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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 5

Momentum

ChelseaFC Barcelona
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
5

Venue

Stadium
Stamford Bridge, London
Capacity
34,915
Surface
grass
Attendance
39,323

Teams

Coaches
Enzo Maresca · Hans-Dieter Flick
Position
12 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Slavko Vinčić

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
4.4° (feels 1.7°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
86%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Chelsea

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 4 · xG 10.31–3.98 · xPts 10.26

  • W A Burnley 2–0 xG 1.5–0.48 UK PL
  • W H Wolverhampton Wanderers 3–0 xG 3.35–0.16 UK PL
  • D A Qarabağ 2–2 xG 1.5–1.55 UEFA CL
  • W A Tottenham Hotspur 1–0 xG 2.77–0.17 UK PL
  • L H Sunderland 1–2 xG 1.18–1.62 UK PL

FC Barcelona

LWDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 15 GA 8 · xG 10.31–7.0 · xPts 9.08

  • W H Athletic Club 4–0 xG 1.64–1.26 ESP PL
  • W A Celta de Vigo 4–2 xG 3.16–0.41 ESP PL
  • D A Club Brugge 3–3 xG 2.09–1.3 UEFA CL
  • W H Elche 3–1 xG 2.0–0.56 ESP PL
  • L A Real Madrid 1–2 xG 1.42–3.46 ESP PL

All meetings · 13 matches since 2005

Chelsea 46 draws3 FC Barcelona

Goals 18–16 · 2.62 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Chelsea 36 draws1 FC Barcelona

Goals 12–10 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Chelsea 22 draws1 FC Barcelona

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Chelsea 3–0 FC Barcelona UEFA CL · League Stage
  • L FC Barcelona 3–0 Chelsea UEFA CL · 8th Finals · leg 2/2
  • D Chelsea 1–1 FC Barcelona UEFA CL · 8th Finals · leg 1/2
  • D FC Barcelona 2–2 Chelsea neutral UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 2/2
  • W Chelsea 1–0 FC Barcelona UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 1/2
  • D Chelsea 1–1 FC Barcelona UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 2/2
  • D FC Barcelona 0–0 Chelsea neutral UEFA CL · Semi-finals · leg 1/2
  • D FC Barcelona 2–2 Chelsea neutral UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • W Chelsea 1–0 FC Barcelona UEFA CL · Group Stage
  • D FC Barcelona 1–1 Chelsea neutral UEFA CL · 8th Finals · leg 2/2
MetricChelsea all · 10Chelsea at home · 5FC Barcelona all · 12FC Barcelona away · 6
Results
Matches105126
Points per game1.602.401.921.83
W / D / L5 / 1 / 44 / 0 / 17 / 2 / 33 / 2 / 1
Goals for / match1.902.002.672.00
Goals against / match1.800.801.671.83
Clean sheets30%60%0%0%
Failed to score10%20%17%17%
Both teams scored60%20%83%83%
Over 2.580%60%83%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.732.151.931.56
xG against / match1.210.831.271.57
xG difference0.531.320.67-0.01
Finishing vs xG0.17-0.150.730.44
xPts / match1.662.101.741.39
Points vs xPts-0.060.300.180.45
Game state
Scored first70%80%42%33%
PPG when scoring first2.293.002.403.00
PPG when conceding first0.000.001.571.25
Came back from behind33%0%62%75%
Leads held71%100%88%100%
Minutes leading32%49%35%27%
Minutes level41%33%40%45%
Minutes trailing27%19%25%28%
First goal (min)29353239
First goal conceded (min)27203642
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half42%40%66%58%
Goals conceded in 2nd half39%25%40%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.200.200.420.33
Late goals against0.300.000.250.33
Style
Possession55%59%63%61%
Shots13.916.816.715.2
On target5.67.07.15.8
Shot conversion14%12%16%13%
Shots inside box63%62%68%63%
Big chances created2.52.83.83.0
Corners6.18.44.83.2
xG from set plays33%35%26%13%
Goals from headers5%10%16%17%
Pressure index22.133.023.817.7
Dominant minutes61.379.463.855.2
Pass accuracy88%90%88%86%
Fouls12.212.09.59.7
Cards1.702.202.252.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Chelsea

0–15'03
16–30'93
31–45'25
46–60'41
61–75'23
76–90'23

FC Barcelona

0–15'44
16–30'34
31–45'44
46–60'72
61–75'93
76–90'53

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Chelsea · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.06) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.064
Early press (0-15, level)-0.214

Game state

When ahead+0.074
When level-0.074
When behind+0.172
10 min after conceding-0.404
10 min after scoring+0.324

Situations

At home-0.002
Away+0.122
4+ days rest+0.064

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.003
As favourite+0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.234
Conceded when ahead+0.354
Conceded late (76+)-0.274

Ahead vs level +0.14 · Behind vs level +0.24

FC Barcelona · 7 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.70) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.707
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437

Game state

When ahead+0.737
When level+0.517
10 min after conceding+0.563
10 min after scoring+1.167

Situations

At home+0.874
Away+0.443
3 days rest or fewer+0.882
4+ days rest+0.655

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.663
v bottom-tier opponents+0.943
As favourite+0.707

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.327
Conceded when ahead-0.327
Conceded late (76+)-0.513

Congested vs rested +0.23 · Ahead vs level +0.22 · Behind vs level +1.08

Chelsea

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 6 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-19 90%1.441.561.891.491.22
4-3-31 10%3.05.01.03.941.05

FC Barcelona

Current: unbeaten 7 · wins 7 · scoring 9 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-112 100%1.922.671.671.931.27

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 45%3.9Draw 24% P 24%3.0Away 31% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36Chelsea or Draw 35% P 34%1.25Chelsea or Barcelona 38% P 38%1.72Draw or Barcelona 27% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.4Yes 66% P 67%2.75No 34% P 33%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.44Over 66% P 65%2.75Under 34% P 35%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.51.8Over 51% P 55%1.9Under 49% P 45%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 30–32.5% · 232 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%43%45%+1.8
Draw24%26%25%-0.8
Away31%31%30%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 66%

Both teams to score · yes 65–67.5% · 319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes67%66%66%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 65–67.5% · 870 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.565%66%69%+3.2

Slavko Vinčić

Career
95 matches · 16 seasons
Cards / match
4.21 (4.06 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
24.3 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.16
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 41 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.124.4-0.2248
Fouls / match24.522.7+1.33
Fouls per card6.15.2+0.67 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.32-1.553
Time added6.56.5+0.1555
First card
35' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.29

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-22 10 280 61'6
2025-09-30 20 171 14'8
2025-08-27 61 310 30'11
2025-04-29 40 300 10'6
2025-04-16 40 260 28'8
2025-03-11 70 370 8'5
2025-02-19 40 340 53'9
2025-01-29 40 170 43'10
2025-01-21 40 280 49'8
2024-12-10 20 170 25'4