.4

Jesús Gil Manzano

Career
182 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
5.09 (4.8 yellow · 0.16 red)
Fouls / match
26.3 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.34
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 12 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.674.4+0.6268
Fouls / match20.822.7-1.10
Fouls per card4.85.2-0.75 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.420.32+0.6371
Time added6.86.5+0.5168
First card
32' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-18 40 170 75'6
2025-10-01 60 221 39'8
2025-09-28 51 260 34'7
2025-09-25 40 301 42'6
2025-09-13 31 241 6'11
2025-08-27 30 240 34'7
2025-08-24 31 270 22'10
2025-05-25 24 45'8
2025-05-14 70 261 41'7
2025-05-04 30 160 45'7