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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 8

Momentum

Club BruggeOM
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
Capacity
29,975
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,361

Teams

Coaches
Ivan Leko · Roberto De Zerbi
Position
27 · 19
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Marco Guida

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
4.3° (feels 2.7°)
Wind
1.9
Humidity
93%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

Club Brugge

LDLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 14 · xG 6.01–11.16 · xPts 4.76

  • W A Kairat 4–1 xG 2.39–0.28 UEFA CL
  • L H Arsenal 0–3 xG 1.41–2.87 UEFA CL
  • L A Sporting CP 0–3 xG 0.62–2.14 UEFA CL
  • D H FC Barcelona 3–3 xG 1.3–2.09 UEFA CL
  • L A FC Bayern München 0–4 xG 0.28–3.78 UEFA CL

Olympique Marseille

WLWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 6.65–7.57 · xPts 6.56

  • W H Lens 3–1 xG 0.91–0.49 FRA L1
  • L H Liverpool 0–3 xG 0.9–1.56 UEFA CL
  • W A Angers SCO 5–2 xG 2.35–0.96 FRA L1
  • L H Nantes 0–2 xG 0.68–2.76 FRA L1
  • W H Monaco 1–0 xG 1.81–1.81 FRA L1

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Club Brugge 10 draws0 Olympique Marseille

Goals 3–0 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Club Brugge 10 draws0 Olympique Marseille

Goals 3–0 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Club Brugge 10 draws0 Olympique Marseille

Goals 3–0 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Club Brugge 3–0 Olympique Marseille UEFA CL · League Stage
MetricClub Brugge all · 14Club Brugge at home · 7Olympique Marseille all · 8Olympique Marseille away · 4
Results
Matches1478
Points per game1.642.001.13
W / D / L7 / 2 / 54 / 2 / 13 / 0 / 5
Goals for / match2.293.141.38
Goals against / match1.931.711.75
Clean sheets21%29%12%
Failed to score21%14%38%
Both teams scored57%57%50%
Over 2.593%100%88%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.882.521.12
xG against / match1.851.651.56
xG difference0.030.88-0.44
Finishing vs xG0.410.620.25
xPts / match1.381.731.16
Points vs xPts0.260.27-0.04
Game state
Scored first57%57%38%
PPG when scoring first2.382.501.00
PPG when conceding first0.671.331.20
Came back from behind29%67%29%
Leads held78%80%60%
Minutes leading38%46%32%
Minutes level30%24%40%
Minutes trailing32%30%27%
First goal (min)312621
First goal conceded (min)383035
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half41%46%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half56%50%57%
Late goals for (76'+)0.360.570.00
Late goals against0.570.430.63
Style
Possession50%49%55%
Shots14.819.613.8
On target6.69.05.4
Shot conversion16%16%10%
Shots inside box73%76%54%
Big chances created3.44.71.8
Corners4.54.45.3
xG from set plays18%16%13%
Goals from headers16%14%0%
Pressure index14.414.29.5
Dominant minutes48.248.641.6
Pass accuracy86%84%87%
Fouls8.48.312.3
Cards1.141.142.63

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Club Brugge

0–15'64
16–30'24
31–45'114
46–60'34
61–75'53
76–90'58

Olympique Marseille

0–15'44
16–30'21
31–45'11
46–60'40
61–75'03
76–90'05

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Club Brugge

No pressure profile yet.

Olympique Marseille · 5 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.56

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.105
Early press (0-15, level)+0.435
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.064

Game state

When level+0.245
When behind-0.024
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.563

Situations

At home+0.282
Away-0.033
4+ days rest+0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.173
As favourite+0.282
As underdog-0.172

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.065
Conceded late (76+)-0.325

Ahead vs level -0.19 · Behind vs level -0.27

Club Brugge

Current: winless 3 · scoring 5 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-19 64%1.562.561.781.891.92
4-1-4-12 14%0.00.54.01.02.86
4-3-32 14%3.02.01.02.461.33
3-4-2-11 7%3.04.01.02.390.28

Olympique Marseille

Current: winless 4 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 50%1.51.751.51.251.89
3-4-2-11 12%0.01.02.00.691.15
3-4-1-21 12%3.03.02.01.540.75
4-4-21 12%0.00.03.00.91.56
5-4-11 12%0.00.01.00.811.44

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 34% P 34%3.6Draw 26% P 27%2.35Away 40% P 39%

Double Chance

1.44Club Brugge or Draw 32% P 30%1.28Club Brugge or Marseille 36% P 36%1.5Draw or Marseille 31% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.44Yes 65% P 66%2.62No 35% P 34%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 62%2.37Under 40% P 38%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 34%5.012 - 14 18%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50% P 54%1.83Under 50% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%31%-2.8
Draw27%28%28%-0.1
Away39%39%42%+3.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 65–67.5% · 319 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes66%66%66%+0.4

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,029 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.562%61%63%+1.6

Marco Guida

Career
277 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
4.94 (4.73 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
23.6 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.37
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 19 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.534.4-1.1210
Fouls / match22.122.7-0.27
Fouls per card6.25.2+0.85 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.420.32+0.6674
Time added6.36.5-0.1045
First card
32' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
55% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-01-24 50 280 56'8
2026-01-15 10 121 90'7
2026-01-11 30 190 6'6
2026-01-04 60 410 29'6
2025-12-27 40 250 20'6
2025-11-30 30 280 26'6
2025-11-26 40 290 23'7
2025-11-09 50 352 23'7
2025-11-02 60 251 34'5
2025-10-22 10 250 47'8