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Champions League · League Stage · Matchday 7

Momentum

FCBUSG
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
League Stage
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
Allianz Arena, Munich
Capacity
75,024
Surface
grass
Attendance
66,000

Teams

Coaches
Vincent Kompany · David Hubert
Position
2 · 31
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Rade Obrenović

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
-5.0° (feels -9.0°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
81%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Arsenal 8800 23419 24 WWWWW
2 FC Bayern München 8701 22814 21 WLWWW
3 Liverpool 8602 20812 18 WLWWW
4 Tottenham Hotspur 8521 17710 17 WLWWW
5 FC Barcelona 8512 22148 16 DLWWW
6 Chelsea 8512 17107 16 DWLWW
7 Sporting CP 8512 17116 16 DWLWW
8 Manchester City 8512 1596 16 WLWLW
9 Real Madrid 8503 21129 15 LWLWL
10 Inter 8503 1578 15 WLLLW
11 Paris Saint Germain 8422 211110 14 LWDLD
12 Newcastle United 8422 17710 14 WLDWD
13 Juventus 8341 14104 13 DWWWD
14 Atlético de Madrid 8413 17152 13 WWWDL
15 Atalanta 8413 10100 13 WWWLL
16 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8332 1314-1 12 WWDLW
17 Borussia Dortmund 8323 19172 11 LWDLL
18 Olympiacos F.C. 8323 1014-4 11 DLWWW
19 Club Brugge 8314 1517-2 10 DLLWW
20 Galatasaray 8314 911-2 10 WLLDL
21 Monaco 8242 814-6 10 WDWLD
22 Qarabağ 8314 1321-8 10 DLLWL
23 Bodø / Glimt 8233 1415-1 9 LLDWW
24 Benfica 8305 1012-2 9 LWWLW
25 Olympique Marseille 8305 1114-3 9 LWWLL
26 Pafos FC 8233 811-3 9 WDLLW
27 Union Saint-Gilloise 8305 817-9 9 LWLLW
28 PSV 8224 16160 8 DWLLL
29 Athletic Club 8224 914-5 8 LDDWL
30 Napoli 8224 915-6 8 DWLDL
31 FC København 8224 1221-9 8 LWWDL
32 Ajax 8206 821-13 6 LLWWL
33 Eintracht Frankfurt 8116 1021-11 4 DLLLL
34 Slavia Praha 8035 519-14 3 LDLLL
35 Villarreal 8017 518-13 1 LLLLL
36 Kairat 8017 722-15 1 LLLLL
  • 8th Finals
  • Play-off

FC Bayern München

DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 22 GA 5 · xG 15.14–5.3 · xPts 11.9

  • W A RB Leipzig 5–1 xG 3.88–2.25 GER BI
  • W A FC Köln 3–1 xG 1.5–0.6 GER BI
  • W H VfL Wolfsburg 8–1 xG 2.33–0.92 GER BI
  • W A FC Heidenheim 4–0 xG 3.57–1.0 GER BI
  • D H FSV Mainz 05 2–2 xG 3.86–0.54 GER BI

Union Saint-Gilloise

LLLWL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 14 · xG 6.48–13.57 · xPts 3.83

  • L H Olympique Marseille 2–3 xG 0.75–1.54 UEFA CL
  • W A Galatasaray 1–0 xG 1.97–1.41 UEFA CL
  • L A Atlético de Madrid 1–3 xG 1.51–2.8 UEFA CL
  • L H Inter 0–4 xG 1.25–4.36 UEFA CL
  • L H Newcastle United 0–4 xG 0.99–3.46 UEFA CL

