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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 6

Momentum

BenficaNapoli
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
6

Venue

Stadium
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Lisboa
Capacity
68,100
Surface
grass
Attendance
54,353

Teams

Coaches
José Mourinho · Antonio Conte
Position
31 · 22
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Slavko Vinčić

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
12.5° (feels 12.1°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
87%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Benfica

LDWWD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 9.09–3.52 · xPts 10.48

  • D H Sporting CP 1–1 xG 1.57–0.41 PRT PL
  • W A Nacional 2–1 xG 2.53–0.44 PRT PL
  • W A Ajax 2–0 xG 0.92–0.76 UEFA CL
  • D H Casa Pia 2–2 xG 2.17–1.27 PRT PL
  • L H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–1 xG 1.88–0.64 UEFA CL

Napoli

LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 7.87–3.37 · xPts 9.39

  • W H Juventus 2–1 xG 1.52–0.41 ITA SA
  • W A Roma 1–0 xG 1.09–0.44 ITA SA
  • W H Qarabağ 2–0 xG 3.2–0.62 UEFA CL
  • W H Atalanta 3–1 xG 1.84–0.97 ITA SA
  • L A Bologna 0–2 xG 0.22–0.93 ITA SA

All meetings · 5 matches since 2008

Benfica 20 draws3 Napoli

Goals 9–9 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 10 · 5 matches

Benfica 20 draws3 Napoli

Goals 9–9 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Benfica 20 draws3 Napoli

Goals 9–9 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Benfica 2–0 Napoli UEFA CL · League Stage
  • L Benfica 1–2 Napoli neutral UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • L Napoli 4–2 Benfica UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • W Benfica 2–0 Napoli UEFA EL · 1st Round · leg 2/2
  • L Napoli 3–2 Benfica neutral UEFA EL · 1st Round · leg 1/2
MetricBenfica all · 14Benfica at home · 7Napoli all · 8Napoli away · 4
Results
Matches1478
Points per game1.361.711.00
W / D / L6 / 1 / 74 / 0 / 32 / 2 / 4
Goals for / match1.141.571.13
Goals against / match1.071.001.88
Clean sheets43%43%25%
Failed to score43%29%38%
Both teams scored21%29%50%
Over 2.529%29%38%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.511.751.36
xG against / match1.031.001.63
xG difference0.480.75-0.26
Finishing vs xG-0.37-0.18-0.24
xPts / match1.691.851.20
Points vs xPts-0.33-0.13-0.20
Game state
Scored first50%57%50%
PPG when scoring first2.142.251.75
PPG when conceding first0.501.000.00
Came back from behind12%25%0%
Leads held75%80%40%
Minutes leading32%45%16%
Minutes level48%43%59%
Minutes trailing20%12%25%
First goal (min)242341
First goal conceded (min)374444
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%27%44%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%71%73%
Late goals for (76'+)0.210.140.25
Late goals against0.210.140.50
Style
Possession47%47%52%
Shots13.816.611.8
On target4.45.33.6
Shot conversion8%10%10%
Shots inside box63%66%71%
Big chances created2.53.12.0
Corners5.45.06.1
xG from set plays22%23%39%
Goals from headers19%27%56%
Pressure index8.79.915.9
Dominant minutes48.655.452.3
Pass accuracy83%83%86%
Fouls10.59.413.8
Cards1.931.431.75

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Benfica

0–15'30
16–30'44
31–45'31
46–60'34
61–75'03
76–90'33

Napoli

0–15'00
16–30'02
31–45'52
46–60'03
61–75'24
76–90'24

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Benfica · 13 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.55) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.91

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.5513
Early press (0-15, level)+0.3313
Late push (76+, level)+0.914
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.122

Game state

When ahead+0.3911
When level+0.7513
When behind+0.803
10 min after conceding+0.117
10 min after scoring+0.5513

Situations

At home+0.686
Away+0.437
3 days rest or fewer+0.473
4+ days rest+0.5810

Opposition

v bottom-tier opponents+0.863
As favourite+0.6112

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.3113
Conceded when ahead-0.2011
Conceded late (76+)-0.429

Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.36 · Behind vs level +0.05

Napoli · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.82

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.015
Early press (0-15, level)-0.105
Late push (76+, level)+0.352
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.433

Game state

When ahead+0.473
When level-0.055
When behind-0.253
10 min after conceding-0.473
10 min after scoring+0.824

Situations

At home+0.023
Away-0.062
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.322
As favourite+0.442
As underdog-0.432

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.305
Conceded when ahead+0.263
Conceded late (76+)-0.115

Ahead vs level +0.52 · Behind vs level -0.20

Benfica

Current: unbeaten 12 · wins 8 · scoring 26 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-19 64%1.331.331.221.61.02
4-4-22 14%3.02.00.02.320.8
4-3-32 14%0.50.00.50.880.63
4-4-1-11 7%0.00.03.00.312.34

Napoli

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-14 50%1.01.251.51.711.53
4-1-4-12 25%1.51.01.50.461.75
4-3-31 12%1.00.00.02.140.44
4-4-1-11 12%0.02.06.01.02.97

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 34%3.1Draw 30% P 32%2.7Away 35% P 34%

Double Chance

1.4Benfica or Draw 33% P 33%1.36Benfica or Napoli 34% P 34%1.4Draw or Napoli 33% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 47% P 46%1.75No 53% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 40% P 37%1.57Under 60% P 63%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 49%1.8Under 51% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 32.5–35% · 336 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%36%+2.3
Draw32%32%29%-3.3
Away34%34%35%+1.0

In those fixtures: 2.2 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 40%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 35–37.5% · 819 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.537%36%41%+4.2

Slavko Vinčić

Career
95 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
4.21 (4.06 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
24.3 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.16
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 41 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.124.4-0.2248
Fouls / match24.522.7+1.33
Fouls per card6.15.2+0.67 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.32-1.553
Time added6.56.5+0.1555
First card
35' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-25 31 300 32'5
2025-10-22 10 280 61'6
2025-09-30 20 171 14'8
2025-08-27 · Benfica 61 310 30'11
2025-04-29 40 300 10'6
2025-04-16 40 260 28'8
2025-03-11 70 370 8'5
2025-02-19 40 340 53'9
2025-01-29 40 170 43'10
2025-01-21 40 280 49'8