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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 8

Momentum

B04Villarreal
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
BayArena, Leverkusen
Capacity
30,210
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,210

Teams

Coaches
Kasper Hjulmand · Marcelino
Position
20 · 35
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Espen Eskås

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
2.0° (feels 0.1°)
Wind
1.8
Humidity
95%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

WLLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 9.21–8.01 · xPts 7.7

  • W H Werder Bremen 1–0 xG 1.71–1.04 GER BI
  • L A Olympiacos F.C. 0–2 xG 2.32–0.76 UEFA CL
  • L A TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 xG 0.94–1.38 GER BI
  • L H VfB Stuttgart 1–4 xG 2.17–2.54 GER BI
  • W A RB Leipzig 3–1 xG 2.07–2.29 GER BI

Villarreal

WWLLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 6.17–6.59 · xPts 6.57

  • L H Real Madrid 0–2 xG 0.62–1.84 ESP PL
  • L H Ajax 1–2 xG 1.87–1.11 UEFA CL
  • L A Real Betis 0–2 xG 0.92–1.01 ESP PL
  • W H Deportivo Alavés 3–1 xG 1.35–0.94 ESP PL
  • W A Elche 3–1 xG 1.41–1.68 ESP PL

All meetings · 5 matches since 2011

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 11 draws3 Villarreal

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 5 matches

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 11 draws3 Villarreal

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 11 draws3 Villarreal

Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–0 Villarreal UEFA CL · League Stage
  • D Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–0 Villarreal UEFA EL · 8th Finals · leg 2/2
  • L Villarreal 2–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen neutral UEFA EL · 8th Finals · leg 1/2
  • L Villarreal 2–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen UEFA EL · 8th Finals · leg 2/2
  • L Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–3 Villarreal UEFA EL · 8th Finals · leg 1/2
MetricBayer 04 Leverkusen all · 12Bayer 04 Leverkusen at home · 6Villarreal all · 8Villarreal away · 4
Results
Matches1268
Points per game1.421.170.13
W / D / L4 / 5 / 31 / 4 / 10 / 1 / 7
Goals for / match1.331.500.63
Goals against / match1.421.832.25
Clean sheets42%33%0%
Failed to score25%17%62%
Both teams scored42%67%38%
Over 2.533%50%62%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.271.391.47
xG against / match1.381.261.60
xG difference-0.110.13-0.13
Finishing vs xG0.060.11-0.85
xPts / match1.311.471.39
Points vs xPts0.10-0.31-1.27
Game state
Scored first58%67%25%
PPG when scoring first2.141.500.50
PPG when conceding first0.250.000.00
Came back from behind40%50%12%
Leads held57%25%0%
Minutes leading27%31%6%
Minutes level44%52%36%
Minutes trailing29%17%58%
First goal (min)453538
First goal conceded (min)385530
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half69%56%80%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%64%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.250.170.13
Late goals against0.250.330.38
Style
Possession52%47%42%
Shots11.011.513.6
On target3.94.23.8
Shot conversion12%13%5%
Shots inside box66%71%58%
Big chances created2.32.32.0
Corners4.74.83.4
xG from set plays25%32%22%
Goals from headers27%12%20%
Pressure index14.216.59.2
Dominant minutes43.843.534.9
Pass accuracy87%87%83%
Fouls8.67.812.8
Cards1.581.502.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0–15'23
16–30'10
31–45'25
46–60'52
61–75'34
76–90'33

Villarreal

0–15'03
16–30'11
31–45'03
46–60'37
61–75'01
76–90'13

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.59) · stands out: when level +0.81

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.594
Early press (0-15, level)+0.664
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.872

Game state

When ahead+0.453
When level+0.814
When behind+0.702
10 min after conceding-0.082
10 min after scoring+0.784

Situations

At home+0.392
Away+0.772
4+ days rest+0.594

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.772
As favourite+0.594

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.314
Conceded when ahead-0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.593

Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level -0.12

Villarreal · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.43) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.77

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.437
Early press (0-15, level)+0.447
Late push (76+, level)-0.104
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.264

Game state

When ahead+0.754
When level+0.427
When behind+0.317
10 min after conceding-0.307
10 min after scoring+0.776

Situations

At home+0.162
Away+0.545
3 days rest or fewer+0.932
4+ days rest+0.235

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.042
v mid-tier opponents+0.632
v bottom-tier opponents+0.932
As favourite+0.554
As underdog+0.042

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.334
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.70 · Ahead vs level +0.33 · Behind vs level -0.11

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 12 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-111 92%1.271.271.551.331.32
5-3-21 8%3.02.00.00.692.06

Villarreal

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 4 · conceding 21

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-27 88%0.00.432.291.381.62
4-3-31 12%1.02.02.02.121.46

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.66Home 57% P 57%4.1Draw 23% P 24%4.75Away 20% P 19%

Double Chance

1.18Bayer Leverkusen or Draw 40% P 40%1.22Bayer Leverkusen or Villarreal 38% P 38%2.15Draw or Villarreal 22% P 22%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 59%2.1No 44% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 59%2.3Under 41% P 41%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 43%1.72Under 54% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home57%56%53%-2.8
Draw24%25%26%+1.0
Away19%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.559%59%60%+0.8

Espen Eskås

Career
49 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.45 (4.33 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.5 · 4.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.33
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 22 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.54.4-1.166
Fouls / match21.122.7-0.86
Fouls per card6.05.2+0.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.320.32-0.1645
Time added8.26.5+2.23100
First card
41' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-20 20 200 33'5
2025-11-04 40 230 45'9
2025-10-23 10 180 45'7
2025-09-30 20 181 58'6
2025-08-28 61 271 13'8
2025-08-20 50 210 6'13
2025-08-06 40 260 11'5
2025-05-01 61 261 35'8
2025-04-09 20 170 24'2
2025-03-13 110 290 19'7