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

FC Bayern München 10 draws0 Union Saint-Gilloise

Goals 2–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 10 · 1 match

FC Bayern München 10 draws0 Union Saint-Gilloise

Goals 2–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Last 5 · 1 match

FC Bayern München 10 draws0 Union Saint-Gilloise

Goals 2–0 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%

Recent meetings

  • W FC Bayern München 2–0 Union Saint-Gilloise UEFA CL · League Stage
MetricFC Bayern München all · 14FC Bayern München at home · 7Union Saint-Gilloise all · 8Union Saint-Gilloise away · 4
Results
Matches1478
Points per game2.432.711.13
W / D / L11 / 1 / 26 / 1 / 03 / 0 / 5
Goals for / match3.073.001.00
Goals against / match1.431.002.13
Clean sheets14%29%25%
Failed to score0%0%38%
Both teams scored86%71%38%
Over 2.586%71%62%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.502.681.35
xG against / match1.391.142.50
xG difference1.121.54-1.15
Finishing vs xG0.570.32-0.35
xPts / match1.962.190.88
Points vs xPts0.470.520.24
Game state
Scored first71%57%50%
PPG when scoring first2.703.002.25
PPG when conceding first1.752.330.00
Came back from behind60%100%0%
Leads held92%100%75%
Minutes leading48%44%20%
Minutes level33%30%44%
Minutes trailing19%25%36%
First goal (min)323844
First goal conceded (min)483442
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%62%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%29%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.430.710.25
Late goals against0.290.140.50
Style
Possession61%66%35%
Shots18.420.411.9
On target8.17.74.9
Shot conversion17%15%8%
Shots inside box71%68%69%
Big chances created5.04.61.8
Corners5.45.63.3
xG from set plays28%30%38%
Goals from headers7%10%12%
Pressure index20.424.45.7
Dominant minutes61.772.026.5
Pass accuracy88%91%78%
Fouls10.210.712.1
Cards2.142.142.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

FC Bayern München

0–15'62
16–30'74
31–45'84
46–60'73
61–75'93
76–90'64

Union Saint-Gilloise

0–15'21
16–30'01
31–45'15
46–60'14
61–75'22
76–90'24

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

FC Bayern München · 4 matches

Pressure well above an average side in the same situations (+0.85) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +1.24

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.854
Early press (0-15, level)+1.044

Game state

When ahead+0.823
When level+0.874
10 min after conceding+0.432
10 min after scoring+1.243

Situations

At home+0.622
Away+1.042
4+ days rest+0.753

Opposition

v top-tier opponents+0.622
As favourite+0.854

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.434
Conceded when ahead-0.473
Conceded late (76+)-0.774

Congested vs rested +0.36 · Ahead vs level -0.05

Union Saint-Gilloise · 2 matches

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.272
Early press (0-15, level)+0.312

Game state

When level+0.312
10 min after scoring+0.082

Situations

Away+0.272
4+ days rest+0.272

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.152

Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level +0.14

FC Bayern München

Current: unbeaten 8 · wins 2 · scoring 2 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-114 100%2.433.071.432.51.39

Union Saint-Gilloise

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-23 38%2.01.331.671.932.25
3-4-2-12 25%0.00.03.00.953.89
5-4-11 12%3.01.00.00.881.16
3-5-1-11 12%0.01.03.01.512.8
3-1-4-21 12%0.02.03.00.751.54

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.12Home 84% P 86%10.0Draw 9% P 8%15.0Away 6% P 5%

Double Chance

1.03Bayern Munich or Draw 47% P 47%1.06Bayern Munich or Union Saint Gilloise 45% P 46%6.0Draw or Union Saint Gilloise 8% P 7%

Draw No Bet

1.041 93%13.02 7%

Both Teams To Score

1.95Yes 48% P 47%1.8No 52% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.25Over 76%4.0Under 24%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 33%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

2.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
3.52.25Over 41%1.57Under 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 80–90% · away 0–10% · 1,427 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home86%84%86%+2.1
Draw8%11%9%-1.8
Away5%5%5%-0.3

In those fixtures: 3.6 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 69%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Rade Obrenović

Career
43 matches · 9 seasons
Cards / match
4.63 (4.42 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
20.3 · 4.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Champions League (5-year window · 12 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.54.4+1.89100
Fouls / match20.522.7-1.27
Fouls per card3.75.2-1.97 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.330.32-0.0455
Time added6.06.5-0.4732
First card
30' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 47%)
VAR events / match
1.75

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-12-10 10 170 45'6
2025-10-22 61 270 2'8
2025-10-02 60 270 13'6
2025-09-16 70 270 30'5
2025-08-28 20 190 21'5
2025-07-30 110 300 5'6
2025-03-12 40 180 34'4
2025-03-06 40 260 62'5
2025-02-20 80 280 55'8
2025-01-30 10 210 6'6